IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v252y2017i1d10.1007_s10479-015-2105-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The finite/infinite horizon ruin problem with multi-threshold premiums: a Markov fluid queue approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Akif Yazici

    (Bilkent University)

  • Nail Akar

    (Bilkent University)

Abstract

We present a new numerical method to obtain the finite- and infinite-horizon ruin probabilities for a general continuous-time risk problem. We assume the claim arrivals are modeled by the versatile Markovian arrival process, the claim sizes are PH-distributed, and the premium rate is allowed to depend on the instantaneous risk reserve in a piecewise-constant manner driven by a number of thresholds, i.e., multi-threshold premiums. We introduce a novel sample path technique by which the ruin problems are shown to reduce to the steady-state solution of a certain multi-regime Markov fluid queue. We propose to use the already existing numerically efficient and stable numerical algorithms for such Markov fluid queues. Numerical results are presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method regarding the computation of the finite- and infinite-horizon ruin probabilities for risk models including those with relatively large number of thresholds.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Akif Yazici & Nail Akar, 2017. "The finite/infinite horizon ruin problem with multi-threshold premiums: a Markov fluid queue approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 252(1), pages 85-99, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:252:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-015-2105-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-015-2105-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-015-2105-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-015-2105-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. V. Ramaswami, 2006. "Passage Times in Fluid Models with Application to Risk Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 497-515, December.
    2. Silva Soares, Ana da & Latouche, Guy, 2009. "Fluid queues with level dependent evolution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(3), pages 1041-1048, August.
    3. Nigel Bean & Małgorzata O’Reilly, 2008. "Performance measures of a multi-layer Markovian fluid model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 160(1), pages 99-120, April.
    4. Lin, X. Sheldon & Sendova, Kristina P., 2008. "The compound Poisson risk model with multiple thresholds," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 617-627, April.
    5. Michaud, Frédéric, 1996. "Estimating the Probability of Ruin for Variable Premiums by Simulation," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 93-105, May.
    6. Jun Cai & Hailiang Yang, 2014. "On the decomposition of the absolute ruin probability in a perturbed compound Poisson surplus process with debit interest," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 212(1), pages 61-77, January.
    7. Wikstad, Nils, 1971. "Exemplification of Ruin Probabilities," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 147-152, December.
    8. Asmussen, Soren & Avram, Florin & Usabel, Miguel, 2002. "Erlangian Approximations for Finite-Horizon Ruin Probabilities," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 267-281, November.
    9. Stanford, D.A. & Avram, F. & Badescu, A.L. & Breuer, L. & Silva Soares, A. Da & Latouche, G., 2005. "Phase-type Approximations to Finite-time Ruin Probabilities in the Sparre-Andersen and Stationary Renewal Risk Models," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 131-144, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nail Akar & Omer Gursoy & Gabor Horvath & Miklos Telek, 2021. "Transient and First Passage Time Distributions of First- and Second-order Multi-regime Markov Fluid Queues via ME-fication," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 1257-1283, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bladt, Mogens & Ivanovs, Jevgenijs, 2021. "Fluctuation theory for one-sided Lévy processes with a matrix-exponential time horizon," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 105-123.
    2. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Wong, Jeff T.Y., 2017. "On the dual risk model with Parisian implementation delays in dividend payments," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 159-173.
    3. Gábor Horváth & Miklós Telek, 2017. "Matrix-analytic solution of infinite, finite and level-dependent second-order fluid models," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 87(3), pages 325-343, December.
    4. Salah Al-Deen Almousa & Gábor Horváth & Miklós Telek, 2022. "Transient analysis of piecewise homogeneous Markov fluid models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 310(2), pages 333-353, March.
    5. He, Yue & Kawai, Reiichiro & Shimizu, Yasutaka & Yamazaki, Kazutoshi, 2023. "The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function: A review from practical perspectives," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 1-28.
    6. Avanzi, Benjamin & Cheung, Eric C.K. & Wong, Bernard & Woo, Jae-Kyung, 2013. "On a periodic dividend barrier strategy in the dual model with continuous monitoring of solvency," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 98-113.
    7. Choi, Michael C.H. & Cheung, Eric C.K., 2014. "On the expected discounted dividends in the Cramér–Lundberg risk model with more frequent ruin monitoring than dividend decisions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 121-132.
    8. O’Reilly, Małgorzata M., 2014. "Multi-stage stochastic fluid models for congestion control," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(2), pages 514-526.
    9. Zhimin Zhang & Eric C. K. Cheung, 2016. "The Markov Additive Risk Process Under an Erlangized Dividend Barrier Strategy," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 275-306, June.
    10. Barron, Yonit, 2016. "Clearing control policies for MAP inventory process with lost sales," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(2), pages 495-508.
    11. V. Ramaswami & Douglas Woolford & David Stanford, 2008. "The erlangization method for Markovian fluid flows," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 160(1), pages 215-225, April.
    12. Sarah Dendievel & Guy Latouche, 2017. "Approximations for Time-Dependent Distributions in Markovian Fluid Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 285-309, March.
    13. Samuelson, Aviva & Haigh, Andrew & O'Reilly, Małgorzata M. & Bean, Nigel G., 2017. "Stochastic model for maintenance in continuously deteriorating systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(3), pages 1169-1179.
    14. Landriault, David & Lemieux, Christiane & Willmot, Gordon E., 2012. "An adaptive premium policy with a Bayesian motivation in the classical risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 370-378.
    15. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Zhu, Wei, 2023. "Cumulative Parisian ruin in finite and infinite time horizons for a renewal risk process with exponential claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 84-101.
    16. Nail Akar & Omer Gursoy & Gabor Horvath & Miklos Telek, 2021. "Transient and First Passage Time Distributions of First- and Second-order Multi-regime Markov Fluid Queues via ME-fication," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 1257-1283, December.
    17. Hansjörg Albrecher & José Carlos Araujo-Acuna, 2022. "On The Randomized Schmitter Problem," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 515-535, June.
    18. Yaodi Yong & Hailiang Yang, 2021. "Valuation of Cliquet-Style Guarantees with Death Benefits in Jump Diffusion Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(16), pages 1-21, August.
    19. Yutaka Sakuma & Onno Boxma & Tuan Phung-Duc, 2021. "An M/PH/1 queue with workload-dependent processing speed and vacations," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 98(3), pages 373-405, August.
    20. Grandell, Jan, 2000. "Simple approximations of ruin probabilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(2-3), pages 157-173, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:252:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-015-2105-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.