IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/metcap/v21y2019i4d10.1007_s11009-018-9675-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sensitivity of the Stability Bound for Ruin Probabilities to Claim Distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Aicha Bareche

    (University of Bejaia)

  • Mouloud Cherfaoui

    (University of Bejaia
    University of Biskra)

Abstract

We are interested in the approximation of the ruin probability of a classical risk model using the strong stability method. Particularly, we study the sensitivity of the stability bound for ruin probabilities of two risk models to approach (a simpler ideal model and a complex real one, which must be close in some sense) regarding to different large claims (heavy-tailed distributions). In a first case, we study the impact of the tail of some claim distributions on the quality of this approximation using the strong stability of a Markov chain. In a second case, we look at the sensitivity of the stability bound for the ruin probability regarding to different large claims, using two versions of the strong stability method: strong stability of a Markov chain and strong stability of a Lindley process. In both cases, comparative studies based on numerical examples and simulation results, involving different heavy-tailed distributions, are performed.

Suggested Citation

  • Aicha Bareche & Mouloud Cherfaoui, 2019. "Sensitivity of the Stability Bound for Ruin Probabilities to Claim Distributions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1259-1281, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:21:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s11009-018-9675-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11009-018-9675-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11009-018-9675-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11009-018-9675-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bolance, Catalina & Guillen, Montserrat & Nielsen, Jens Perch, 2003. "Kernel density estimation of actuarial loss functions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 19-36, February.
    2. Vladimir Kalashnikov, 1999. "Bounds for Ruin Probabilities in the Presence of Large Claims and their Comparison," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 116-128.
    3. Touazi, A. & Benouaret, Z. & Aissani, D. & Adjabi, S., 2017. "Nonparametric estimation of the claim amount in the strong stability analysis of the classical risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 78-83.
    4. Beirlant, J. & Rachev, S. T., 1987. "The problem of stability in insurance mathematics," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 179-188, July.
    5. Lanpeng Ji & Chunsheng Zhang, 2014. "A Duality Result for the Generalized Erlang Risk Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-11, November.
    6. Chen, Song Xi, 1999. "Beta kernel estimators for density functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 131-145, August.
    7. Embrechts, P. & Veraverbeke, N., 1982. "Estimates for the probability of ruin with special emphasis on the possibility of large claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 55-72, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Wilson Euphasio Junior & João Vinícius França Carvalho, 2022. "Resseguro e Capital de Solvência: Atenuantes da Probabilidade de Ruína de SeguradorasReinsurance and Solvency Capital: Mitigating Insurance Companies’ Ruin Probability," RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração, vol. 26(1), pages 200191-2001.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hagmann, M. & Scaillet, O., 2007. "Local multiplicative bias correction for asymmetric kernel density estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 213-249, November.
    2. Juxia Xiao & Xu Li & Jianhong Shi, 2019. "Local linear smoothers using inverse Gaussian regression," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1225-1253, August.
    3. Jeon, Yongho & Kim, Joseph H.T., 2013. "A gamma kernel density estimation for insurance loss data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 569-579.
    4. Catalina Bolance & Montserrat Guillen & David Pitt, 2014. "Non-parametric Models for Univariate Claim Severity Distributions - an approach using R," Working Papers 2014-01, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter.
    5. Hirukawa, Masayuki, 2010. "Nonparametric multiplicative bias correction for kernel-type density estimation on the unit interval," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 473-495, February.
    6. Furrer, Hansjorg & Michna, Zbigniew & Weron, Aleksander, 1997. "Stable Lévy motion approximation in collective risk theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 97-114, September.
    7. Ouimet, Frédéric & Tolosana-Delgado, Raimon, 2022. "Asymptotic properties of Dirichlet kernel density estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    8. Bouezmarni, Taoufik & Van Bellegem, Sébastien, 2009. "Nonparametric Beta Kernel Estimator for Long Memory Time Series," IDEI Working Papers 633, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    9. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2005. "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 35-68, July.
    10. Grandell, Jan, 2000. "Simple approximations of ruin probabilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(2-3), pages 157-173, May.
    11. Nikolay Gospodinov & Masayuki Hirukawa, 2008. "Time Series Nonparametric Regression Using Asymmetric Kernels with an Application to Estimation of Scalar Diffusion Processes," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-573, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    12. Salvatore D. Tomarchio & Antonio Punzo, 2019. "Modelling the loss given default distribution via a family of zero‐and‐one inflated mixture models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(4), pages 1247-1266, October.
    13. S. Pitts, 1994. "Nonparametric estimation of compound distributions with applications in insurance," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 46(3), pages 537-555, September.
    14. Dutang, C. & Lefèvre, C. & Loisel, S., 2013. "On an asymptotic rule A+B/u for ultimate ruin probabilities under dependence by mixing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 774-785.
    15. Grammig, Joachim G. & Peter, Franziska J., 2008. "International price discovery in the presence of market microstructure effects," CFR Working Papers 08-10, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    16. Mercedes Ayuso & Montserrat Guillen & Catalina Bolancé, 2011. "Loss risk through fraud in car insurance," Working Papers XREAP2011-08, Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP), revised Jun 2011.
    17. Julien Trufin & Stéphane Loisel, 2013. "Ultimate ruin probability in discrete time with Bühlmann credibility premium adjustments," Post-Print hal-00426790, HAL.
    18. Song Li & Mervyn J. Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle & Xibin Zhang, 2015. "Bayesian Approaches to Nonparametric Estimation of Densities on the Unit Interval," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 394-412, March.
    19. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-00746251 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Yuen, Kam C. & Wang, Guojing & Ng, Kai W., 2004. "Ruin probabilities for a risk process with stochastic return on investments," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 259-274, April.
    21. Bauwens, Luc & Giot, Pierre & Grammig, Joachim & Veredas, David, 2004. "A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 589-609.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:21:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s11009-018-9675-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.