IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jagbes/v26y2021i3d10.1007_s13253-021-00442-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatially Smoothed Kernel Densities with Application to Crop Yield Distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Kuangyu Wen

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology)

  • Ximing Wu

    (Texas A&M University)

  • David J. Leatham

    (Texas A&M University)

Abstract

This study is motivated by the estimation of many crop yield densities, each with a small number of observations. These densities tend to resemble one another if they are spatially proximate. To gain flexibility and improve efficiency, we propose kernel-based estimators refined by empirical likelihood probability weights derived under spatially smoothed moment conditions. We construct spatially smoothed moments based on spline functions, which are robust to outliers and readily customizable. We use these methods to estimate the corn yield distributions of Iowa counties and to predict the premiums of crop insurance programs. Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application demonstrate the good performance and usefulness of the proposed methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuangyu Wen & Ximing Wu & David J. Leatham, 2021. "Spatially Smoothed Kernel Densities with Application to Crop Yield Distributions," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 26(3), pages 349-366, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jagbes:v:26:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s13253-021-00442-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s13253-021-00442-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13253-021-00442-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13253-021-00442-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Biao Zhang, 1997. "Quantile Processes in the Presence of Auxiliary Information," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 49(1), pages 35-55, March.
    2. Peter Robinson, 2011. "Asymptotic theory for nonparametric regression with spatial data," CeMMAP working papers CWP11/11, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Carbon, Michel & Tran, Lanh Tat & Wu, Berlin, 1997. "Kernel density estimation for random fields (density estimation for random fields)," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 115-125, December.
    4. Iversen, Edwin S, Jr, 2001. "Spatially Disaggregated Real Estate Indices," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(3), pages 341-357, July.
    5. Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Descriptive econometrics for non-stationary time series with empirical illustrations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 389-413.
    6. Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Jean‐Michel Etienne, 2015. "Hedonic Housing Prices in Paris: An Unbalanced Spatial Lag Pseudo‐Panel Model with Nested Random Effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 509-528, April.
    7. Lu, Zudi & Chen, Xing, 2004. "Spatial kernel regression estimation: weak consistency," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 125-136, June.
    8. Ani Eloyan & Sujit Ghosh, 2011. "Smooth density estimation with moment constraints using mixture distributions," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 513-531.
    9. Ardian Harri & Keith H. Coble & Alan P. Ker & Barry J. Goodwin, 2011. "Relaxing Heteroscedasticity Assumptions in Area-Yield Crop Insurance Rating," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(3), pages 703-713.
    10. Barry K. Goodwin & Alan P. Ker, 1998. "Nonparametric Estimation of Crop Yield Distributions: Implications for Rating Group-Risk Crop Insurance Contracts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(1), pages 139-153.
    11. Lee, Y. K. & Choi, H. & Park, B. U. & Yu, K. S., 2004. "Local likelihood density estimation on random fields," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 347-357, July.
    12. Hallin, Marc & Lu, Zudi & Tran, Lanh T., 2004. "Kernel density estimation for spatial processes: the L1 theory," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 61-75, January.
    13. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher, 2013. "Spatial Filtering, Model Uncertainty And The Speed Of Income Convergence In Europe," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 720-741, June.
    14. Robinson, P.M., 2011. "Asymptotic theory for nonparametric regression with spatial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(1), pages 5-19.
    15. Ryan R. Brady, 2011. "Measuring the diffusion of housing prices across space and over time," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 213-231, March.
    16. Alan P. Ker & Tor N. Tolhurst & Yong Liu, 2016. "Bayesian Estimation of Possibly Similar Yield Densities: Implications for Rating Crop Insurance Contracts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(2), pages 360-382.
    17. Badi H. Baltagi & Jing Li, 2014. "Further Evidence On The Spatio‐Temporal Model Of House Prices In The United States," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 515-522, April.
    18. Marc Hallin & Zudi Lu & Lanh T. Tran, 2001. "Density estimation for spatial linear processes," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2109, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    19. Tran, Lanh Tat, 1990. "Kernel density estimation on random fields," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 37-53, July.
    20. Banerjee S. & Gelfand A.E. & Knight J.R. & Sirmans C.F., 2004. "Spatial Modeling of House Prices Using Normalized Distance-Weighted Sums," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 206-213, April.
    21. Eunchun Park & B Wade Brorsen & Ardian Harri, 2019. "Using Bayesian Kriging for Spatial Smoothing in Crop Insurance Rating," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(1), pages 330-351.
    22. Marc Hallin & Zudi Lu & Lanh T. Tran, 2004. "Local linear spatial regression," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2131, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    23. Majumdar, Anandamayee & Munneke, Henry J. & Gelfand, Alan E. & Banerjee, Sudipto & Sirmans, C.F., 2006. "Gradients in Spatial Response Surfaces With Application to Urban Land Values," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 77-90, January.
    24. Zhengyan Lin & Degui Li & Jiti Gao, 2009. "Local Linear M‐estimation in non‐parametric spatial regression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 286-314, May.
    25. Vitor Ozaki & Barry Goodwin & Ricardo Shirota, 2008. "Parametric and nonparametric statistical modelling of crop yield: implications for pricing crop insurance contracts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(9), pages 1151-1164.
    26. Vitor Ozaki & Ralph Silva, 2009. "Bayesian ratemaking procedure of crop insurance contracts with skewed distribution," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 443-452.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:ags:aaea22:335759 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kuangyu Wen, 2023. "A semiparametric spatio‐temporal model of crop yield trend and its implication to insurance rating," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(5), pages 662-673, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tang Qingguo, 2015. "Robust estimation for spatial semiparametric varying coefficient partially linear regression," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1137-1161, November.
    2. Tang Qingguo, 2013. "B-spline estimation for semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear regression with spatial data," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 361-378, June.
    3. Zhengyan Lin & Degui Li & Jiti Gao, 2009. "Local Linear M‐estimation in non‐parametric spatial regression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 286-314, May.
    4. Jia Chen & Li-Xin Zhang, 2010. "Local linear M-estimation for spatial processes in fixed-design models," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 71(3), pages 319-340, May.
    5. Amiri, Aboubacar & Dabo-Niang, Sophie, 2018. "Density estimation over spatio-temporal data streams," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 148-170.
    6. Liangjun Su & Xi Qu, 2017. "Specification Test for Spatial Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 572-584, October.
    7. Jenish, Nazgul, 2012. "Nonparametric spatial regression under near-epoch dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 224-239.
    8. Mohamed El Machkouri, 2011. "Asymptotic normality of the Parzen–Rosenblatt density estimator for strongly mixing random fields," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 73-84, February.
    9. Zhenyu Jiang & Nengxiang Ling & Zudi Lu & Dag Tj⊘stheim & Qiang Zhang, 2020. "On bandwidth choice for spatial data density estimation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 82(3), pages 817-840, July.
    10. Sophie Dabo-Niang & Anne-Françoise Yao, 2013. "Kernel spatial density estimation in infinite dimension space," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 76(1), pages 19-52, January.
    11. Gao, Jiti & Lu, Zudi & Tjostheim, Dag, 2003. "Estimation in semiparametric spatial regression," MPRA Paper 11971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Park, Eunchun & Brorsen, Wade & Harri, Ardian, 2017. "Spatially Smoothed Crop Yield Density Estimation: Physical Distance vs Climate Similarity," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259145, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Abhimanyu Gupta & Javier Hidalgo, 2020. "Nonparametric prediction with spatial data," Papers 2008.04269, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    14. Mohammed Attouch & Ali Laksaci & Nafissa Messabihi, 2017. "Nonparametric relative error regression for spatial random variables," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 987-1008, December.
    15. Yong Liu & A. Ford Ramsey, 2023. "Incorporating historical weather information in crop insurance rating," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(2), pages 546-575, March.
    16. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry K. Goodwin, 2019. "Value-at-Risk and Models of Dependence in the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-21, April.
    17. Tang Qingguo & Chen Wenyu, 2022. "Estimation for partially linear additive regression with spatial data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(6), pages 2041-2063, December.
    18. Bouabsa Wahiba, 2022. "Unform in Bandwith of the Conditional Distribution Function with Functional Explanatory Variable: The Case of Spatial Data with the K Nearest Neighbour Method," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 26(2), pages 30-46, June.
    19. Park, Eunchun & Brorsen, B. Wade & Harri, Ardian, 2016. "Using Bayesian Spatial Smoothing and Extreme Value Theory to Develop Area-Yield Crop Insurance Rating," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235754, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Li, Linyuan, 2015. "Nonparametric adaptive density estimation on random fields using wavelet method," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 346-355.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jagbes:v:26:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s13253-021-00442-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.