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Do Temperature and Humidity Affect the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2?-A Flexible Regression Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Md. Rezaul Karim

    (Jahangirnagar University)

  • Mst. Bithi Akter

    (Jahangirnagar University)

  • Sejuti Haque

    (Jahangirnagar University)

  • Nazmin Akter

    (Jahangirnagar University)

Abstract

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a highly transmissible virus that causes Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Temperature and humidity are two essential factors in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 affect the respiratory system of human. This study aimed to investigate the effects of temperature and humidity on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the Spread Covid-19. The daily number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, and the number of death due to Covid-19 are considered the response variables. Data are collected from March 08, 2020 to January 31, 2021. A flexible regression model under the Generalized Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape framework is used to analyze data. The temperature and humidity have a significant impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The temperature is highly significant in the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases and number of death due to COVID-19. In contrast, the humidity is significant on the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, but it is insignificant on the number of death due to COVID-19 at a 5% level of significance. The analysis revealed that both the temperature and humidity inversely affected the daily number of deaths and new cases of COVID-19.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Rezaul Karim & Mst. Bithi Akter & Sejuti Haque & Nazmin Akter, 2022. "Do Temperature and Humidity Affect the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2?-A Flexible Regression Analysis," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 153-173, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:aodasc:v:9:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s40745-021-00351-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s40745-021-00351-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ewen Callaway, 2020. "The coronavirus is mutating — does it matter?," Nature, Nature, vol. 585(7824), pages 174-177, September.
    2. R. A. Rigby & D. M. Stasinopoulos, 2005. "Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(3), pages 507-554, June.
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