IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/apjors/v5y2021i1d10.1007_s41685-020-00176-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial impacts of fiscal stimulus policies during the 2009 global financial crisis in Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Budy P. Resosudarmo

    (Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University)

  • Abdurohman

    (Indonesian Ministry of Finance)

  • Arief A. Yusuf

    (Padjadjaran University)

  • Djoni Hartono

    (University of Indonesia)

Abstract

In response to the 2008/2009 global financial crisis (GFC), many developing countries, including Indonesia, launched fiscal stimulus packages (FSP). These FSPs typically consist of several sophisticated fiscal policies that may not necessarily complement each other. While the impact of these policies at the aggregate country level in developed countries has been widely discussed, the spatial impact of these policies within developing countries is less understood. Utilizing an inter-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, this paper aims to assess and understand the short- and long-term economic impacts of these stimulus policies using Indonesia as a case study. This paper, hence, provides a quantitative ex-post assessment of FSPs typically implemented during the 2009 GFC by developing economies. Overall, results, indicate that fiscal stimulus had a positive impact on aggregate demand and on poverty prevention, principally via stimulating private consumption. Corporate income tax cuts have the largest economic impact in the long-run, and cash transfers are the most useful policy tool for alleviating poverty. An FSP, however, could have an uneven spatial distributional effect on output across regions, particularly in the short-term.

Suggested Citation

  • Budy P. Resosudarmo & Abdurohman & Arief A. Yusuf & Djoni Hartono, 2021. "Spatial impacts of fiscal stimulus policies during the 2009 global financial crisis in Indonesia," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 305-326, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:5:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s41685-020-00176-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s41685-020-00176-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s41685-020-00176-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s41685-020-00176-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. W. Max Corden, 2010. "The theory of the fiscal stimulus: how will a debt-financed stimulus affect the future?," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 26(1), pages 38-47, Spring.
    2. Arief Yusuf & Budy Resosudarmo, 2015. "On the distributional impact of a carbon tax in developing countries: the case of Indonesia," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 17(1), pages 131-156, January.
    3. W. Corden, 2011. "Ambulance Economics: The Pros and Cons of Fiscal Stimuli," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 235-245, April.
    4. Geoffrey J. D. Hewings & Michael Sonis & Moss Madden & Yoshio Kimura (ed.), 1999. "Understanding and Interpreting Economic Structure," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, number 978-3-662-03947-2.
    5. Ms. Selma Mahfouz & Mr. Richard Hemming & Mr. Michael Kell, 2002. "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity: A Review of the Literature," IMF Working Papers 2002/208, International Monetary Fund.
    6. James Giesecke & Chris Schilling, 2010. "The economic impact of the New Zealand fiscal stimulus package," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 231-257.
    7. Adelman, Irma & Robinson, Sherman, 1988. "Macroeconomic adjustment and income distribution : Alternative models applied to two economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 23-44, July.
    8. Leigh Andrew, 2012. "How Much Did the 2009 Australian Fiscal Stimulus Boost Demand? Evidence from Household-Reported Spending Effects," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-24, March.
    9. Matthew D. Shapiro & Joel Slemrod, 2003. "Did the 2001 Tax Rebate Stimulate Spending? Evidence from Taxpayer Surveys," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 17, pages 83-110, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Robinson, Sherman, 1991. "Macroeconomics, financial variables, and computable general equilibrium models," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 19(11), pages 1509-1525, November.
    11. Diao, Xinshen & Zhang, Yumei & Chen, Kevin Z., 2012. "The global recession and China's stimulus package: A general equilibrium assessment of country level impacts," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 1-17.
    12. Budy P. Resosudarmo & Luky Eko Wuryanto & Geoffrey J. Hewings & Lindsay Saunders, 1999. "Decentralization and Income Distribution in the Inter-Regional Indonesian Economy," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Geoffrey J. D. Hewings & Michael Sonis & Moss Madden & Yoshio Kimura (ed.), Understanding and Interpreting Economic Structure, chapter 15, pages 297-315, Springer.
    13. Adelman, Irma & Yeldan, Erinc, 2000. "The Minimal Conditions for a Financial Crisis: A Multiregional Intertemporal CGE Model of the Asian Crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1087-1100, June.
    14. Thorbecke, Erik, 1991. "Adjustment, growth and income distribution in Indonesia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 19(11), pages 1595-1614, November.
    15. Euijune Kim & Kabsung Kim, 2002. "Impacts of regional development strategies on growth and equity of Korea: A multiregional CGE model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 36(1), pages 165-180.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yuventus Effendi & Budy Resosudarmo, 2022. "Inter-regional System Of Analysis For East Asia: A Manual," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 202201, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Oct 2022.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuventus Effendi & Budy Resosudarmo, 2022. "Inter-regional System Of Analysis For East Asia: A Manual," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 202201, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Oct 2022.
    2. Yuventus Effendi & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2022. "Socio-economic and environmental impact of intended decarbonisation policies in the East Asian region," Departmental Working Papers 2022-03, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    3. Abdurohman & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2017. "The Behavior Of Fiscal Policy In Indonesia In Response To Economic Cycles," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(02), pages 377-401, June.
    4. Bruno Martorano, 2015. "Lessons from the recent economic crisis: the Australian household stimulus package," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 309-327, May.
    5. Hiroshi SAKAMOTO, 2012. "CGE Analysis of Transportation Cost and Regional Economy: East Asia and Northern Kyushu," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 121-140, June.
    6. Djoni Hartono & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2006. "The Economy-wide Impact of Fuel Oil, Gas and Electricity Pricing and Subsidy Policies as well as Their Consumption Improvement Efficiency in Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200611, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Dec 2006.
    7. Kronberger, Ralf & Schmid, Christoph, 2018. "Effects of the Austrian Income Tax Reform 2015/2016 on Private Consumption: Survey Findings," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 275, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    8. Naomi Feldman & Ori Heffetz, 2022. "A Grant to Every Citizen: Survey Evidence of the Impact of a Direct Government Payment in Israel," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(2), pages 229-263.
    9. Jha, Shikha & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Park, Donghyun & Quising, Pilipinas F., 2014. "Effectiveness of countercyclical fiscal policy: Evidence from developing Asia," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 82-98.
    10. van Ruijven, Bas J. & O’Neill, Brian C. & Chateau, Jean, 2015. "Methods for including income distribution in global CGE models for long-term climate change research," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 530-543.
    11. Glyn Wittwer & Mark Horridge, 2010. "Bringing Regional Detail to a CGE Model using Census Data," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 229-255.
    12. Sakamoto, Hiroshi, 2013. "Study of Regional Disparity in Indonesia Using a Multi-region CGE Model," AGI Working Paper Series 2013-01, Asian Growth Research Institute.
    13. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Singapore: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2008/281, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Mr. Leif Lybecker Eskesen, 2009. "Countering the Cycle—The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Korea," IMF Working Papers 2009/249, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Giesecke, James A. & Madden, John R., 2013. "Regional Computable General Equilibrium Modeling," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 379-475, Elsevier.
    16. Michelle Gilmartin & David Learmouth & J Kim Swales & Peter McGregor & Karen Turner, 2013. "Regional Policy Spillovers: The National Impact of Demand-Side Policy in an Interregional Model of the UK Economy," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 45(4), pages 814-834, April.
    17. Haider A. Khan, 2007. "Social Accounting Matrix: A Very Short Introduction for Economic Modeling," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-477, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    18. Achim Truger, 2015. "Implementing the golden rule for public investment in Europe," Working Paper Reihe der AK Wien - Materialien zu Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft 138, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik.
    19. William Edmondson & Matthew Shane & Agapi Somwaru, 2007. "Global Macroeconomic Shocks and U.S. Agriculture: An Interactive Matrix Approach," EcoMod2007 23900022, EcoMod.
    20. Effendi, Yuventus & Resosudarmo, Budy, 2020. "Development of Renewable Energy in ASEAN Countries: Socio-economic and Environmental Impacts," Conference papers 333229, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic crisis; Fiscal stimulus; Spatial general equilibrium model; Macro–micro-economic model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:5:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s41685-020-00176-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.