IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v166y2021i3d10.1007_s10584-021-03136-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring annual lake dynamics in Xinjiang (China): spatiotemporal features and driving climate factors from 2000 to 2019

Author

Listed:
  • Lilin Zheng

    (East China Normal University
    East China Normal University)

  • Zilong Xia

    (Nanjing University)

  • Jianhua Xu

    (East China Normal University
    East China Normal University)

  • Yaning Chen

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Haiqing Yang

    (East China Normal University
    East China Normal University)

  • Dahui Li

    (East China Normal University
    East China Normal University)

Abstract

Lake water resources are vital in Xinjiang, northwestern China, a mountainous region that depends highly on melting runoff, making it susceptible to climate change. The interannual dynamics of lakes in Xinjiang and the driving mechanism of climate factors are however poorly understood. Here, we used the newly developed monthly water map datasets, the climate dataset from the ERA5 reanalysis, hydrological datasets from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), the Pearson correlation analysis, and a geographically and temporally weighted regression to characterize the spatial-temporal dynamics of the lakes in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2019 and further to explore their response to climate factors. We found that the number of lakes and the area that they cover in Xinjiang have increased significantly over the past two decades, with average increase rates of 5 lakes/year and 63.26 km2/year, respectively. The most significant expansion of lakes occurred in the alpine areas (3000–5000 m). Precipitation can directly contribute to lake expansion for almost all lakes. Influences of recent warming were more complicated, with the promotion effects occurred in higher bands. We found lakes in Tianshan Mountains, fed by the most rapidly retreating glaciers, were relatively stable or even contracted. Remarkable lake expansion was found in the continuous permafrost zone of Kunlun Mountains, where the climate warming resulted in an increase in meltwater from ground ice, which has contributed to increasing of ground water storage and accelerated lake expansion. The overall expansion of lakes in Xinjiang is alarming because an initial short-term increase may be followed by a long-term shrinkage due to the increasing consumption and retreat of ice materials. This research provides data to support water resources management in Xinjiang and is also relevant for climate change in other regions that receive water from surrounding mountains.

Suggested Citation

  • Lilin Zheng & Zilong Xia & Jianhua Xu & Yaning Chen & Haiqing Yang & Dahui Li, 2021. "Exploring annual lake dynamics in Xinjiang (China): spatiotemporal features and driving climate factors from 2000 to 2019," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-20, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03136-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03136-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03136-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03136-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. N. Pettitt, 1979. "A Non‐Parametric Approach to the Change‐Point Problem," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 28(2), pages 126-135, June.
    2. Jean-François Pekel & Andrew Cottam & Noel Gorelick & Alan S. Belward, 2016. "High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes," Nature, Nature, vol. 540(7633), pages 418-422, December.
    3. K. M. Walter & S. A. Zimov & J. P. Chanton & D. Verbyla & F. S. Chapin, 2006. "Methane bubbling from Siberian thaw lakes as a positive feedback to climate warming," Nature, Nature, vol. 443(7107), pages 71-75, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Congjian Sun & Shiyu Wang & Wei Chen, 2022. "Hydrochemical Characteristics and the Relationship between Surface and Groundwater in a Typical ‘Mountain–Oasis’ Ecosystem in Central Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-25, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Natalya Misyurkeeva & Igor Buddo & Gleb Kraev & Aleksandr Smirnov & Alexey Nezhdanov & Ivan Shelokhov & Anna Kurchatova & Andrei Belonosov, 2022. "Periglacial Landforms and Fluid Dynamics in the Permafrost Domain: A Case from the Taz Peninsula, West Siberia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
    2. Giacomo Falchetta & Nicolò Stevanato & Magda Moner-Girona & Davide Mazzoni & Emanuela Colombo & Manfred Hafner, 2020. "M-LED: Multi-sectoral Latent Electricity Demand Assessment for Energy Access Planning," Working Papers 2020.09, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. Stephen J. Déry & Marco A. Hernández-Henríquez & Tricia A. Stadnyk & Tara J. Troy, 2021. "Vanishing weekly hydropeaking cycles in American and Canadian rivers," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Berggreen, Steve & Mattisson, Linn, 2023. "The Curse of Bad Geography: Stagnant Water, Diseases, and Children’s Human Capital," Working Papers 2023:11, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    5. Nicolás Ruiz, Néstor & Suárez Alonso, María Luisa & Vidal-Abarca, María Rosario, 2021. "Contributions of dry rivers to human well-being: A global review for future research," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    6. Jinlong Li & Genxu Wang & Chunlin Song & Shouqin Sun & Jiapei Ma & Ying Wang & Linmao Guo & Dongfeng Li, 2024. "Recent intensified erosion and massive sediment deposition in Tibetan Plateau rivers," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Kazi Ali Tamaddun & Ajay Kalra & Sajjad Ahmad, 2019. "Spatiotemporal Variation in the Continental US Streamflow in Association with Large-Scale Climate Signals Across Multiple Spectral Bands," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 1947-1968, April.
    8. Jie Yang & Yimin Wang & Jun Yao & Jianxia Chang & Guoxin Xu & Xin Wang & Hui Hu, 2020. "Coincidence probability analysis of hydrologic low-flow under the changing environment in the Wei River Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 1711-1726, September.
    9. Alina Bărbulescu & Cristian Ștefan Dumitriu, 2021. "On the Connection between the GEP Performances and the Time Series Properties," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(16), pages 1-19, August.
    10. Alfredas Račkauskas & Martin Wendler, 2020. "Convergence of U-processes in Hölder spaces with application to robust detection of a changed segment," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1409-1435, August.
    11. Hsin-Yu Chen & Yu-Hsiang Hsu & Chia-Chi Huang & Hsin-Fu Yeh, 2023. "Baseflow Variation in Southern Taiwan Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-23, February.
    12. Catherine Araujo Bonjean & Alioune N’diaye & Olivier Santoni, 2019. "Who benefits from the return of the rains? The case of the Ferlo breeders in Senegal [A qui profite le retour des pluies ? Le cas des éleveurs du Ferlo]," CERDI Working papers halshs-02419601, HAL.
    13. Mohammad Zeynoddin & Hossein Bonakdari & Silvio José Gumiere & Alain N. Rousseau, 2023. "Multi-Tempo Forecasting of Soil Temperature Data; Application over Quebec, Canada," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-21, June.
    14. Romy Hulskamp & Arjen Luijendijk & Bas Maren & Antonio Moreno-Rodenas & Floris Calkoen & Etiënne Kras & Stef Lhermitte & Stefan Aarninkhof, 2023. "Global distribution and dynamics of muddy coasts," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Jian Zhang & Xiaoqian Liu & Yao Qin & Yaoyuan Fan & Shuqian Cheng, 2024. "Wetlands Mapping and Monitoring with Long-Term Time Series Satellite Data Based on Google Earth Engine, Random Forest, and Feature Optimization: A Case Study in Gansu Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-25, September.
    16. Vinícius B. P. Chagas & Pedro L. B. Chaffe & Günter Blöschl, 2022. "Climate and land management accelerate the Brazilian water cycle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Zhang, Yuliang & Wu, Zhiyong & Singh, Vijay P. & Lin, Qingxia & Ning, Shaowei & Zhou, Yuliang & Jin, Juliang & Zhou, Rongxing & Ma, Qiang, 2023. "Agricultural drought characteristics in a typical plain region considering irrigation, crop growth, and water demand impacts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    18. Roquia Salam & Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam & Shakibul Islam, 2020. "Spatiotemporal distribution and prediction of groundwater level linked to ENSO teleconnection indices in the northwestern region of Bangladesh," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 4509-4535, June.
    19. Jing Xu & Ping Zhao & Johnny C. L. Chan & Mingyuan Shi & Chi Yang & Siyu Zhao & Ying Xu & Junming Chen & Ling Du & Jie Wu & Jiaxin Ye & Rui Xing & Huimei Wang & Lu Liu, 2024. "Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Paulilo Brasil & Pedro Medeiros, 2020. "NeStRes – Model for Operation of Non-Strategic Reservoirs for Irrigation in Drylands: Model Description and Application to a Semiarid Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 195-210, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03136-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.