IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v115y2012i3p667-691.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Trend analysis of wave direction and associated impacts on the Catalan coast

Author

Listed:
  • M. Casas-Prat
  • J. Sierra

Abstract

The effects of climate change are currently a red-hot issue in the scientific community. However, little attention has been paid to the effects of climate change on the wave climate and, in particular, on wave directionality. In this study, we developed a methodology of trend analysis and extrapolation of mean wave climate. We used the parameters of a typical wave rose: frequencies of wave height intervals and directional sectors. The trend over time was estimated by means of linear regression analysis after applying a transformation according to the nature of the (compositional) data. Then, the wave climate was extrapolated up to 2050 assuming the same previously estimated trend and part of the uncertainty was assessed with the bootstrapping technique. Additionally, to get an idea of the magnitude of the consequences of the identified trends, we carried out an impact assessment, in terms of coastal morphodynamics and harbour operability, comparing the present situation with the extrapolation. To assess the impact on coastal morphodynamics, we compared the gradients of long-shore sediment transport to evaluate possible changes in beach retreat/accretion tendency, and to assess harbour operability, we studied the possible impact on harbour agitation in three port case studies. This study was carried out on the Catalan coast (NW Mediterranean Sea) and was based on 40 nodes of 44 years of wave hindcast data. The main impacts on the wave climate were found to be a reduction in the waves coming from the north and northeast and an increase in events coming from the south. This apparently significant change in directionality could result in changes in the prevailing dynamic pattern along more than 70 % of the Catalan coast (e.g. some apparently stable beaches could become erosive) although these results have associated a large uncertainty and are not statistically significant. On the other hand, harbour agitation is expected to increase with statistical significance (by up to 18 % on average) because the studied ports, like most of Catalonia’s ports, are oriented towards the south-southwest. Copyright The Author(s) 2012

Suggested Citation

  • M. Casas-Prat & J. Sierra, 2012. "Trend analysis of wave direction and associated impacts on the Catalan coast," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 667-691, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:115:y:2012:i:3:p:667-691
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0466-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-012-0466-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-012-0466-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anna Zacharioudaki & Dominic Reeve, 2011. "Shoreline evolution under climate change wave scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(1), pages 73-105, September.
    2. Mir Mousavi & Jennifer Irish & Ashley Frey & Francisco Olivera & Billy Edge, 2011. "Global warming and hurricanes: the potential impact of hurricane intensification and sea level rise on coastal flooding," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(3), pages 575-597, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. J. Sierra & M. Casas-Prat, 2014. "Analysis of potential impacts on coastal areas due to changes in wave conditions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 861-876, June.
    2. Nerea Portillo Juan & Vicente Negro Valdecantos & Jose María del Campo, 2022. "Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-16, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jhantu Dey & Sayani Mazumder, 2023. "Development of an integrated coastal vulnerability index and its application to the low-lying Mandarmani–Dadanpatrabar coastal sector, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3243-3273, April.
    2. Ahmad Taki & Viet Ha Xuan Doan, 2022. "A New Framework for Sustainable Resilient Houses on the Coastal Areas of Khanh Hoa, Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-31, June.
    3. J. Sierra & M. Casas-Prat, 2014. "Analysis of potential impacts on coastal areas due to changes in wave conditions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 861-876, June.
    4. Joseph Park & Jayantha Obeysekera & Michelle Irizarry & Jenifer Barnes & Paul Trimble & Winifred Park-Said, 2011. "Storm surge projections and implications for water management in South Florida," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 109-128, July.
    5. Davina L. Passeri & Matthew V. Bilskie & Nathaniel G. Plant & Joseph W. Long & Scott C. Hagen, 2018. "Dynamic modeling of barrier island response to hurricane storm surge under future sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 413-425, August.
    6. Lee, Ji Yun & Ellingwood, Bruce R., 2017. "A decision model for intergenerational life-cycle risk assessment of civil infrastructure exposed to hurricanes under climate change," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 100-107.
    7. Jennifer Irish & Alison Sleath & Mary Cialone & Thomas Knutson & Robert Jensen, 2014. "Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) under sea level and climate conditions for 1900," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(4), pages 635-649, February.
    8. Bukvic, A. & Mitchell, A. & Shao, Y. & Irish, J.L., 2023. "Spatiotemporal implications of flooding on relocation risk in rural and urban coastal municipalities," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Cillian P. McDowell & Luisa Andrade & Eoin O’Neill & Kevin O’Malley & Jean O’Dwyer & Paul D. Hynds, 2020. "Gender-Related Differences in Flood Risk Perception and Behaviours among Private Groundwater Users in the Republic of Ireland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-14, March.
    10. Michael Berlemann & Max Friedrich Steinhardt, 2017. "Climate Change, Natural Disasters, and Migration—a Survey of the Empirical Evidence," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 63(4), pages 353-385.
    11. Tsvetan Tsvetanov & Farhed Shah, 2013. "The economic value of delaying adaptation to sea-level rise: An application to coastal properties in Connecticut," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 177-193, November.
    12. Godart, Peter & Hart, Douglas, 2020. "Aluminum-powered climate change resiliency: From aluminum debris to electricity and clean water," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    13. Dimuthu Ratnadiwakara & Buvaneshwaran Venugopal, 2023. "Climate risk perceptions and demand for flood insurance," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 297-331, June.
    14. Karthik Balaguru & David R. Judi & L. Ruby Leung, 2016. "Future hurricane storm surge risk for the U.S. gulf and Florida coasts based on projections of thermodynamic potential intensity," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 99-110, September.
    15. Meri Davlasheridze & Qin Fan & Wesley Highfield & Jiaochen Liang, 2021. "Economic impacts of storm surge events: examining state and national ripple effects," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-20, May.
    16. Piyali Chowdhury & Manasa Ranjan Behera & Dominic E. Reeve, 2020. "Future wave-climate driven longshore sediment transport along the Indian coast," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 405-424, September.
    17. Eoin O'Neill & Finbarr Brereton & Harutyun Shahumyan & J. Peter Clinch, 2016. "The Impact of Perceived Flood Exposure on Flood‐Risk Perception: The Role of Distance," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(11), pages 2158-2186, November.
    18. Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado & Ricardo Laureano, 2024. "Bringing Back Reef Fish: Sustainable Impacts of Community-Based Restoration of Elkhorn Coral ( Acropora palmata ) in Vega Baja, Puerto Rico (2008–2023)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-43, July.
    19. Tian Qiao & Hussein Hoteit & Marwan Fahs, 2021. "Semi-Analytical Solution to Assess CO 2 Leakage in the Subsurface through Abandoned Wells," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-15, April.
    20. Jianzhi Dong & Fangni Lei & Wade T. Crow, 2022. "Land transpiration-evaporation partitioning errors responsible for modeled summertime warm bias in the central United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:115:y:2012:i:3:p:667-691. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.