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Reliability estimation of multi-component cascade system through Monte-Carlo simulation

Author

Listed:
  • A. N. Patowary

    (Assam Agricultural University)

  • J. Hazarika

    (Dibrugarh University)

  • G. L. Sriwastav

    (Dibrugarh University)

Abstract

In the context of interference models of reliability theory, the cascade system is a particular type of standby system where the stress faced by the new component taking the place of a failed component is attenuated by a factor K, where K may be a constant, parameter or even a random variable; K is called an attenuation factor. To estimate reliability or its other characteristic of cascade system by analytical method is very difficult due complicated reliability expressions. Further, the real life data are hard to come. In this paper, an attempt has been made to estimate the reliability $$\hat{R}$$ R ^ of a cascade system when stress–strength (S–S) follow either exponential, normal or gamma distribution by using Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS). We have checked normal approximation of estimated reliability samples ( $$\hat{R}$$ R ^ ) by normal probability plot (NPP) and fitted normal distribution to those estimated reliability samples for which NPP shows good normal approximation. We have also performed Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) one sample and $$\chi^{2}$$ χ 2 -test for goodness of fit. For test of significance between estimated reliability $$\hat{R}$$ R ^ and true reliability R for some given values of parameters of distributions, t test and z-test are performed.

Suggested Citation

  • A. N. Patowary & J. Hazarika & G. L. Sriwastav, 2018. "Reliability estimation of multi-component cascade system through Monte-Carlo simulation," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 9(6), pages 1279-1286, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijsaem:v:9:y:2018:i:6:d:10.1007_s13198-018-0716-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s13198-018-0716-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cadini, Francesco & Agliardi, Gian Luca & Zio, Enrico, 2017. "Estimation of rare event probabilities in power transmission networks subject to cascading failures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 9-20.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhiqiang Liu & Wenbo Zhu & Hongzhou Zhang & Shengjin Wang & Lu Fang & Weijun Hong & Hua Shao & Guopeng Wang, 2020. "Reliability evaluation of dynamic face recognition systems based on improved Fuzzy Dynamic Bayesian Network," International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, , vol. 16(3), pages 15501477209, March.
    2. Santosh B. Rane & Prathamesh R. Potdar & Suraj Rane, 2019. "Accelerated life testing for reliability improvement: a case study on Moulded Case Circuit Breaker (MCCB) mechanism," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 10(6), pages 1668-1690, December.

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