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The effect of education on second births in Hungary

Author

Listed:
  • Tamás Bartus

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

  • Lívia Murinkó

    (Népességtudományi Kutatóintézet (Hungarian Demographic Research Institute))

  • Ivett Szalma

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

  • Bernadett Szél

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

Abstract

Background: In recent years, several studies have reported a positive effect of women’s education on the transition to second births. This finding contradicts the economic theory of fertility. Three explanations were proposed: the selection, the time-squeeze, and the partner effect hypotheses. Objective: We propose a modification of the economic theory to account for the positive educational gradient with regard to second births. We empirically examine the effect of women’s education on the timing of second births. Methods: We use a sample of women born between 1946 and 1983 from all three waves of the Hungarian Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) data. We estimate lognormal survival models of the timing of second births. Results: We find that female education reduces the waiting time to second conception in Hungary. The results remain robust after controlling for sample selection and cannot be explained away in terms of time-squeeze and the partner’s education. Conclusions: We conclude that the relationship between women’s education and spacing behavior might be a causal one.

Suggested Citation

  • Tamás Bartus & Lívia Murinkó & Ivett Szalma & Bernadett Szél, 2013. "The effect of education on second births in Hungary," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(1), pages 1-32.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:28:y:2013:i:1
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2013.28.1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Lambert & Vincent Bremhorst, 2020. "Inclusion of time‐varying covariates in cure survival models with an application in fertility studies," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(1), pages 333-354, January.
    2. Bremhorst, Vincent & Kreyenfeld, Michaela & Lambert, Philippe, 2017. "Nonparametric double additive cure survival models: an application to the estimation of the nonlinear effect of age at first parenthood on fertility progression," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2017004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    3. Alessandra Trimarchi & Jan Van Bavel, 2018. "Gender differences and similarities in the educational gradient in fertility: The role of earnings potential and gender composition in study disciplines," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 39(13), pages 381-414.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fertility; education; Hungary; second births; partner effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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