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Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

Author

Listed:
  • Joeri Rogelj

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science)

  • Malte Meinshausen

    (PRIMAP Group, Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
    School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne)

  • Reto Knutti

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science)

Abstract

Models and scenarios on which climate projection are based vary between IPCC reports. To facilitate meaningful comparison, this study provides probabilistic climate projections for different scenarios in a single consistent framework, incorporating the overall consensus understanding of the uncertainty in climate sensitivity, and constrained by the observed historical warming.

Suggested Citation

  • Joeri Rogelj & Malte Meinshausen & Reto Knutti, 2012. "Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(4), pages 248-253, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:2:y:2012:i:4:d:10.1038_nclimate1385
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1385
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