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Optimal decision under ambiguity for diffusion processes

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  • Sören Christensen

Abstract

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift ambiguity for one-dimensional diffusion processes. Analogously to the case of ordinary optimal stopping problems for one-dimensional Brownian motions we reduce the problem to the geometric problem of finding the smallest majorant of the reward function in a two-parameter function space. In a second part we solve optimal stopping problems when the underlying process may crash down. These problems are reduced to one optimal stopping problem and one Dynkin game. Examples are discussed. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

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  • Sören Christensen, 2013. "Optimal decision under ambiguity for diffusion processes," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 77(2), pages 207-226, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:mathme:v:77:y:2013:i:2:p:207-226
    DOI: 10.1007/s00186-012-0425-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Frank Riedel, 2009. "Optimal Stopping With Multiple Priors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 857-908, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Francesca Biagini & Andrea Mazzon & Katharina Oberpriller, 2023. "Multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion in the G-setting," Papers 2312.12139, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    2. Alvarez E., Luis H.R. & Lempa, Jukka & Saarinen, Harto & Sillanpää, Wiljami, 2024. "Solutions for Poissonian stopping problems of linear diffusions via extremal processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    3. Luis H. R. Alvarez E. & Soren Christensen, 2019. "A Class of Solvable Multidimensional Stopping Problems in the Presence of Knightian Uncertainty," Papers 1907.04046, arXiv.org.
    4. Soren Christensen & Luis H. R. Alvarez E, 2019. "A Solvable Two-dimensional Optimal Stopping Problem in the Presence of Ambiguity," Papers 1905.05429, arXiv.org.
    5. Luis H. R. Alvarez E. & Soren Christensen, 2019. "The Impact of Ambiguity on the Optimal Exercise Timing of Integral Option Contracts," Papers 1906.07533, arXiv.org.

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