IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/aodasc/v6y2019i4d10.1007_s40745-019-00198-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Dynamic Panel Gravity Model Application on the Determinant Factors of Ethiopia’s Coffee Export Performance

Author

Listed:
  • Wondesen Teshome Bekele

    (Dire Dawa University)

  • Fekadu Gelaw Mersha

    (Haramaya University)

Abstract

Ethiopia’s coffee export earning percentage share in the total export has been rapidly waning over the last decades while it is the first commodity in currency grossing of the country. Since, this study analyses the determinant factors of Ethiopia’s coffee exports (ECE) performance, in the dimension of export sales, via a more realistic model application, dynamic panel gravity model. It commences with the disintegration of the determinant into supply- and demand-side factors. It used short panel data that comprise 71 countries of consistent Ethiopia’s coffee importers for the period of 11 years from 2005 to 2015. The panel unit root test of Harris–Tzavalis was made for each variable and applied the first difference transformation for the variables that had a unit root. The system model of a linear dynamic panel gravity model was specified and estimated with two-step general method moment estimation approach. The model results suggested that lagged ECE performance, real gross domestic product (GDP) of importing countries, Ethiopian population, Ethiopian real GDP, openness to trade of importing countries, Ethiopian institutional quality, and weighted distance were found to be the determinant factors of Ethiopia’s coffee exports performance. The study also implied policies that would promote institutional quality or permits favorable market environments, supply capacity, trade liberalization, and destination with relatively cheaper transportation costs in order to progress Ethiopia’s coffee exports performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Wondesen Teshome Bekele & Fekadu Gelaw Mersha, 2019. "A Dynamic Panel Gravity Model Application on the Determinant Factors of Ethiopia’s Coffee Export Performance," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 787-806, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:aodasc:v:6:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s40745-019-00198-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s40745-019-00198-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s40745-019-00198-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s40745-019-00198-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    2. Sotja G. Dlamini & Abdi-Khalil Edriss & Alexander R. Phiri & Micah B. Masuku, 2016. "Determinants of Swaziland¡¯s Sugar Export: A Gravity Model Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(10), pages 71-81, October.
    3. David Roodman, 2009. "A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(1), pages 135-158, February.
    4. David Roodman, 2009. "How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 9(1), pages 86-136, March.
    5. Peter Egger, 2002. "An Econometric View on the Estimation of Gravity Models and the Calculation of Trade Potentials," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 297-312, February.
    6. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    7. Andrew Mold & Sebastian Paulo & Annalisa Prizon, 2009. "Taking Stock of the Credit Crunch: Implications for Development Finance and Global Governance," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 277, OECD Publishing.
    8. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    9. Windmeijer, Frank, 2005. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 25-51, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fassil Eshetu & Abule Mehare, 2020. "Determinants of Ethiopian Agricultural Exports: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Review of Market Integration, India Development Foundation, vol. 12(1-2), pages 70-94, August.
    2. Fassil Eshetu & Nega Eshetu, 2023. "Impact of Exchange Rate on Ethiopian Trade Balance: Evidence from ARDL Model," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(5), pages 1217-1236, October.
    3. mohammed, habib, 2023. "Modeling Determinants of Private Banks Profitability in Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 116699, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Roseline Misati & Kethi Ngoka, 2021. "Constraints on the performance and competitiveness of Tanzania's manufacturing exports," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-35, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Piliuk, Anastasiia & Semerikova, Elena & Nastansky, Andreas, 2023. "Determinants of commuting flows in Germany," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 71, pages 99-127.
    6. mohammed, habib, 2023. "Modeling Determinants of Private Banks Profitability in Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 116817, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Mar 2023.
    7. Karemera, David & Guah, Mathew & Smalls, Gerald & Whitesides, Louis, 2023. "A Re-Examination of the Benefits of Trade Agreements on Agricultural Exports and the Impact of the 2008 Great Recession," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 11(3), July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zheng, Xinye & Li, Fanghua & Song, Shunfeng & Yu, Yihua, 2013. "Central government's infrastructure investment across Chinese regions: A dynamic spatial panel data approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 264-276.
    2. Harald Oberhofer & Marian Schwinner, 2017. "Do Individual Salaries Depend On the Performance of the Peers? Prototype Heuristic and Wage Bargaining in the NBA," WIFO Working Papers 534, WIFO.
    3. Vusal Musayev, 2016. "Externalities in Military Spending and Growth: The Role of Natural Resources as a Channel through Conflict," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 378-391, June.
    4. Donatella Saccone, 2021. "Can the Covid19 pandemic affect the achievement of the ‘Zero Hunger’ goal? Some preliminary reflections," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 22(7), pages 1025-1038, September.
    5. Orkhan Nadirov & Bruce Dehning, 2020. "Tax Progressivity and Entrepreneurial Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Hak Yeung & Jürgen Huber, 2022. "Further Evidence on China’s B&R Impact on Host Countries’ Quality of Institutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, May.
    7. Heath Henderson & Leonardo Corral & Eric Simning & Paul Winters, 2015. "Land Accumulation Dynamics in Developing Country Agriculture," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(6), pages 743-761, June.
    8. Mateo Zokalj, 2016. "The impact of population aging on public finance in the European Union," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(4), pages 383-412.
    9. Tadadjeu, Sosson & Njangang, Henri & Asongu, Simplice A. & Kamguia, Brice, 2023. "Natural resources, child mortality and governance quality in African countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    10. Jaunky, Vishal Chandr, 2012. "Is there a material Kuznets curve for aluminium? evidence from rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 296-307.
    11. Musayev, Vusal, 2014. "Commodity Price Shocks, Conflict and Growth: The Role of Institutional Quality and Political Violence," MPRA Paper 59786, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Yoruk, Esin & Radosevic, Slavo & Fischer, Bruno, 2023. "Technological profiles, upgrading and the dynamics of growth: Country-level patterns and trajectories across distinct stages of development," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(8).
    13. Ryota Nakatani, 2017. "The Effects of Productivity Shocks, Financial Shocks, and Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates: An Application of the Currency Crisis Model and Implications for Emerging Market Crises," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(11), pages 2545-2561, November.
    14. Bousmah, Marwân-al-Qays & Iwuji, Collins & Okesola, Nonhlanhla & Orne-Gliemann, Joanna & Pillay, Deenan & Dabis, François & Larmarange, Joseph & Boyer, Sylvie, 2022. "Costs and economies of scale in repeated home-based HIV counselling and testing: Evidence from the ANRS 12249 Treatment as Prevention trial in South Africa," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    15. Alan Piper, 2018. "Adult life satisfaction largely (though not wholly) contemporaneous," Discussion Papers 028, Europa-Universität Flensburg, International Institute of Management.
    16. W.N.W Azman‐Saini & Peter Smith, 2011. "Finance And Growth: New Evidence On The Role Of Insurance," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(2), pages 111-127, June.
    17. Sigmund, Michael & Ferstl, Robert, 2021. "Panel vector autoregression in R with the package panelvar," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 693-720.
    18. Liu, Gordon & Yi, Junjian & Yuan, Ye & Zhao, Shaoyang, 2023. "The short- and long-run effects of medical malpractice lawsuits on medical spending and hospital operations in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 1142-1161.
    19. Marson, Marta & Migheli, Matteo & Saccone, Donatella, 2023. "Free to die: Economic freedoms and influenza mortality," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    20. Emna Trabelsi, 2022. "Macroprudential Transparency and Price Stability in Emerging and Developing Countries," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 11(1), pages 105-129.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:aodasc:v:6:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s40745-019-00198-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.