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Assessing variations of extreme indices inducing weather-hazards on critical infrastructures over Europe—the INTACT framework

Author

Listed:
  • A. Reder

    (CMCC Foundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, REMHI division
    University Federico II)

  • M. Iturbide

    (IFCA (CSIC-University of Cantabria))

  • S. Herrera

    (Univ. Cantabria)

  • G. Rianna

    (CMCC Foundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, REMHI division)

  • P. Mercogliano

    (CMCC Foundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, REMHI division
    CIRA Centro Italiano Ricerche Aerospaziali, Laboratory of Meteorology)

  • J. M. Gutiérrez

    (IFCA (CSIC-University of Cantabria))

Abstract

Extreme weather events are projected to be more frequent and severe across the globe because of global warming. This poses challenging problems for critical infrastructures, which could be dramatically affected (or disrupted), and may require adaptation plans to the changing climate conditions. The INTACT FP7-European project evaluated the resilience and vulnerability of critical infrastructures to extreme weather events in a climate change scenario. To identify changes in the hazard induced by climate change, appropriate extreme weather indicators (EWIs), as proxies of the main atmospheric features triggering events with high impact on the infrastructures, were defined for a number of case studies and different approaches were analyzed to obtain local climate projections. We considered the influence of weighting and bias correction schemes on the delta approach followed to obtain the resulting projections, considering data from the Euro-CORDEX ensemble of regional future climate scenarios over Europe. The aim is to provide practitioners, decision-makers, and administrators with appropriate methods to obtain actionable and plausible results on local/regional future climate scenarios. Our results show a small sensitivity to the weighting approach and a large sensitivity to bias correcting the future projections.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Reder & M. Iturbide & S. Herrera & G. Rianna & P. Mercogliano & J. M. Gutiérrez, 2018. "Assessing variations of extreme indices inducing weather-hazards on critical infrastructures over Europe—the INTACT framework," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 123-138, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:148:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2184-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2184-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wilby,Robert L., 2017. "Climate Change in Practice," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107143456, January.
    2. Wilby,Robert L., 2017. "Climate Change in Practice," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781316507773, January.
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    4. Douglas Maraun & Theodore G. Shepherd & Martin Widmann & Giuseppe Zappa & Daniel Walton & José M. Gutiérrez & Stefan Hagemann & Ingo Richter & Pedro M. M. Soares & Alex Hall & Linda O. Mearns, 2017. "Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(11), pages 764-773, November.
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    1. Zhang, Mingyang & Zhang, Kaiwen & Hu, Wuyang & Zhu, Bangzhu & Wang, Ping & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2020. "Exploring the climatic impacts on residential electricity consumption in Jiangsu, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Alfredo Reder & Mario Raffa & Myriam Montesarchio & Paola Mercogliano, 2020. "Performance evaluation of regional climate model simulations at different spatial and temporal scales over the complex orography area of the Alpine region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 151-177, May.
    3. Zhuohang Li & Tao Shen & Yifen Yin & Hsing Hung Chen, 2022. "Innovation Input, Climate Change, and Energy-Environment-Growth Nexus: Evidence from OECD and Non-OECD Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-19, November.
    4. Argyroudis, Sotirios A. & Mitoulis, Stergios Α. & Winter, Mike G. & Kaynia, Amir M., 2019. "Fragility of transport assets exposed to multiple hazards: State-of-the-art review toward infrastructural resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).

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