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Impacts of climate change and agricultural diversification on agricultural production value of Thai farm households

Author

Listed:
  • Benjapon Prommawin

    (Chiang Mai University
    University of Cambridge)

  • Nattanun Svavasu

    (Chulalongkorn University
    Michigan State University)

  • Spol Tanpraphan

    (Chulalongkorn University
    Thailand Development Research Institute)

  • Voravee Saengavut

    (Khon Kaen University)

  • Theepakorn Jithitikulchai

    (Thammasat University)

  • Witsanu Attavanich

    (Kasetsart University)

  • Bruce A. McCarl

    (Texas A&M University)

Abstract

This paper examines how rising temperatures impact the agricultural production value of Thai farmers, compares potential adaptation strategies like agricultural diversification, and analyzes future projections based on IPCC AR6 scenarios. We analyze nationally representative socioeconomic survey data from farm households alongside ERA5 weather data, utilizing econometric regression analysis. Our analysis reveals that higher temperatures lead to a reduction in agricultural output value, with the situation expected to worsen as global warming progresses. Furthermore, we find that households with diversified production practices, such as a variety of agricultural activities or multicropping, exhibit a greater capacity to adapt to rising temperatures. These findings substantiate the importance of the country’s policies promoting integrated farming and diversified crop-mix strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjapon Prommawin & Nattanun Svavasu & Spol Tanpraphan & Voravee Saengavut & Theepakorn Jithitikulchai & Witsanu Attavanich & Bruce A. McCarl, 2024. "Impacts of climate change and agricultural diversification on agricultural production value of Thai farm households," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(7), pages 1-26, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:177:y:2024:i:7:d:10.1007_s10584-024-03732-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03732-3
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Agricultural diversification; Agricultural households; Climate resilience; Irrigation; Sustainable development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth

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