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Climate change threats to one of the world’s largest cross-country skiing races

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  • Martin Falk

    (University of Iceland School of Social Sciences)

  • Eva Hagsten

    (University of Iceland School of Social Sciences)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between climate variability and the participant cancellation ratio at one of the world’s oldest, longest and largest cross-country skiing races, the Vasaloppet. This race is held in the Swedish region of Dalarna on the first Sunday of March each year. Data are based on the number of registered and starting skiers and local weather conditions (natural snow supply and temperature) for the period 1951–2016. As the dependent variable is bounded between zero and one, the fractional logit model is employed. Estimations show that a lack of natural snow significantly increases the cancellation ratio. In particular, a decline in snow depth from the average level of 57 to 30 cm over the sample period leads to an increase of 3.3 percentage points in the cancellation ratio. Interestingly, the dependence on natural snow has declined in absolute terms in recent years due to various adaptation practices, such as snow storage and snow production.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten, 2017. "Climate change threats to one of the world’s largest cross-country skiing races," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 59-71, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:143:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-017-1992-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1992-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeffrey Englin & Klaus Moeltner, 2004. "The Value of Snowfall to Skiers and Boarders," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 29(1), pages 123-136, September.
    2. Hajibaba, Homa & Boztuğ, Yasemin & Dolnicar, Sara, 2016. "Preventing tourists from canceling in times of crises," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 48-62.
    3. Camille Gonseth, 2013. "Impact of snow variability on the Swiss winter tourism sector: implications in an era of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 307-320, July.
    4. H. Visser & A. Petersen, 2009. "The likelihood of holding outdoor skating marathons in the Netherlands as a policy-relevant indicator of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 93(1), pages 39-54, March.
    5. Falk, Martin & Hagsten, Eva, 2016. "Importance of early snowfall for Swedish ski resorts: Evidence based on monthly data," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 61-73.
    6. Marc Pons & Juan López-Moreno & Martí Rosas-Casals & Èric Jover, 2015. "The vulnerability of Pyrenean ski resorts to climate-induced changes in the snowpack," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 591-605, August.
    7. Landauer, Mia & Pröbstl, Ulrike & Haider, Wolfgang, 2012. "Managing cross-country skiing destinations under the conditions of climate change – Scenarios for destinations in Austria and Finland," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 741-751.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cheryl Mallen & Greg Dingle, 2021. "Organizing Sport for Climate Related Adaptations: Lessons from the Water and Forestry Industries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-14, September.
    2. Patricia Aranda-Cuéllar & José María López-Morales & María Jesús Such-Devesa, 2021. "Winter tourism dependence: A cyclical and cointegration analysis. Case study for the Alps," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(7), pages 1540-1560, November.

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