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Preliminary Data Linking American Consumer Perceptions with Unauthorized Migration to the U.S

Author

Listed:
  • Amanda Venta

    (Sam Houston State University)

  • Ericka Ball Cooper

    (Sam Houston State University)

  • Justin Bristow

    (U.S. Border Patrol, Department of Homeland Security)

  • Enrique Venta

    (Lamar University)

Abstract

Unauthorized migration to the U.S. is frequent, though economic predictors are understudied. This study examined the predictive utility of U.S. economic metrics in relation to unauthorized migration 2000–2016. Findings indicated that economic metrics add significant predictive power to models predicting unauthorized migration up to 4 months later. The most predictive metric was the Consumer Confidence Index, indicating that the perception of U.S. economic health—rather than objective parameterization—is most relevant. To our knowledge, this is the first study to consider the Consumer Confidence Index and examine U.S. economic metrics over the last decade, in relation to unauthorized migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Amanda Venta & Ericka Ball Cooper & Justin Bristow & Enrique Venta, 2019. "Preliminary Data Linking American Consumer Perceptions with Unauthorized Migration to the U.S," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 279-290, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joimai:v:20:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s12134-018-0612-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s12134-018-0612-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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