IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v26y2024i11d10.1007_s10668-023-03867-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An assessment of changes and variability of climate impact on cotton production yield over Southern Punjab, Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Iqra Shahzadi

    (Lahore College for Women University
    Konkuk University)

  • Nausheen Mazhar

    (Lahore College for Women University)

  • Sohail Abbas

    (Lahore College for Women University
    Konkuk University)

Abstract

As the country’s primary cash crop and the source of cattle feed, fiber, and oil, cotton is regarded as Pakistan’s economic backbone, contributing 0.8% of the national gross domestic product (GDP) and 4.1% of the agricultural value-added amount. South Punjab, Pakistan has remained a significant cotton belt of the country, however, in recent years, the region has witnessed a significant decline in annual cotton production. Cotton production in this region is threatened by several issues-including a decline in area under cultivation, increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall patterns, whitefly and other pest attacks due to changing climate. The objective of this study is to explore the possible impact of climatic variables on the decrease of cotton production in South Punjab, Pakistan over the years 2004 through 2020. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to analyze the correlation between climatic factors and cotton crop yield in the study area. The analysis indicated a weak positive effect of rainfall on cotton production during the flowering and picking stages in the Jhang district, as well as during the vegetative stage in the Vehari and Pakpattan districts. During the picking stage and germination stage in Rahim Yar Khan, minimum temperature has a significantly weak negative effect on cotton production respectively. This study aims to provide a framework for policy, incorporating certain valuable cotton varieties, suitable for the climate of the study area, that will help increase the country’s GDP by increasing cotton crop production in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Iqra Shahzadi & Nausheen Mazhar & Sohail Abbas, 2024. "An assessment of changes and variability of climate impact on cotton production yield over Southern Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 29331-29347, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:11:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03867-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03867-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-023-03867-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-023-03867-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raza, Amar & Ahmad, Munir, 2015. "Analysing the Impact of Climate Change on Cotton Productivity in Punjab and Sindh, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 72867, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. K. Hebbar & M. Venugopalan & A. Prakash & P. Aggarwal, 2013. "Simulating the impacts of climate change on cotton production in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 701-713, June.
    3. Muhammad Ali Imran & Asghar Ali & Muhammad Ashfaq & Sarfraz Hassan & Richard Culas & Chunbo Ma, 2018. "Impact of Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) Practices on Cotton Production and Livelihood of Farmers in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Anwar, Mumtaz & Chaudhry, Imran Sharif & Khan, Muhammad Bashir, 2009. "Factors Affecting Cotton Production in Pakistan:Empirical Evidence from Multan District," MPRA Paper 22829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Adnan Arshad & Muhammad Ali Raza & Yue Zhang & Lizhen Zhang & Xuejiao Wang & Mukhtar Ahmed & Muhammad Habib-ur-Rehman, 2021. "Impact of Climate Warming on Cotton Growth and Yields in China and Pakistan: A Regional Perspective," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zoia Arshad Awan & Tasneem Khaliq & Muhammad Masood Akhtar & Asad Imran & Muhammad Irfan & Muhammad Jarrar Ahmed & Ashfaq Ahmad, 2021. "Building Climate-Resilient Cotton Production System for Changing Climate Scenarios Using the DSSAT Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-26, September.
    2. Jamil, Ihsan & Jun, Wen & Mughal, Bushra & Waheed, Junaid & Hussain, Hadi & Waseem, Muhammad, 2021. "Agricultural Innovation: A comparative analysis of economic benefits gained by farmers under climate resilient and conventional agricultural practices," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    3. Imran Sajid & Bernhard Tischbein & Christian Borgemeister & Martina Flörke, 2022. "Assessing Barriers in Adaptation of Water Management Innovations under Rotational Canal Water Distribution System," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-16, June.
    4. Paige Seitz & Robert Strong & Steve Hague & Theresa P. Murphrey, 2022. "Evaluating Agricultural Extension Agent’s Sustainable Cotton Land Production Competencies: Subject Matter Discrepancies Restricting Farmers’ Information Adoption," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-17, November.
    5. Sohail Abbas & Zulfiqar Ali Mayo, 2021. "Impact of temperature and rainfall on rice production in Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1706-1728, February.
    6. Prabhu Pingali & Anaka Aiyar & Mathew Abraham & Andaleeb Rahman, 2019. "Transforming Food Systems for a Rising India," Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-3-030-14409-8, November.
    7. Md Nadiruzzaman & Mahjabeen Rahman & Uma Pal & Simon Croxton & Md Bazlur Rashid & Aditya Bahadur & Saleemul Huq, 2021. "Impact of Climate Change on Cotton Production in Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-17, January.
    8. Imran, Muhammad Ali & Ali, Asghar & Ashfaq, Muhammad & Hassan, Sarfraz & Culas, Richard & Ma, Chunbo, 2019. "Impact of climate smart agriculture (CSA) through sustainable irrigation management on Resource use efficiency: A sustainable production alternative for cotton," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Collins C. Okolie & Gideon Danso-Abbeam & Okechukwu Groupson-Paul & Abiodun A. Ogundeji, 2022. "Climate-Smart Agriculture Amidst Climate Change to Enhance Agricultural Production: A Bibliometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-23, December.
    10. Maurice Osewe & Chris Miyinzi Mwungu & Aijun Liu, 2020. "Does Minimum Tillage Improve Smallholder Farmers’ Welfare? Evidence from Southern Tanzania," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-12, December.
    11. Kamarudin Othman & Hapiza Omar & Hanani Ahmad Fuad & Jamilah Laidin & Irlisuhayu Mohd Ramli, 2020. "The causal impact of government support on the small strategic crop industry: malaysia`s experience," Asian Journal of Agriculture and rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(1), pages 298-310, June.
    12. Li, Na & Li, Yi & Yang, Qiliang & Biswas, Asim & Dong, Hezhong, 2024. "Simulating climate change impacts on cotton using AquaCrop model in China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    13. Muhammad Ali Imran & Asghar Ali & Muhammad Ashfaq & Sarfraz Hassan & Richard Culas & Chunbo Ma, 2018. "Impact of Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) Practices on Cotton Production and Livelihood of Farmers in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, June.
    14. Hasan, Faizan ul & Fatima, Bareerah & Heaney-Mustafa, Sandra, 2021. "A critique of successful elements of existing on-farm irrigation water management initiatives in Pakistan," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    15. Chen, Xiaoping & Qi, Zhiming & Gui, Dongwei & Gu, Zhe & Ma, Liwang & Zeng, Fanjiang & Li, Lanhai, 2019. "Simulating impacts of climate change on cotton yield and water requirement using RZWQM2," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 231-241.
    16. Mustafa, Ghulam & Latif, Ismail Abd & Ashfaq, Muhammad & Bashir, Muhammad Khalid & Shamsudin, Mad Nasir & Wan Daud, Wan Mohamed Noordin, 2017. "Adaptation Process To Climate Change In Agriculture- An Empirical Study," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(4), October.
    17. Daniel El Chami & André Daccache & Maroun El Moujabber, 2020. "How Can Sustainable Agriculture Increase Climate Resilience? A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-23, April.
    18. Yanxi Zhao & Dengpan Xiao & Huizi Bai & Jianzhao Tang & De Li Liu & Yongqing Qi & Yanjun Shen, 2022. "The Prediction of Wheat Yield in the North China Plain by Coupling Crop Model with Machine Learning Algorithms," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, December.
    19. Yongguang Hu & Ali Raza & Neyha Rubab Syed & Siham Acharki & Ram L. Ray & Sajjad Hussain & Hossein Dehghanisanij & Muhammad Zubair & Ahmed Elbeltagi, 2023. "Land Use/Land Cover Change Detection and NDVI Estimation in Pakistan’s Southern Punjab Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    20. Ajay Kumar Singh & Bhim Jyoti, 2019. "Measuring the Climate Variability Impact on Cash Crops Farming in India: An Empirical Investigation," Agriculture and Food Sciences Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 6(2), pages 155-165.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:11:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03867-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.