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Impact attribution: exploring the contribution of climate change to recent trends in hydrological processes—an editorial introduction

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  • Fred F. Hattermann

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31)

  • Valentina Krysanova

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31)

Abstract

The world is already in the midst of climate change and, in addition to preventing further climate change, it is of fundamental interest to analyse the existing impacts and implement appropriate adaptation measures. To this end, it is important to distinguish the influences of human management and land use change from the pure effects of climate change. However, the attribution of climate change effects in hydrology is still in its infancy, and the aim of this collection with its in total 9 articles is to contribute to a better understanding of the underlying methods on the one hand, and to quantify the recent consequences of climate change for hydrological processes on the other. The attribution of recent trends in mean annual discharge to climate change was possible in 42% of the 97 selected river basins from three continents investigated, mostly pointing on positive trends in streamflow: in Norway, northern Russia, northern Kazakhstan, western China and in the Lake Victoria basin. Negative trends in streamflow attributable to climate change were detected in the Blue Nile and Main Nile, in three basins of Central and South Asia and in the Selenga river.

Suggested Citation

  • Fred F. Hattermann & Valentina Krysanova, 2024. "Impact attribution: exploring the contribution of climate change to recent trends in hydrological processes—an editorial introduction," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(12), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:177:y:2024:i:12:d:10.1007_s10584-024-03804-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03804-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander Gelfan & Andrey Kalugin & Inna Krylenko, 2023. "Detection, attribution, and specifying mechanisms of hydrological changes in geographically different river basins," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(9), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Hemin Sun & Valentina Krysanova & Yu Gong & Miaoni Gao & Simon Treu & Ziyan Chen & Tong Jiang, 2024. "The recent trends of runoff in China attributable to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(11), pages 1-19, November.
    3. Shanshan Wen & Buda Su & Yanjun Wang & Jianqing Zhai & Hemin Sun & Ziyan Chen & Jinlong Huang & Anqian Wang & Tong Jiang, 2020. "Comprehensive evaluation of hydrological models for climate change impact assessment in the Upper Yangtze River Basin, China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1207-1226, December.
    4. Kevin E. Trenberth & John T. Fasullo & Theodore G. Shepherd, 2015. "Attribution of climate extreme events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 725-730, August.
    5. Xue Yang & Shaochun Huang, 2023. "Attribution assessment of hydrological trends and extremes to climate change for Northern high latitude catchments in Norway," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(10), pages 1-25, October.
    6. Geert Jan Oldenborgh & Karin Wiel & Sarah Kew & Sjoukje Philip & Friederike Otto & Robert Vautard & Andrew King & Fraser Lott & Julie Arrighi & Roop Singh & Maarten Aalst, 2021. "Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-27, May.
    7. Bijan Fallah & Masoud Rostami, 2024. "Exploring the impact of the recent global warming on extreme weather events in Central Asia using the counterfactual climate data ATTRICI v1.1," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(5), pages 1-20, May.
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