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Analysis of the determinants of fertility decline in the Czech Republic

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  • Stephan Klasen
  • Andrey Launov

Abstract

In this paper we study the decline in total fertility rates in the Czech Republic during the transition process. To identify transition-specific features of this decline we use a multiperiod model of birth process and apply it to the family and fertility survey of 1998. In a standard duration analysis setting the model allows for time-dependence of information sets, on which the decision about the next birth is made. It also enables to estimate probabilities of early exit from childbearing. In this work we find that the negative effect of transition on TFR is mostly translated through a sharply increased negative influence of higher education on fertility, and through the apparent lack of adequate childcare facilities.
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  • Stephan Klasen & Andrey Launov, 2006. "Analysis of the determinants of fertility decline in the Czech Republic," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 25-54, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:19:y:2006:i:1:p:25-54
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-005-0030-2
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lara Tavares, 2008. "Who delays childbearing? The relationships between fertility, education and personality traits," Working Papers 009, "Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics (DONDENA), Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi.
    3. Sunnee Billingsley, 2011. "Second and Third Births in Armenia and Moldova: An Economic Perspective of Recent Behaviour and Current Preferences [Deuxième et troisième naissance en Arménie et en Moldavie: Une approche économiq," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 27(2), pages 125-155, May.
    4. Kryštof Zeman, 2018. "Cohort fertility and educational expansion in the Czech Republic during the 20th century," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 38(56), pages 1699-1732.
    5. Ankita Mishra & Jaai Parasnis, 2017. "Peers and Fertility Preferences: An Empirical Investigation of the Role of Neighbours, Religion and Education," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 339-357, October.
    6. Elizabeth Brainerd, 2010. "The Demographic Transformation of Post-Socialist Countries: Causes, Consequences, and Questions," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2010-015, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Kalabichina, Irina E. & Tyndik, Alla, 2014. "Does current demographic policy in Russia impact on fertility of different educational groups?," EconStor Preprints 121850, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    8. Klasen, Stephan, 2020. "From ‘MeToo’ to Boko Haram: A survey of levels and trends of gender inequality in the world," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    9. George Hondroyiannis, 2010. "Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty: An Assessment Using European Panel Data," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 33-50, March.
    10. Wen-Yi Chen, 2013. "Do caesarean section rates ‘catch-up’? Evidence from 14 European countries," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 328-340, December.
    11. Vito Muggeo & Massimo Attanasio & Mariano Porcu, 2009. "A segmented regression model for event history data: an application to the fertility patterns in Italy," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(9), pages 973-988.
    12. Brainerd, Elizabeth, 2010. "The Demographic Transformation of Post-Socialist Countries," WIDER Working Paper Series 015, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    13. Wang, Qingfeng & Sun, Xu, 2016. "The Role of Socio-political and Economic Factors in Fertility Decline: A Cross-country Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 360-370.
    14. Olfa Frini & Christophe Muller, 2021. "Fertility Regulation and Family Influence in Tunisia," AMSE Working Papers 2113, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised Aug 2021.
    15. Oğuz Işik & M. Melih Pinarcioğlu, 2006. "Geographies of a silent transition: a geographically weighted regression approach to regional fertility differences in Turkey [Géographie d’une transition silencieuse: une approche des différences ," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 22(4), pages 399-421, December.
    16. Olfa Frini & Christophe Muller, 2017. "Fertility Regulation Behavior: Sequential Decisions in Tunisia," AMSE Working Papers 1739, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    17. Kryštof Zeman, 2007. "Transition of nuptiality and fertility onset in the Czech Republic since the 1990s: the role of women’s education and its expansion," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2007-017, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    18. Sheraz Ali Khan & Nazish Tehseen, 2017. "Macro-Economic Determinants of Fertility Rate: A case study of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 6(4), pages 166-174, December.
    19. Shao‐Hsun Keng, 2024. "The Causal Effect of Financial Crisis and Its Long‐Run Impact on Fertility," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 100(329), pages 188-208, June.
    20. Wen-Yi Chen, 2013. "Does Housing Cost Affect Birth Rates in Taiwan? The ADL Test for Threshold Co-integration," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 90-103, October.
    21. Tamás Bartus & Lívia Murinkó & Ivett Szalma & Bernadett Szél, 2013. "The effect of education on second births in Hungary," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(1), pages 1-32.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic transition; Fertility decline; Czech Republic; Multistate model of birth process; J13; J11;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J00 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - General
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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