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A new approach for a drought composite index

Author

Listed:
  • Raissa Zurli Bittencourt Bravo

    (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro)

  • Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha

    (National Center for Monitoring and Early Warnings of Natural Disasters – CEMADEN)

  • Adriana Leiras

    (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro)

  • Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira

    (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro)

Abstract

Drought is one of the most critical meteorological hazards that has a devastating effect on natural habitats, ecosystems, and many economic and social sectors. Due to these severe impacts of drought events, many studies have focused on drought monitoring, prediction, and risk analysis to aid drought preparedness plans and mitigation measures. This paper presents a new drought composite index (DCI) to measure the intensity and frequency of the hazard component of meteorological drought. The DCI considers multiple indicators, such as precipitation, temperature, evapotranspiration, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine duration. The DCI is validated through an application to the Brazilian semiarid context. Based on the expert's opinion, we define the weight of each indicator using the analytical hierarchy process. The results were compared with two other drought indices to provide an initial validation because the other indices are not exclusively meteorological indices. The DCI estimates for January 2019 show that the semiarid central region is the most critical. The findings also indicate that the drought intensity is growing in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Raissa Zurli Bittencourt Bravo & Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha & Adriana Leiras & Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira, 2021. "A new approach for a drought composite index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 755-773, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:108:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04704-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04704-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Raissa Zurli Bittencourt Bravo & Adriana Leiras & Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira & Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha, 2023. "DRAI: a risk-based drought monitoring and alerting system in Brazil," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 113-142, May.
    2. Dayanna Rodrigues da Cunha Nunes & Orivalde Soares da Silva Júnior & Renata Albergaria de Mello Bandeira & Yesus Emmanuel Medeiros Vieira, 2023. "A Robust Stochastic Programming Model for the Well Location Problem: The Case of The Brazilian Northeast Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-21, July.

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