IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v114y2022i3d10.1007_s11069-022-05480-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigation of the effects of hybrid modeling approaches, factor standardization, and categorical mapping on the performance of landslide susceptibility mapping in Van, Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Derya Ozturk

    (Ondokuz Mayis University)

  • Nergiz Uzel-Gunini

    (Van Provincial Directorate of Disaster and Emergency)

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of hybrid modeling approaches, factor standardization, and categorical mapping on the performance of landslide susceptibility maps. For this purpose, three models of frequency ratio (FR), weights of evidence (WoE), and certainty factor (CF) and six hybrid models based on the combination of FR, WoE, and CF with logistic regression (LR) and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) were used to analyze landslide susceptibility in Van, Turkey. Eleven factors including elevation, slope, aspect, profile curvature, plan curvature, lithology, land use/cover, normalized difference vegetation index, topographic wetness index, terrain ruggedness index, distance to faults, and distance to roads were used. The analysis results were categorized into five groups as Very High, High, Medium, Low, and Very Low landslide susceptibility using four classification methods of equal interval, natural breaks, geometric interval, and quantile; thus, 36 landslide susceptibility maps were obtained. We compared the accuracy of the maps using area under the curve for success and prediction rates, percentage distribution of landslides, and landslide density index. The results indicated that 26 out of 36 maps had good prediction accuracy but differed in predictive abilities. Furthermore, the comparisons revealed hybrid modeling improved prediction performance, and the AHP-based hybrid models gave better results than the LR-based hybrid models. The CF for factor standardization and the geometric interval and quantile for categorical mapping gave better results than the other methods. In the study area, however, the CF-AHP-EI, based on the categorization of the CF-AHP hybrid model using equal interval, provided the best result. The CF-AHP-EI landslide susceptibility map shows that 5.8% of Van has Very High and 34.4% High landslide susceptibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Derya Ozturk & Nergiz Uzel-Gunini, 2022. "Investigation of the effects of hybrid modeling approaches, factor standardization, and categorical mapping on the performance of landslide susceptibility mapping in Van, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 2571-2604, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:114:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05480-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05480-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05480-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05480-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gökhan Demir & Mustafa Aytekin & Aykut Akgün & Sabriye İkizler & Orhan Tatar, 2013. "A comparison of landslide susceptibility mapping of the eastern part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (Turkey) by likelihood-frequency ratio and analytic hierarchy process methods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(3), pages 1481-1506, February.
    2. David L. Olson & Dursun Delen, 2008. "Advanced Data Mining Techniques," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-76917-0, January.
    3. Cinelli, Marco & Kadziński, Miłosz & Gonzalez, Michael & Słowiński, Roman, 2020. "How to support the application of multiple criteria decision analysis? Let us start with a comprehensive taxonomy," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    4. Wang, Jiang-Jiang & Jing, You-Yin & Zhang, Chun-Fa & Zhao, Jun-Hong, 2009. "Review on multi-criteria decision analysis aid in sustainable energy decision-making," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(9), pages 2263-2278, December.
    5. Christos Polykretis & Christos Chalkias, 2018. "Comparison and evaluation of landslide susceptibility maps obtained from weight of evidence, logistic regression, and artificial neural network models," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 249-274, August.
    6. Ismail Ercument Ayazli, 2019. "Monitoring of Urban Growth with Improved Model Accuracy by Statistical Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-14, October.
    7. Yigen Qin & Genlan Yang & Kunpeng Lu & Qianzheng Sun & Jin Xie & Yunwu Wu, 2021. "Performance Evaluation of Five GIS-Based Models for Landslide Susceptibility Prediction and Mapping: A Case Study of Kaiyang County, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, June.
    8. Yoram Wind & Thomas L. Saaty, 1980. "Marketing Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(7), pages 641-658, July.
    9. Cahio Guimarães Seabra Eiras & Juliana Ribeiro Gonçalves de Souza & Renata Delicio Andrade de Freitas & César Falcão Barella & Tiago Martins Pereira, 2021. "Discriminant analysis as an efficient method for landslide susceptibility assessment in cities with the scarcity of predisposition data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1427-1442, June.
    10. Qianqian Wang & Dongchuan Wang & Yong Huang & Zhiheng Wang & Lihui Zhang & Qiaozhen Guo & Wei Chen & Wengang Chen & Mengqin Sang, 2015. "Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Selected Optimal Combination of Landslide Predisposing Factors in a Large Catchment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-17, December.
    11. Thomas L. Saaty & Luis G. Vargas, 2012. "Models, Methods, Concepts & Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, edition 2, number 978-1-4614-3597-6, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Weidong Zhao & Yunyun Cheng & Jie Hou & Yihua Chen & Bin Ji & Lei Ma, 2023. "A regional early warning model of geological hazards based on big data of real-time rainfall," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3465-3480, April.
    2. Lamek Nahayo & Cui Peng & Yu Lei & Rongzhi Tan, 2023. "Spatial understanding of historical and future landslide variation in Africa," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 613-641, October.
    3. Ayazli, Ismail Ercument, 2024. "Investigating the interactions between spatiotemporal land use/land cover dynamics and private land ownership," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kulisic, Biljana & Dimitriou, Ioannis & Mola-Yudego, Blas, 2021. "From preferences to concerted policy on mandated share for renewable energy in transport," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    2. Zheng Yuan & Baohua Wen & Cheng He & Jin Zhou & Zhonghua Zhou & Feng Xu, 2022. "Application of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Analysis to Rural Spatial Sustainability Evaluation: A Systematic Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-31, May.
    3. Md Monjurul Islam & Tofael Ahamed & Ryozo Noguchi, 2018. "Land Suitability and Insurance Premiums: A GIS-based Multicriteria Analysis Approach for Sustainable Rice Production," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-28, May.
    4. Hao-Chang Tsai & An-Sheng Lee & Huang-Ning Lee & Chien-Nan Chen & Yu-Chun Liu, 2020. "An Application of the Fuzzy Delphi Method and Fuzzy AHP on the Discussion of Training Indicators for the Regional Competition, Taiwan National Skills Competition, in the Trade of Joinery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Md. Arif Chowdhury & Hasnat Sabrina & Rashed Uz Zzaman & Syed Labib Ul Islam, 2022. "Green building aspects in Bangladesh: A study based on experts opinion regarding climate change," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(7), pages 9260-9284, July.
    6. Valentin Bertsch & Wolf Fichtner, 2016. "A participatory multi-criteria approach for power generation and transmission planning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 245(1), pages 177-207, October.
    7. Read, Laura & Madani, Kaveh & Mokhtari, Soroush & Hanks, Catherine, 2017. "Stakeholder-driven multi-attribute analysis for energy project selection under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 744-753.
    8. Büyüközkan, Gülçin & Güleryüz, Sezin, 2016. "An integrated DEMATEL-ANP approach for renewable energy resources selection in Turkey," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 435-448.
    9. Uroš Kramar & Dejan Dragan & Darja Topolšek, 2019. "The Holistic Approach to Urban Mobility Planning with a Modified Focus Group, SWOT, and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchical Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-29, November.
    10. Vasileiou, Margarita & Loukogeorgaki, Eva & Vagiona, Dimitra G., 2017. "GIS-based multi-criteria decision analysis for site selection of hybrid offshore wind and wave energy systems in Greece," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 745-757.
    11. Liu Fang & Peng Yanan & Zhang Weiguo & Pedrycz Witold, 2017. "On Consistency in AHP and Fuzzy AHP," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 128-147, April.
    12. Gökhan Demir, 2018. "Landslide susceptibility mapping by using statistical analysis in the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) on the northern part of Suşehri Town, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 133-154, May.
    13. May, Jerrold H. & Shang, Jennifer & Tjader, Youxu Cai & Vargas, Luis G., 2013. "A new methodology for sensitivity and stability analysis of analytic network models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 180-188.
    14. Calabrese, Armando & Costa, Roberta & Levialdi, Nathan & Menichini, Tamara, 2019. "Integrating sustainability into strategic decision-making: A fuzzy AHP method for the selection of relevant sustainability issues," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 155-168.
    15. Sagir, Emrah & Alipour, Siamak, 2021. "Photofermentative hydrogen production by immobilized photosynthetic bacteria: Current perspectives and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    16. Tiffany Hutcheson & Graeme Newell, 2018. "Decision-making in property Investment by Property Fund Managers," ERES eres2018_295, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    17. Ruxing Gao & Hyo On Nam & Won Il Ko & Hong Jang, 2017. "National Options for a Sustainable Nuclear Energy System: MCDM Evaluation Using an Improved Integrated Weighting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-24, December.
    18. Liquete, Camino & Udias, Angel & Conte, Giulio & Grizzetti, Bruna & Masi, Fabio, 2016. "Integrated valuation of a nature-based solution for water pollution control. Highlighting hidden benefits," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 22(PB), pages 392-401.
    19. Özge Şahin Zorluoğlu & Özgür Kabak, 2020. "Weighted Cumulative Belief Degree Approach for Project Portfolio Selection," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 679-722, August.
    20. Mohammad AlHashmi & Gyan Chhipi-Shrestha & Rajeev Ruparathna & Kh Md Nahiduzzaman & Kasun Hewage & Rehan Sadiq, 2021. "Energy Performance Assessment Framework for Residential Buildings in Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-25, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:114:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05480-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.