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Implied volatility surfaces and market activity over time

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  • Thierry Ané
  • Chiraz Labidi

Abstract

An impressive body of the literature has investigated the patterns of changes in implied volatilities across strike prices and maturities. Although such studies try to explain the existence of the volatility skew and term structure, they remain silent about the evolution of the volatility surface as time goes by and market variables move. Relying on a technique of signal processing called Independent Component Analysis, we extract volatility modes that account for most of the variations in the shape of the surface. We then relate the magnitude of volatility changes along those modes to market activity. Copyright Academy of Economics and Finance 2001

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  • Thierry Ané & Chiraz Labidi, 2001. "Implied volatility surfaces and market activity over time," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 25(3), pages 259-275, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:25:y:2001:i:3:p:259-275
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02745888
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Allen M. Poteshman, 2001. "Underreaction, Overreaction, and Increasing Misreaction to Information in the Options Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(3), pages 851-876, June.
    2. Longstaff, Francis A, 1995. "Option Pricing and the Martingale Restriction," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(4), pages 1091-1124.
    3. Stein, Elias M & Stein, Jeremy C, 1991. "Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 727-752.
    4. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    5. Rabemananjara, R & Zakoian, J M, 1993. "Threshold Arch Models and Asymmetries in Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 31-49, Jan.-Marc.
    6. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:6:p:2059-2106 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Emanuel Derman & Iraj Kani, 1998. "Stochastic Implied Trees: Arbitrage Pricing with Stochastic Term and Strike Structure of Volatility," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 61-110.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zura Kakushadze & Juan Andrés Serur, 2018. "151 Trading Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-030-02792-6, January.
    2. Chantziara, Thalia & Skiadopoulos, George, 2008. "Can the dynamics of the term structure of petroleum futures be forecasted? Evidence from major markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 962-985, May.
    3. Panigirtzoglou, Nikolaos & Skiadopoulos, George, 2004. "A new approach to modeling the dynamics of implied distributions: Theory and evidence from the S&P 500 options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1499-1520, July.

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