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Modelling the combined impacts of sea-level rise and land subsidence on storm tides induced flooding of the Huangpu River in Shanghai, China

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  • Jie Yin
  • Dapeng Yu
  • Zhane Yin
  • Jun Wang
  • Shiyuan Xu

Abstract

This paper presents a scenario-based study that investigates the interaction between sea-level rise and land subsidence on the storm tides induced fluvial flooding in the Huangpu river floodplain. Two projections of relative sea level rise (RSLR) were presented (2030 and 2050). Water level projections at the gauging stations for different return periods were generated using a simplified algebraic summation of the eustatic sea-level rise, land subsidence and storm tide level. Frequency analysis with relative sea level rise taken into account shows that land subsidence contributes to the majority of the RSLR (between 60 % and 70 %). Furthermore, a 1D/2D coupled flood inundation model (FloodMap) was used to predict the river flow and flood inundation, after calibration using the August 1997 flood event. Numerical simulation with projected RSLR suggests that, the combined impact of eustatic sea-level rise and land subsidence would be a significantly reduced flood return period for a given water level, thus effective degradation of the current flood defences. In the absence of adaptation measures, storm flooding will cause up to 40 % more inundation, particularly in the upstream of the river. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Yin & Dapeng Yu & Zhane Yin & Jun Wang & Shiyuan Xu, 2013. "Modelling the combined impacts of sea-level rise and land subsidence on storm tides induced flooding of the Huangpu River in Shanghai, China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(3), pages 919-932, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:119:y:2013:i:3:p:919-932
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0749-9
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    1. Nicola Ranger & Stéphane Hallegatte & Sumana Bhattacharya & Murthy Bachu & Satya Priya & K. Dhore & Farhat Rafique & P. Mathur & Nicolas Naville & Fanny Henriet & Celine Herweijer & Sanjib Pohit & Jan, 2011. "An assessment of the potential impact of climate change on flood risk in Mumbai," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 139-167, January.
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    6. Anamaria Bukvic & Julia Gohlke & Aishwarya Borate & Jessica Suggs, 2018. "Aging in Flood-Prone Coastal Areas: Discerning the Health and Well-Being Risk for Older Residents," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-25, December.
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    10. Octavio Rojas & María Mardones & Carolina Martínez & Luis Flores & Katia Sáez & Alberto Araneda, 2018. "Flooding in Central Chile: Implications of Tides and Sea Level Increase in the 21st Century," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, November.
    11. A. D. Rao & Puja Upadhaya & Hyder Ali & Smita Pandey & Vidya Warrier, 2020. "Coastal inundation due to tropical cyclones along the east coast of India: an influence of climate change impact," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(1), pages 39-57, March.
    12. P. M. Orton & F. R. Conticello & F. Cioffi & T. M. Hall & N. Georgas & U. Lall & A. F. Blumberg & K. MacManus, 2020. "Flood hazard assessment from storm tides, rain and sea level rise for a tidal river estuary," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(2), pages 729-757, June.
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