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Network deployment of radiation detectors with physics-based detection probability calculations

Author

Listed:
  • Nedialko Dimitrov
  • Dennis Michalopoulos
  • David Morton
  • Michael Nehme
  • Feng Pan
  • Elmira Popova
  • Erich Schneider
  • Gregory Thoreson

Abstract

We describe a model for deploying radiation detectors on a transportation network consisting of two adversaries: a nuclear-material smuggler and an interdictor. The interdictor first installs the detectors. These installations are transparent to the smuggler, and are made under an uncertain threat scenario, which specifies the smuggler’s origin and destination, the nature of the material being smuggled, the manner in which it is shielded, and the mechanism by which the smuggler selects a route. The interdictor’s goal is to minimize the probability the smuggler evades detection. The performance of the detection equipment depends on the material being sensed, geometric attenuation, shielding, cargo and container type, background, time allotted for sensing and a number of other factors. Using a stochastic radiation transport code (MCNPX), we estimate detection probabilities for a specific set of such parameters, and inform the interdiction model with these estimates. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Nedialko Dimitrov & Dennis Michalopoulos & David Morton & Michael Nehme & Feng Pan & Elmira Popova & Erich Schneider & Gregory Thoreson, 2011. "Network deployment of radiation detectors with physics-based detection probability calculations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 187(1), pages 207-228, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:187:y:2011:i:1:p:207-228:10.1007/s10479-009-0677-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-009-0677-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael P. Atkinson & Lawrence M. Wein, 2008. "TECHNICAL NOTE---Spatial Queueing Analysis of an Interdiction System to Protect Cities from a Nuclear Terrorist Attack," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(1), pages 247-254, February.
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    3. E. Boros & L. Fedzhora & P. B. Kantor & K. Saeger & P. Stroud, 2009. "A large‐scale linear programming model for finding optimal container inspection strategies," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(5), pages 404-420, August.
    4. Lawrence M. Wein & Alex H. Wilkins & Manas Baveja & Stephen E. Flynn, 2006. "Preventing the Importation of Illicit Nuclear Materials in Shipping Containers," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(5), pages 1377-1393, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Jing & Zhuang, Jun & Behlendorf, Brandon, 2018. "Stochastic shortest path network interdiction with a case study of Arizona–Mexico border," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 62-73.
    2. Chenhua Li & Gary M. Gaukler & Yu Ding, 2013. "Using container inspection history to improve interdiction logistics for illicit nuclear materials," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(6), pages 433-448, September.
    3. Samrat Chatterjee & Daniel E. Salazar & Isaac Maya, 2014. "A Systems Approach for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Radiological and Nuclear Detection Architectures in Urban Areas," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(2), pages 157-165, June.
    4. Dreiding, Rebecca A. & McLay, Laura A., 2013. "An integrated model for screening cargo containers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 181-189.
    5. Eli Towle & James Luedtke, 2018. "New solution approaches for the maximum-reliability stochastic network interdiction problem," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 455-477, October.
    6. Tezcan, Barış & Maass, Kayse Lee, 2023. "Human trafficking interdiction with decision dependent success," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
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    8. McLay, Laura A. & Dreiding, Rebecca, 2012. "Multilevel, threshold-based policies for cargo container security screening systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 522-529.
    9. Kosanoglu, Fuat & Bier, Vicki M., 2020. "Target-oriented utility for interdiction of transportation networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).

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