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A decision support tool for climate-informed and socioeconomic urban design

Author

Listed:
  • Ido Nevat

    (TUMCREATE)

  • Gloria Pignatta

    (University of New South Wales (UNSW))

  • Lea A. Ruefenacht

    (Singapore-ETH Centre (SEC), Singapore-ETH Centre)

  • Juan Angel Acero

    (Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology (SMART))

Abstract

We develop a novel statistical decision-theoretic framework for urban design from an outdoor thermal comfort (OTC), social and economic perspectives. We combine those aspects into spatio-temporal risk measures which provide a compact representation of the overall quality of an urban design scenarios (UDS) set. We then formulate the selection of the optimal design as an optimization problem which is easy to solve and has a clear interpretation. To illustrate how our framework can be used in practice, we present a real-world study, which is based on a set of UDS that aim to improve the OTC of a specific site in Singapore. We show how our framework provides decision makers the flexibility to make choices relevant to their design objectives, leading to informed and interpretable design option selection.

Suggested Citation

  • Ido Nevat & Gloria Pignatta & Lea A. Ruefenacht & Juan Angel Acero, 2021. "A decision support tool for climate-informed and socioeconomic urban design," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 7627-7651, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:5:d:10.1007_s10668-020-00937-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-00937-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert S. Pindyck, 2013. "Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 860-872, September.
    2. John Paravantis & Mat Santamouris & Constantinos Cartalis & Chrysanthi Efthymiou & Nikoletta Kontoulis, 2017. "Mortality Associated with High Ambient Temperatures, Heatwaves, and the Urban Heat Island in Athens, Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-22, April.
    3. Mehmet Cetin & Fatih Adiguzel & Omer Kaya & Ahmet Sahap, 2018. "Mapping of bioclimatic comfort for potential planning using GIS in Aydin," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 361-375, February.
    4. Loic Berger & Massimo Marinacci, 2017. "Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics," Working Papers 616, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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