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Overadaptation to Climate Change? The Case of the 2013 Finnish Electricity Market Act

Author

Listed:
  • Väinö Nurmi

    (Finnish Meteorological Institute
    University of Helsinki)

  • Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola

    (Finnish Meteorological Institute
    University of Helsinki)

  • Hilppa Gregow

    (Finnish Meteorological Institute)

  • Adriaan Perrels

    (Finnish Meteorological Institute)

Abstract

In this paper, we put forward a definition of over-adaptation in disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation (CCA) projects. We detail an illustrative case in which the response to extreme weather risk while aligned with the goals of CCA, is implemented beyond the economically efficient scale. We undertake a cost-benefit analysis of the 2013 Finnish Electricity Market Act, enacted partially as a reaction to long, storm-induced electricity blackouts experienced after 2000. The Act imposes strict requirements on electricity distribution companies as regards the duration of blackouts. Meeting these requirements entails investments amounting to billions of euros. As a benefit, we quantify the avoided cost from the blackouts for households and producers. Our results, derived from Monte-Carlo simulations, show that for urban areas, the net expected value is positive. However, in rural areas less strict requirements could have been economically more efficient. Our results indicate that distributional impacts and correspondence between those who benefit and those who pay the costs should be taken into account in DRR and CCA policies that require large-scale investments. We also note that the population affected by a disaster may not accept DRR and CCA that are successful in terms of regulation and implementation. This applies when societal and individual preferences do not coincide.

Suggested Citation

  • Väinö Nurmi & Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola & Hilppa Gregow & Adriaan Perrels, 2019. "Overadaptation to Climate Change? The Case of the 2013 Finnish Electricity Market Act," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 161-190, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ediscc:v:3:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s41885-018-0038-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s41885-018-0038-1
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    4. Jasiūnas, Justinas & Láng-Ritter, Ilona & Heikkinen, Tatu & Lund, Peter D., 2024. "Case beyond historical severity: Winds, faults, outages, and costs for electric grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
    5. Justinas Jasiūnas & Ilona Láng-Ritter & Tatu Heikkinen & Peter D. Lund, 2023. "Electricity Load Lost in the Largest Windstorms—Is the Fragility-Based Model up to the Task?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-23, July.

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