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The Theory of the Fiscal Stimulus: How Will a Debt-Financed Stimulus Affect the Future?

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  • W. Max Corden

    (Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne)

Abstract

Conservative critics of Keynesian fiscal stimulus policies usually criticise such policies because of the increase in public debt that results. Hence a burden on future taxpayers would be imposed. But there are qualifications. Firstly, if there is an initial output gap that cannot be eliminated with monetary policy, fiscal expansion will increase current output, and this will lead not only to higher current consumption but also to higher savings. These savings will yield a benefit for the future. Secondly, if at least some of the stimulus finances public investment, for example in infrastructure, there are also likely to be benefits for the future. The paper also discusses moneyfinancing of the deficit, the automatic stabilisers, and exchange rate effects of a fiscal stimulus. Finally, it underlines the need for a unified policy that produces both fiscal surpluses in a boom and deficits in a slump.

Suggested Citation

  • W. Max Corden, 2009. "The Theory of the Fiscal Stimulus: How Will a Debt-Financed Stimulus Affect the Future?," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2009n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    • Handle: RePEc:iae:iaewps:wp2009n15
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    File URL: http://melbourneinstitute.unimelb.edu.au/downloads/working_paper_series/wp2009n15.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Verick, Sher. & Islam, Iyanatul,, 2010. "The great recession of 2008-2009 : causes, consequences and policy responses," ILO Working Papers 994576933402676, International Labour Organization.
    2. Abdurohman & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2017. "The Behavior Of Fiscal Policy In Indonesia In Response To Economic Cycles," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(02), pages 377-401, June.
    3. I. A. Sokolov & S. G. Belev & O. V. Suchkova, 2021. "How to Ensure Fiscal Sustainability in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 383-390, July.
    4. Mosley, Max, 2021. "The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery," MPRA Paper 108620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. repec:ilo:ilowps:457693 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. W. Corden, 2011. "Ambulance Economics: The Pros and Cons of Fiscal Stimuli," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 235-245, April.
    7. Budy P. Resosudarmo & Abdurohman & Arief A. Yusuf & Djoni Hartono, 2021. "Spatial impacts of fiscal stimulus policies during the 2009 global financial crisis in Indonesia," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 305-326, February.
    8. Jha, Shikha & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Park, Donghyun & Quising, Pilipinas F., 2014. "Effectiveness of countercyclical fiscal policy: Evidence from developing Asia," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 82-98.
    9. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Rossana Merola, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation: Part 1. How Much is Needed and How to Reduce Debt to a Prudent Level?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 932, OECD Publishing.
    10. Neil Hart, 2011. "Mainstream Macroeconomics: A ‘Keynesian’ Revival?," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 22(1), pages 17-40, May.

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