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Entry–Exit Decisions with Underlying Processes Following Geometric Lévy Processes

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  • Yong-Chao Zhang

    (Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao)

Abstract

We study, from the perspective of optimal stopping theory, entry–exit decision problems of a project in the context that the log-price process follows a Lévy process with exponential jumps. A closed-form solution to the problems is obtained. To be specific, we show explicitly an optimal entry time, an optimal exit time and an expression of the maximal expected present value of the project. Moreover, it is also anatomized how the jumping of the Lévy process affects optimal entry and exit times. While the negative effect of jumping on prices grows, the optimal exit time gets earlier, and the optimal entry time, however, first moves up and then moves down. In addition, the optimal exit time decreases with the frequency increasing of jumps when the negative effect dominates the positive effect, and increases when the opposite situation holds; the optimal entry time first increases and then decreases as the frequency becomes higher if the negative effect dominates the positive effect, and increases if the contrary condition is satisfied.

Suggested Citation

  • Yong-Chao Zhang, 2017. "Entry–Exit Decisions with Underlying Processes Following Geometric Lévy Processes," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 172(1), pages 309-327, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:joptap:v:172:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10957-016-1026-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10957-016-1026-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bar-Ilan, Avner & Strange, William C, 1996. "Investment Lags," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(3), pages 610-622, June.
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    3. Boyarchenko, Svetlana & Levendorskii[caron], Sergei, 2007. "Optimal stopping made easy," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 201-217, February.
    4. Dixit, Avinash K, 1989. "Entry and Exit Decisions under Uncertainty," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(3), pages 620-638, June.
    5. Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2010. "The effect of mean reversion on entry and exit decisions under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 725-742, April.
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