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Emigration Rates From Sample Surveys: An Application to Senegal

Author

Listed:
  • Frans Willekens

    (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)
    University of Groningen)

  • Sabine Zinn

    (University of Bamberg)

  • Matthias Leuchter

    (University of Rostock)

Abstract

What is the emigration rate of a country, and how reliable is that figure? Answering these questions is not at all straightforward. Most data on international migration are census data on foreign-born population. These migrant stock data describe the immigrant population in destination countries but offer limited information on the rate at which people leave their country of origin. The emigration rate depends on the number leaving in a given period and the population at risk of leaving, weighted by the duration at risk. Emigration surveys provide a useful data source for estimating emigration rates, provided that the estimation method accounts for sample design. In this study, emigration rates and confidence intervals are estimated from a sample survey of households in the Dakar region in Senegal, which was part of the Migration between Africa and Europe survey. The sample was a stratified two-stage sample with oversampling of households with members abroad or return migrants. A combination of methods of survival analysis (time-to-event data) and replication variance estimation (bootstrapping) yields emigration rates and design-consistent confidence intervals that are representative for the study population.

Suggested Citation

  • Frans Willekens & Sabine Zinn & Matthias Leuchter, 2017. "Emigration Rates From Sample Surveys: An Application to Senegal," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(6), pages 2159-2179, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:54:y:2017:i:6:d:10.1007_s13524-017-0622-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s13524-017-0622-y
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    Cited by:

    1. Mathias Lerch, 2020. "International Migration and City Growth in the Global South: An Analysis of IPUMS Data for Seven Countries, 1992–2013," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 46(3), pages 557-582, September.
    2. Giacomo Battiston & Lucia Corno & Eliana La Ferrara, 2024. "Informing Risky Migration: Evidence from a field experiment in Guinea," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def136, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    3. Wazir Asif & Goujon Anne, 2021. "Exploratory Assessment of the Census of Pakistan Using Demographic Analysis," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(3), pages 719-750, September.
    4. Jesse McDevitt-Irwin, 2024. "Child anemia and the 2008 food price crisis in Senegal," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 51(20), pages 637-668.
    5. Willekens Frans, 2019. "Evidence-Based Monitoring of International Migration Flows in Europe," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 231-277, March.
    6. Muhammad Asif Wazir & Anne Goujon, 2019. "Assessing the 2017 Census of Pakistan Using Demographic Analysis: A Sub-National Perspective," VID Working Papers 1906, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.

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