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Moving dynamic principal component analysis for non-stationary multivariate time series

Author

Listed:
  • Fayed Alshammri

    (University of Strathclyde
    Saudi Electronic University)

  • Jiazhu Pan

    (University of Strathclyde
    Yangze Normal University)

Abstract

This paper proposes an extension of principal component analysis to non-stationary multivariate time series data. A criterion for determining the number of final retained components is proposed. An advance correlation matrix is developed to evaluate dynamic relationships among the chosen components. The theoretical properties of the proposed method are given. Many simulation experiments show our approach performs well on both stationary and non-stationary data. Real data examples are also presented as illustrations. We develop four packages using the statistical software R that contain the needed functions to obtain and assess the results of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Fayed Alshammri & Jiazhu Pan, 2021. "Moving dynamic principal component analysis for non-stationary multivariate time series," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 2247-2287, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:36:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s00180-021-01081-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-021-01081-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2002. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 191-221, January.
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    5. Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2005. "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 830-840, September.
    6. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    7. Jiazhu Pan & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Modelling multiple time series via common factors," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(2), pages 365-379.
    8. Chang, Jinyuan & Guo, Bin & Yao, Qiwei, 2018. "Principal component analysis for second-order stationary vector time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84106, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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