IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v168y2021i3d10.1007_s10584-021-03231-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Using empirical data and modeled scenarios of Everglades restoration to understand changes in coastal vulnerability to sea level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Shimelis B. Dessu

    (Florida International University
    South Florida Water Management District)

  • Rajendra Paudel

    (The Everglades Foundation)

  • René M. Price

    (Florida International University
    Florida International University)

  • Stephen E. Davis

    (The Everglades Foundation)

Abstract

Coastal areas are increasingly vulnerable to the effects of sea level rise, and the coastal Everglades is no exception. The Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) was launched in 2000 to restore the natural flow regime to the freshwater marshes of the Everglades. However, sea level rise has been affecting coastal habitats with increasing water levels and residence times of both salinity and marine nutrients. Here, we combined empirical data of water levels and sea levels with modeled CERP restoration scenarios. Water levels and fresh-to-marine head differences (FMHDs) were used as primary indicators of the vulnerability of the Everglades coastal areas to sea level rise and evaluate the relative benefits of restoration to these habitats. Four model scenarios were considered: a simulation of existing conditions baseline (ECB), full CERP implementation (CERP0), Central Everglades Planning Project with the Everglades Agricultural Area Reservoir (CEPPP), and a simulation of the natural/pre-drainage system scenario (NSM). Results demonstrated the differential vulnerability of coastal areas to sea level rise. The CEPPP restoration scenario achieved at least 60% and 30% of the full CERP freshwater and FMHD benefits in Shark River Slough, the largest freshwater flow-way in ENP, and Taylor Slough, the smaller flow-way in southeastern ENP, respectively. Hence, integration of FMHD metric in restoration efforts is essential to ensure restoration benefits extend beyond the freshwater marshes and improve coastal habitats.

Suggested Citation

  • Shimelis B. Dessu & Rajendra Paudel & René M. Price & Stephen E. Davis, 2021. "Using empirical data and modeled scenarios of Everglades restoration to understand changes in coastal vulnerability to sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-24, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:168:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03231-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03231-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03231-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03231-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amartya Saha & Sonali Saha & Jimi Sadle & Jiang Jiang & Michael Ross & René Price & Leonel Sternberg & Kristie Wendelberger, 2011. "Sea level rise and South Florida coastal forests," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 81-108, July.
    2. Kevin E. Trenberth & Aiguo Dai & Gerard van der Schrier & Philip D. Jones & Jonathan Barichivich & Keith R. Briffa & Justin Sheffield, 2014. "Global warming and changes in drought," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(1), pages 17-22, January.
    3. Nicholas D. Ward & J. Patrick Megonigal & Ben Bond-Lamberty & Vanessa L. Bailey & David Butman & Elizabeth A. Canuel & Heida Diefenderfer & Neil K. Ganju & Miguel A. Goñi & Emily B. Graham & Charles S, 2020. "Representing the function and sensitivity of coastal interfaces in Earth system models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Ivan D. Haigh & Thomas Wahl & Eelco J. Rohling & René M. Price & Charitha B. Pattiaratchi & Francisco M. Calafat & Sönke Dangendorf, 2014. "Timescales for detecting a significant acceleration in sea level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-11, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Linghui Guo & Yuanyuan Luo & Yao Li & Tianping Wang & Jiangbo Gao & Hebing Zhang & Youfeng Zou & Shaohong Wu, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Changes and the Prediction of Drought Characteristics in a Major Grain-Producing Area of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-19, November.
    2. Muhammad Amin & Mobushir Riaz Khan & Sher Shah Hassan & Muhammad Imran & Muhammad Hanif & Irfan Ahmad Baig, 2023. "Determining satellite-based evapotranspiration product and identifying relationship with other observed data in Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 23-39, January.
    3. Wang, Han & Xiang, Youzhen & Liao, Zhenqi & Wang, Xin & Zhang, Xueyan & Huang, Xiangyang & Zhang, Fucang & Feng, Li, 2024. "Integrated assessment of water-nitrogen management for winter oilseed rape production in Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    4. Jinsoo Hwang & Hyunjoon Kim, 2019. "Consequences of a green image of drone food delivery services: The moderating role of gender and age," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(5), pages 872-884, July.
    5. Rui Zhang & Taotao Chen & Daocai Chi, 2020. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index at Different Time Scales in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, February.
    6. D. Chiru Naik & Sagar Rohidas Chavan & P. Sonali, 2023. "Incorporating the climate oscillations in the computation of meteorological drought over India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2617-2646, July.
    7. Zhang, Yuliang & Wu, Zhiyong & Singh, Vijay P. & Lin, Qingxia & Ning, Shaowei & Zhou, Yuliang & Jin, Juliang & Zhou, Rongxing & Ma, Qiang, 2023. "Agricultural drought characteristics in a typical plain region considering irrigation, crop growth, and water demand impacts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    8. Eva O. Arceo-Gómez & Danae Hernández-Cortés & Alejandro López-Feldman, 2020. "Droughts and rural households’ wellbeing: evidence from Mexico," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1197-1212, October.
    9. Ding, Yugang & Xu, Jiangmin, 2023. "Global vulnerability of agricultural commodities to climate risk: Evidence from satellite data," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 669-687.
    10. Weili Duan & Bin He & Daniel Nover & Jingli Fan & Guishan Yang & Wen Chen & Huifang Meng & Chuanming Liu, 2016. "Floods and associated socioeconomic damages in China over the last century," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 401-413, May.
    11. Hossein Mikhak & Mehdi Rahimian & Saeed Gholamrezai, 2022. "Implications of changing cropping pattern to low water demand plants due to climate change: evidence from Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 9833-9850, August.
    12. Baez, Javier E. & Kshirsagar, Varun & Skoufias, Emmanuel, 2024. "Drought-sensitive targeting and child growth faltering in Southern Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    13. Zheng Zeng & Wei-Ge Luo & Fa-Cheng Yi & Feng-Yu Huang & Cheng-Xia Wang & Yi-Ping Zhang & Qiang-Qiang Cheng & Zhe Wang, 2021. "Horizontal Distribution of Cadmium in Urban Constructed Wetlands: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-14, May.
    14. Zhang, Junwei & Xiang, Lingxiao & Zhu, Chenxi & Li, Wuqiang & Jing, Dan & Zhang, Lili & Liu, Yong & Li, Tianlai & Li, Jianming, 2023. "Evaluating the irrigation schedules of greenhouse tomato by simulating soil water balance under drip irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    15. Yuqing Zhang & Guangxiong Mao & Changchun Chen & Liucheng Shen & Binyu Xiao, 2021. "Population Exposure to Compound Droughts and Heatwaves in the Observations and ERA5 Reanalysis Data in the Gan River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-28, September.
    16. Nicolas Misailidis Stríkis & Plácido Fabrício Silva Melo Buarque & Francisco William Cruz & Juan Pablo Bernal & Mathias Vuille & Ernesto Tejedor & Matheus Simões Santos & Marília Harumi Shimizu & Ange, 2024. "Modern anthropogenic drought in Central Brazil unprecedented during last 700 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Fahad Rasheed & Adnan Gondal & Kamziah Abdul Kudus & Zikria Zafar & Muhammad Farrakh Nawaz & Waseem Razzaq Khan & Muhammad Abdullah & Faridah Hanum Ibrahim & Claire Depardieu & Ahmad Mustapha Mohamad , 2021. "Effects of Soil Water Deficit on Three Tree Species of the Arid Environment: Variations in Growth, Physiology, and Antioxidant Enzyme Activities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-13, March.
    18. O'Meara, Theresa A. & Thornton, Peter E. & Ricciuto, Daniel M. & Noyce, Genevieve L. & Rich, Roy L. & Megonigal, J.Patrick, 2021. "Considering coasts: Adapting terrestrial models to characterize coastal wetland ecosystems," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 450(C).
    19. Ionuţ Minea & Marina Iosub & Daniel Boicu, 2022. "Multi-scale approach for different type of drought in temperate climatic conditions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1153-1177, January.
    20. Shahzad, Umer & Schneider, Nicolas & Ben Jebli, Mehdi, 2021. "How coal and geothermal energies interact with industrial development and carbon emissions? An autoregressive distributed lags approach to the Philippines," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:168:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03231-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.