IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v159y2020i2d10.1007_s10584-020-02656-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impacts of climate change on the evaporation and availability of water in small reservoirs in the Brazilian savannah

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Althoff

    (Federal University of Viçosa (UFV))

  • Lineu Neiva Rodrigues

    (Brazilian Agricultural Research Agency (EMBRAPA – Cerrados))

  • Demetrius David Silva

    (Federal University of Viçosa (UFV))

Abstract

The Cerrado (Brazilian savannah) is one of the few places in the world that has the potential to increase crop production to meet the projected food demand for 2050. However, for agriculture to be sustainable in this region, irrigation must be efficient. This depends on the water stored in small reservoirs, which play an important role in supporting the local economy. The increase in temperature and net radiation predicted by global climate models may increase the evaporation and reduce the availability of water in these small reservoirs. This work assesses the projected impact of climate change on small reservoir evaporation and water availability in the Brazilian savannah using data from the Eta-HadGEM2-ES and Eta-MIROC5 regional climate models under representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5. Evaporation increases of 7.3% (1.09 mm/year−1) and 18.4% (2.74 mm/year−1) are projected in RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively, by the year 2100. The water stored in reservoirs is projected to decrease in the future, resulting in higher risks of failure in water supply, especially from the smaller reservoirs. Overall, evaporation increases are expected to reduce the availability of water in small reservoirs during the dry season by 5.5% in RCP 4.5 and 10.4% in RCP 8.5.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Althoff & Lineu Neiva Rodrigues & Demetrius David Silva, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on the evaporation and availability of water in small reservoirs in the Brazilian savannah," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 215-232, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:159:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02656-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02656-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-020-02656-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-020-02656-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tari, Ali Fuat, 2016. "The effects of different deficit irrigation strategies on yield, quality, and water-use efficiencies of wheat under semi-arid conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 1-10.
    2. Antonino, A.C.D. & Hammecker, C. & Montenegro, S.M.L.G. & Netto, A.M. & Angulo-Jaramillo, R. & Lira, C.A.B.O., 2005. "Subirrigation of land bordering small reservoirs in the semi-arid region in the Northeast of Brazil: monitoring and water balance," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 131-147, May.
    3. Nathaniel D. Mueller & Ethan E. Butler & Karen A. McKinnon & Andrew Rhines & Martin Tingley & N. Michele Holbrook & Peter Huybers, 2016. "Cooling of US Midwest summer temperature extremes from cropland intensification," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 317-322, March.
    4. Ellen Hanak & Jay Lund, 2012. "Adapting California’s water management to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(1), pages 17-44, March.
    5. Geerts, Sam & Raes, Dirk, 2009. "Deficit irrigation as an on-farm strategy to maximize crop water productivity in dry areas," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(9), pages 1275-1284, September.
    6. Iglesias, Ana & Garrote, Luis, 2015. "Adaptation strategies for agricultural water management under climate change in Europe," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 113-124.
    7. Maarten Krol & Marjella Vries & Pieter Oel & José Araújo, 2011. "Sustainability of Small Reservoirs and Large Scale Water Availability Under Current Conditions and Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(12), pages 3017-3026, September.
    8. Lineu Rodrigues & Edson Sano & Tammo Steenhuis & Denílson Passo, 2012. "Estimation of Small Reservoir Storage Capacities with Remote Sensing in the Brazilian Savannah Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(4), pages 873-882, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hayibo, Koami Soulemane & Pearce, Joshua M., 2022. "Foam-based floatovoltaics: A potential solution to disappearing terminal natural lakes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 859-872.
    2. Alisson Lopes Rodrigues & Lineu Neiva Rodrigues & Guilherme Fernandes Marques & Pedro Manuel Villa, 2023. "Simulation Model to Assess the Water Dynamics in Small Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(5), pages 2019-2038, March.
    3. Fernando Roberto dos Santos & Giovana Katie Wiecheteck & Jorim Sousa das Virgens Filho & Gabriel Alfredo Carranza & Terrence Lynn Chambers & Afef Fekih, 2022. "Effects of a Floating Photovoltaic System on the Water Evaporation Rate in the Passaúna Reservoir, Brazil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-16, August.
    4. Julian David Hunt & Giacomo Falchetta & Behnam Zakeri & Andreas Nascimento & Paulo Smith Schneider & Natália Assis Brasil Weber & André Luiz Amarante Mesquita & Paulo Sergio Franco Barbosa & Nivalde J, 2020. "Hydropower impact on the river flow of a humid regional climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 379-393, November.
    5. Hunt, Julian David & Nascimento, Andreas & Caten, Carla Schwengber ten & Tomé, Fernanda Munari Caputo & Schneider, Paulo Smith & Thomazoni, André Luis Ribeiro & Castro, Nivalde José de & Brandão, Robe, 2022. "Energy crisis in Brazil: Impact of hydropower reservoir level on the river flow," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    6. López-Felices, Belén & Aznar-Sánchez, Jose A. & Velasco-Muñoz, Juan F. & Mesa-Vázquez, Ernesto, 2023. "Examining the perceptions and behaviours of farmers regarding the installation of covers over irrigation ponds: Evidence from South-east Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    7. Perin, Vinicius & Tulbure, Mirela G. & Gaines, Mollie D. & Reba, Michele L. & Yaeger, Mary A., 2021. "On-farm reservoir monitoring using Landsat inundation datasets," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    8. Javier Senent-Aparicio & Adrián López-Ballesteros & Francisco Cabezas & Julio Pérez-Sánchez & Eugenio Molina-Navarro, 2021. "A Modelling Approach to Forecast the Effect of Climate Change on the Tagus-Segura Interbasin Water Transfer," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(11), pages 3791-3808, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Althoff, Daniel & Filgueiras, Roberto & Dias, Santos Henrique Brant & Rodrigues, Lineu Neiva, 2019. "Impact of sum-of-hourly and daily timesteps in the computations of reference evapotranspiration across the Brazilian territory," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    2. Zeng, Ruiyun & Yao, Fengmei & Zhang, Sha & Yang, Shanshan & Bai, Yun & Zhang, Jiahua & Wang, Jingwen & Wang, Xin, 2021. "Assessing the effects of precipitation and irrigation on winter wheat yield and water productivity in North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    3. Memon, Shamim Ara & Sheikh, Irfan Ahemd & Talpur, Mashooque Ali & Mangrio, Munir Ahmed, 2021. "Impact of deficit irrigation strategies on winter wheat in semi-arid climate of sindh," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    4. Yang, Chenyao & Fraga, Helder & Ieperen, Wim Van & Santos, João Andrade, 2017. "Assessment of irrigated maize yield response to climate change scenarios in Portugal," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 178-190.
    5. Asmamaw, Desale Kidane & Janssens, Pieter & Dessie, Mekete & Tilahun, Seifu A. & Adgo, Enyew & Nyssen, Jan & Walraevens, Kristine & Assaye, Habtamu & Yenehun, Alemu & Nigate, Fenta & Cornelis, Wim M., 2023. "Effect of deficit irrigation and soil fertility management on wheat production and water productivity in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    6. Belén López-Felices & José A. Aznar-Sánchez & Juan F. Velasco-Muñoz & María Piquer-Rodríguez, 2020. "Contribution of Irrigation Ponds to the Sustainability of Agriculture. A Review of Worldwide Research," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Zeng, Ruiyun & Lin, Xiaomao & Welch, Stephen M. & Yang, Shanshan & Huang, Na & Sassenrath, Gretchen F. & Yao, Fengmei, 2023. "Impact of water deficit and irrigation management on winter wheat yield in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    8. Ahmadian, Kamiar & Jalilian, Jalal & Pirzad, Alireza, 2021. "Nano-fertilizers improved drought tolerance in wheat under deficit irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    9. Stepanovic, Strahinja & Rudnick, Daran & Kruger, Greg, 2021. "Impact of maize hybrid selection on water productivity under deficit irrigation in semiarid western Nebraska," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    10. Singh, Sukhbir & Angadi, Sangamesh V. & Grover, Kulbhushan K. & Hilaire, Rolston St. & Begna, Sultan, 2016. "Effect of growth stage based irrigation on soil water extraction and water use efficiency of spring safflower cultivars," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 432-439.
    11. D. Santillán & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & V. Sotes, 2020. "Climate change risks and adaptation: new indicators for Mediterranean viticulture," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 881-899, May.
    12. Tang, Jiankai & Yang, Qiliang & Liang, Jiaping & Wang, Haidong & Yue, Xiulu, 2024. "Water management, planting slope indicators, and economic benefit analysis for Panax notoginseng production decision under shaded and rain-shelter cultivation: A three-year sloping fields experiment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    13. Romero, Pascual & Botía, Pablo & del Amor, Francisco M. & Gil-Muñoz, Rocío & Flores, Pilar & Navarro, Josefa María, 2019. "Interactive effects of the rootstock and the deficit irrigation technique on wine composition, nutraceutical potential, aromatic profile, and sensory attributes under semiarid and water limiting condi," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    14. Koffi Djaman & Suat Irmak & Komlan Koudahe & Samuel Allen, 2021. "Irrigation Management in Potato ( Solanum tuberosum L.) Production: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-19, February.
    15. Nazemi, Neda & Foley, Rider W. & Louis, Garrick & Keeler, Lauren Withycombe, 2020. "Divergent agricultural water governance scenarios: The case of Zayanderud basin, Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    16. Ellen Hanak & Georgina Moreno, 2012. "California coastal management with a changing climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(1), pages 45-73, March.
    17. Giulio Sperandio & Mauro Pagano & Andrea Acampora & Vincenzo Civitarese & Carla Cedrola & Paolo Mattei & Roberto Tomasone, 2022. "Deficit Irrigation for Efficiency and Water Saving in Poplar Plantations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-16, October.
    18. Motazedian, Azam & Kazemeini, Seyed Abdolreza & Bahrani, Mohammad Jafar, 2019. "Sweet corn growth and GrainYield as influenced by irrigation and wheat residue management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 1-1.
    19. Zhang, Liyuan & Zhang, Huihui & Zhu, Qingzhen & Niu, Yaxiao, 2023. "Further investigating the performance of crop water stress index for maize from baseline fluctuation, effects of environmental factors, and variation of critical value," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    20. Alisson Lopes Rodrigues & Lineu Neiva Rodrigues & Guilherme Fernandes Marques & Pedro Manuel Villa, 2023. "Simulation Model to Assess the Water Dynamics in Small Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(5), pages 2019-2038, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:159:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02656-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.