IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jecfin/v48y2024i2d10.1007_s12197-024-09659-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Leverage adjustment analytics: effect of Covid-19 crisis on financial adjustments of Indian firms

Author

Listed:
  • Ravindra N. Shukla

    (ABV-Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management)

  • Vishal Vyas

    (ABV-Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management)

  • Animesh Chaturvedi

    (Indian Institute of Information Technology)

Abstract

The corporate firms are affected by the impact of Covid-19 crisis on business activities, cash flow, and firm leverage. It is required to analyze the Speed of Adjustment (SoA) through which firms adjust their leverage toward target during Covid-19. We conduct leverage adjustment analytics by estimating the partial adjustment model, which empirically analyzes the effect of Covid-19 crisis on leverage adjustment. To analyse SoA for book and market leverage of firms, we applied the well-known partial adjustment model. We constructed three research hypotheses and models as following. First, we analyzed the SoA for the Pre-Covid, Covid-19, and Post-Covid periods. Second, we analyzed the SoA for financially flexible and constrained firms during the Covid-19 crisis. Third, we evaluated the effect of three Covid waves on the leverage adjustment. We found three types of empirical evidence on 611 Indian firms to validate three proposed hypotheses and models. First, the SoA is faster during the Covid-19 crisis than Pre-Covid for Indian firms. During Covid-19 period, the SoA for (book and market) leverage per quarter is found to be (5.43% and 8.64%), which is higher than the Pre-Covid period (3.86% and 4.29%). The Post-Covid period recorded a higher SoA for book leverage (8.18%) and lower for market leverage (7.57%). Second, during Covid-19 period, the financially flexible firms had a faster SoA than the constrained firms. Third, Covid waves have positive and significant effects on the leverage adjustment of Indian firms. The robustness test confirms our findings that corporate firms had increased SoA during the Covid-19 crisis, and financially-flexible firms adjusted their leverage more rapidly than constrained firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Ravindra N. Shukla & Vishal Vyas & Animesh Chaturvedi, 2024. "Leverage adjustment analytics: effect of Covid-19 crisis on financial adjustments of Indian firms," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 513-543, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:48:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-024-09659-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-024-09659-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12197-024-09659-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12197-024-09659-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rüdiger Fahlenbrach & Kevin Rageth & René M Stulz, 2021. "How Valuable Is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis [The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5474-5521.
    2. Ivo Welch, 2004. "Capital Structure and Stock Returns," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(1), pages 106-131, February.
    3. Ajaya Kumar Panda & Swagatika Nanda & Apoorva Arunachal Hegde & Akhilesh Kumar Kamalakant Yadav, 2023. "Receptivity of capital structure with financial flexibility: A study on manufacturing firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1981-1993, April.
    4. Satish Kumar & Sisira Colombage & Purnima Rao, 2017. "Research on capital structure determinants: a review and future directions," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(2), pages 106-132, April.
    5. Abraham,Facundo & Cortina Lorente,Juan Jose & Schmukler,Sergio L., 2020. "Growth of Global Corporate Debt : Main Facts and Policy Challenges," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9394, The World Bank.
    6. Im, Hyun Joong & Kang, Ya & Shon, Janghoon, 2020. "How does uncertainty influence target capital structure?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Dominique Dufour & Philippe Luu & Pierre Teller, 2018. "The influence of cash flow on the speed of adjustment to the optimal capital structure," Post-Print hal-01661646, HAL.
    8. Yee Peng Chow & Junaina Muhammad & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Fan Fah Cheng, 2018. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, corporate governance and corporate capital structure," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(3), pages 301-321, March.
    9. Cook, Douglas O. & Tang, Tian, 2010. "Macroeconomic conditions and capital structure adjustment speed," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 73-87, February.
    10. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2021. "Macroeconomic effects of COVID‐19: A mid‐term review," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 439-458, October.
    11. Emilio Barucci & Luca Del Viva, 2013. "Dynamic capital structure and the contingent capital option," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 337-364, August.
    12. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    13. Li, Xiao-Ming & Qiu, Mei, 2021. "The joint effects of economic policy uncertainty and firm characteristics on capital structure: Evidence from US firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    14. Satish Kumar & Sisira Colombage & Purnima Rao, 2017. "Research on capital structure determinants: a review and future directions," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(2), pages 106-132, April.
    15. David Roodman, 2009. "How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 9(1), pages 86-136, March.
    16. John W. Barry & Murillo Campello & John Graham & Yueran Ma, 2022. "Corporate Flexibility in a Time of Crisis," NBER Working Papers 29746, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Aamer Shahzad & Muhammad Azeem & Mian Sajid Nazir & Xuan Vinh Vo & Nguyen T. M. Linh, 2021. "The determinants of capital structure: Evidence from SAARC countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6471-6487, October.
    18. Myers, Stewart C., 1984. "Capital structure puzzle," Working papers 1548-84., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
    19. Viral V Acharya & Sascha Steffen, 2020. "The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 430-471.
    20. Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli & Martinez Peria, Maria Soledad & Tressel, Thierry, 2020. "The global financial crisis and the capital structure of firms: Was the impact more severe among SMEs and non-listed firms?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    21. Sharma, Piyush & Leung, T.Y. & Kingshott, Russel P.J. & Davcik, Nebojsa S. & Cardinali, Silvio, 2020. "Managing uncertainty during a global pandemic: An international business perspective," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 188-192.
    22. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, 2023. "International Macroeconomics: From the Great Financial Crisis to COVID-19, and Beyond," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 1-34, March.
    23. Murray Z. Frank & Vidhan K. Goyal, 2009. "Capital Structure Decisions: Which Factors Are Reliably Important?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 38(1), pages 1-37, March.
    24. Hansen, Lars Peter & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1982. "Generalized Instrumental Variables Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(5), pages 1269-1286, September.
    25. Hovakimian, Armen & Opler, Tim & Titman, Sheridan, 2001. "The Debt-Equity Choice," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 1-24, March.
    26. Eugene F. Fama, 2002. "Testing Trade-Off and Pecking Order Predictions About Dividends and Debt," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 1-33, March.
    27. Flannery, Mark J. & Rangan, Kasturi P., 2006. "Partial adjustment toward target capital structures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 469-506, March.
    28. Yee Peng Chow & Junaina Muhammad & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Fan Fah Cheng, 2018. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, corporate governance and corporate capital structure," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(3), pages 301-321, March.
    29. Farhan Ahmed & Aamir Aijaz Syed & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Maria de las Nieves López-García & Jose Pedro Ramos-Requena & Swati Gupta, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Stock and Commodity Markets Performance and Sustainability: A Comparative Analysis of South Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-16, May.
    30. Berardino Palazzo, 2019. "Cash flows risk, capital structure, and corporate bond yields," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 401-420, September.
    31. Yan Jiang & Yaping Xu & Shengsheng Li, 2022. "How Does Monetary Policy Uncertainty Influence Firms’ Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    32. Rajan, Raghuram G & Zingales, Luigi, 1995. "What Do We Know about Capital Structure? Some Evidence from International Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1421-1460, December.
    33. He Huang & Ye Ye, 2021. "Rethinking capital structure decision and corporate social responsibility in response to COVID‐19," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 4757-4788, September.
    34. Daskalakis, Nikolaos & Balios, Dimitrios & Dalla, Violetta, 2017. "The behaviour of SMEs' capital structure determinants in different macroeconomic states," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 248-260.
    35. Mohina Saxena & Surajit Bhattacharyya, 2022. "Industry dynamics and capital structure choice: Evidence from Indian manufacturing firms," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 829-845, April.
    36. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:1:p:1-19 is not listed on IDEAS
    37. Sulagna Mukherjee & Jitendra Mahakud, 2010. "Dynamic adjustment towards target capital structure: evidence from Indian companies," Journal of Advances in Management Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 250-266, October.
    38. Goodell, John W., 2020. "COVID-19 and finance: Agendas for future research," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    39. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "Market Timing and Capital Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 1-32, February.
    40. Kraus, Alan & Litzenberger, Robert H, 1973. "A State-Preference Model of Optimal Financial Leverage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 28(4), pages 911-922, September.
    41. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:19-40 is not listed on IDEAS
    42. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    43. Zeitun, Rami & Temimi, Akram & Mimouni, Karim, 2017. "Do financial crises alter the dynamics of corporate capital structure? Evidence from GCC countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 21-33.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Iván Arribas & Emili Tortosa-Ausina & TingTing Zhu, 2021. "Optimal capital structure, model uncertainty, and European SMEs," Working Papers 2021/11, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    2. Elsas, Ralf & Florysiak, David, 2008. "Empirical Capital Structure Research: New Ideas, Recent Evidence, and Methodological Issues," Discussion Papers in Business Administration 4743, University of Munich, Munich School of Management.
    3. Dang, Viet Anh & Kim, Minjoo & Shin, Yongcheol, 2014. "Asymmetric adjustment toward optimal capital structure: Evidence from a crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 226-242.
    4. Raja Zekri Ben Hamouda & Nessrine Hamzaoui & Faouzi Jilani, 2023. "Capital Structure Determinants: New Evidence from the MENA Region Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 144-163, January.
    5. Elif Acar & Gamze Vural & Emin Hüseyin Çetenak, 2020. "Evidence for Financial Hierarchy Theory in Capital Structure Decisions: Data from BIST Companies," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(1), pages 29-50.
    6. Biswajit Ghose & Kailash Chandra Kabra, 2018. "Dynamic Capital Structure Adjustments and Business Group Affiliations: Indian Evidence," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 6(1), pages 27-41, January.
    7. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Determinants of Optimal Capital Structure and Speed of Adjustment: Evidence from the U.S. ICT Sector," Working papers 2019-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. Sardo, Filipe & Serrasqueiro, Zélia & Armada, Manuel Rocha, 2022. "The importance of owner loans for rebalancing the capital structure of small knowledge-intensive service firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Gopane, Thabo J. & Gandanhamo, Tanyaradzwa & Mabejane, John-Baptiste, 2023. "Technology firms and capital structure adjustment: Application of two-step system generalised method of moments," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 34-54.
    10. Dang, Tung Lam & Dang, Viet Anh & Moshirian, Fariborz & Nguyen, Lily & Zhang, Bohui, 2019. "News media coverage and corporate leverage adjustments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    11. Im, Hyun Joong & Faff, Robert & Ha, Chang Yong, 2022. "Uncertainty, investment spikes, and corporate leverage adjustments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    12. Mohamed, Hisham Hanifa & Masih, Mansur & Bacha, Obiyathulla I., 2015. "Why do issuers issue Sukuk or conventional bond? Evidence from Malaysian listed firms using partial adjustment models," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 233-252.
    13. Bajaj, Yukti & Kashiramka, Smita & Singh, Shveta, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and leverage dynamics: Evidence from an emerging economy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Dang, Viet Anh & Kim, Minjoo & Shin, Yongcheol, 2012. "Asymmetric capital structure adjustments: New evidence from dynamic panel threshold models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 465-482.
    15. Morais, Flávio & Serrasqueiro, Zélia & Ramalho, Joaquim J.S., 2022. "Capital structure speed of adjustment heterogeneity across zero leverage and leveraged European firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Zhou, Qing & Tan, Kelvin Jui Keng & Faff, Robert & Zhu, Yushu, 2016. "Deviation from target capital structure, cost of equity and speed of adjustment," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 99-120.
    17. Drobetz, Wolfgang & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Merikas, Andreas & Schröder, Henning, 2013. "Capital structure decisions of globally-listed shipping companies," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 49-76.
    18. Viet Anh Dang, 2011. "Testing Capital Structure Theories Using Error Correction Models: Evidence From The Uk, France And Germany," Post-Print hal-00732527, HAL.
    19. Natalia Szomko, 2017. "The Importance of Estimation Method Choice for the Analysis of the Determinants of Capital Structure– An Example of Poland," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 3(1), pages 3-20, June.
    20. Aflatooni, Abbas & Ghaderi, Kaveh & Mansouri, Kefsan, 2022. "Sanctions against Iran, political connections and speed of adjustment," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19 crisis; Firm leverage; Leverage adjustment; Financial crisis; Financial flexibility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:48:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-024-09659-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.