IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/josatr/v6y2021i1d10.1186_s41072-021-00091-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of the Panama Canal expansion on Latin American and Caribbean ports: difference in difference (DID) method

Author

Listed:
  • Kahuina Miller

    (Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology)

  • Tetsuro Hyodo

    (Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology)

Abstract

The expanded Panama Canal opened on June 26, 2016. This expansion is the third set of locks that enabled the canal to double its capacity through the addition of new traffic lanes, which allowed neo-Panamax and some post-Panamax vessels to transit across the canal. The widening of the canal has increased maritime traffic within Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). Major ports in the regions have made huge investments in port expansion and infrastructural development to accommodate neo-Panamax vessels. In this study, we investigated the impact of the Panama Canal expansion (PCE) on the Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) ports by using the Difference in Difference (DID) method. This impact was evaluated for 100 major and regular ports within the three sub-regions of LAC, namely Caribbean, Central, and South America, before and after the treatment effect, that is, the PCE. The findings from the model revealed that the average container port throughput (TEUs) for the treated ports (DTrp) was more than that of the controlled ports (CONTp) with transshipment hub, Central America, and South America having 20%, 12%, and 34% growth, respectively, since the PCE (the treatment) except for the Caribbean ports (DTrp), which experienced losses of 8% within the LAC region from 2010 to 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Kahuina Miller & Tetsuro Hyodo, 2021. "Impact of the Panama Canal expansion on Latin American and Caribbean ports: difference in difference (DID) method," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:josatr:v:6:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1186_s41072-021-00091-5
    DOI: 10.1186/s41072-021-00091-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s41072-021-00091-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s41072-021-00091-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Olaf Merk, 2018. "Container Ship Size and Port Relocation," International Transport Forum Discussion Papers 2018/10, OECD Publishing.
    2. Suárez-Alemán, Ancor & Morales Sarriera, Javier & Serebrisky, Tomás & Trujillo, Lourdes, 2016. "When it comes to container port efficiency, are all developing regions equal?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 56-77.
    3. Thi Yen Pham & Ki Young Kim & Gi-Tae YEO, 2018. "The Panama Canal Expansion and Its Impact on East–West Liner Shipping Route Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    4. Wilmsmeier, Gordon & Hoffmann, Jan & Sanchez, Ricardo J., 2006. "The Impact of Port Characteristics on International Maritime Transport Costs," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 117-140, January.
    5. Lechner, Michael, 2011. "The Estimation of Causal Effects by Difference-in-Difference Methods," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 165-224, November.
    6. Alberto Abadie, 2005. "Semiparametric Difference-in-Differences Estimators," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(1), pages 1-19.
    7. Suárez-Alemán, Ancor & Morales Sarriera, Javier & Serebrisky, Tomás & Trujillo, Lourdes, 2016. "When it comes to container port efficiency, are all developing regions equal?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 56-77.
    8. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2006. "Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Difference-in-Differences Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 431-497, March.
    9. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra E. Todd, 1997. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 605-654.
    10. Qing Liu & William W. Wilson & Meifeng Luo, 2016. "The impact of Panama Canal expansion on the container-shipping market: a cooperative game theory approach," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 209-221, February.
    11. Ziaul Haque Munim & Hans-Joachim Schramm, 2018. "The impacts of port infrastructure and logistics performance on economic growth: the mediating role of seaborne trade," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-19, December.
    12. Ryuichi Shibasaki & Takashi Usami & Masahiko Furuichi & Hiroyuki Teranishi & Hironori Kato, 2018. "How do the new shipping routes affect Asian liquefied natural gas markets and economy? Case of the Northern Sea Route and Panama Canal expansion," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 543-566, May.
    13. Martinez, Camil & Steven, Adams B. & Dresner, Martin, 2016. "East Coast vs. West Coast: The impact of the Panama Canal’s expansion on the routing of Asian imports into the United States," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 274-289.
    14. Joyendu Bhadury, 2016. "Panama Canal expansion and its impact on East and Gulf coast ports of U.S.A," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(8), pages 928-944, November.
    15. Lu-Yi Qiu & Ling-Yun He, 2017. "Can Green Traffic Policies Affect Air Quality? Evidence from A Difference-in-Difference Estimation in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-10, June.
    16. Talley, Wayne K., 2006. "Chapter 22 Port Performance: An Economics Perspective," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 499-516, January.
    17. Changkeun Park & Harry W. Richardson & Jiyoung Park, 2020. "Widening the Panama Canal and U.S. ports: historical and economic impact analyses," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 419-433, April.
    18. Howard White & Shagun Sabarwal, 2014. "Quasi-Experimental Design and Methods: Methodological Briefs - Impact Evaluation No. 8," Papers innpub753, Methodological Briefs.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Cheng & Zhao, Ziwei & Wang, Qunwei & Xu, Bing, 2022. "Title: Holistic governance strategy to reduce carbon intensity," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    2. Huaibo Yang & Chao Shi & Jianbo Li & Tianran Liu & Youwei Li & Yao Wang & Yueying Yang, 2022. "Has the Inter-Regional Power Transmission Promoted Economic Development? A Quantitative Assessment in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-13, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kahuina Miller & Tetsuro Hyodo, 2022. "Assessment of port efficiency within Latin America," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    2. Callaway, Brantly & Li, Tong, 2023. "Policy evaluation during a pandemic," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
    3. Volpe Martincus, Christian & Carballo, Jerónimo, 2010. "Beyond the average effects: The distributional impacts of export promotion programs in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 201-214, July.
    4. Chad D. Meyerhoefer & Muzhe Yang, 2011. "The Relationship between Food Assistance and Health: A Review of the Literature and Empirical Strategies for Identifying Program Effects," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(3), pages 304-344.
    5. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    6. Junseung Kim & Kyungku Kim & Kum Fai Yuen & Keun-Sik Park, 2020. "Cost and Scenario Analysis of Intermodal Transportation Routes from Korea to the USA: After the Panama Canal Expansion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-20, August.
    7. Nakashima, Kiyotaka, 2016. "An econometric evaluation of bank recapitalization programs with bank- and loan-level data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-24.
    8. Roth, Jonathan & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Bilinski, Alyssa & Poe, John, 2023. "What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2218-2244.
    9. Christian Volpe Martincus, 2010. "Odyssey in International Markets: An Assessment of the Effectiveness of Export Promotion in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 16458, February.
    10. Sven Neelsen & Owen O'Donnell, 2017. "Progressive universalism? The impact of targeted coverage on health care access and expenditures in Peru," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(12), pages 179-203, December.
    11. Francesco Bartolucci & Fulvia Pennoni & Giorgio Vittadini, 2023. "A Causal Latent Transition Model With Multivariate Outcomes and Unobserved Heterogeneity: Application to Human Capital Development," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 48(4), pages 387-419, August.
    12. Herrero Prieto, Luis César, 2009. "La investigación en economía de la cultura en España: un estudio bibliométrico/Research in Cultural Economics in Spain: A Bibliometric Study," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 27, pages 35-62, Abril.
    13. Thi Yen Pham & Ki Young Kim & Gi-Tae YEO, 2018. "The Panama Canal Expansion and Its Impact on East–West Liner Shipping Route Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    14. Seungwoo Chin & Matthew E. Kahn & Hyungsik Roger Moon, 2020. "Estimating the Gains from New Rail Transit Investment: A Machine Learning Tree Approach," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(3), pages 886-914, September.
    15. Michael Weber, 2016. "The short-run and long-run effects of decentralizing public employment services," ifo Working Paper Series 209, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    16. Maman Ali, M. Moustapha & Yu, Qian, 2021. "Assessment of the impact of renewable energy policy on sustainable energy for all in West Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 544-551.
    17. Gelo, Dambala, 2020. "Forest commons, vertical integration and smallholder’s saving and investment responses: Evidence from a quasi-experiment," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    18. Callaway, Brantly, 2021. "Bounds on distributional treatment effect parameters using panel data with an application on job displacement," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 861-881.
    19. Verena Lauber & Johanna Storck, 2016. "Helping with the Kids? How Family-Friendly Workplaces Affect Parental Well-Being and Behavior," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 883, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    20. Andreas Olden & Jarle Møen, 2022. "The triple difference estimator [Semiparametric difference-in-differences estimators]," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(3), pages 531-553.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:josatr:v:6:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1186_s41072-021-00091-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.