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On risk minimizing portfolios under a Markovian regime-switching Black-Scholes economy

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  • Robert Elliott
  • Tak Siu

Abstract

We consider a risk minimization problem in a continuous-time Markovian regime-switching financial model modulated by a continuous-time, observable and finite-state Markov chain whose states represent different market regimes. We adopt a particular form of convex risk measure, which includes the entropic risk measure as a particular case, as a measure of risk. The risk-minimization problem is formulated as a Markovian regime-switching version of a two-player, zero-sum stochastic differential game. One important feature of our model is to allow the flexibility of controlling both the diffusion process representing the financial risk and the Markov chain representing macro-economic risk. This is novel and interesting from both the perspectives of stochastic differential game and stochastic control. A verification theorem for the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) solution of the game is provided and some particular cases are discussed. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010

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  • Robert Elliott & Tak Siu, 2010. "On risk minimizing portfolios under a Markovian regime-switching Black-Scholes economy," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 271-291, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:176:y:2010:i:1:p:271-291:10.1007/s10479-008-0448-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-008-0448-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    17. Lirong Cui & Quan Zhang & Dejing Kong, 2016. "Some New Concepts and Their Computational Formulae in Aggregated Stochastic Processes with Classifications Based on Sojourn Times," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 999-1019, December.
    18. Jakub Trybu{l}a & Dariusz Zawisza, 2014. "Continuous-Time Portfolio Choice Under Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences-Stochastic Factor Case," Papers 1403.3212, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    19. Gurjeet Dhesi & Bilal Shakeel & Marcel Ausloos, 2021. "Modelling and forecasting the kurtosis and returns distributions of financial markets: irrational fractional Brownian motion model approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1397-1410, April.
    20. Ramesh Adhikari & Kyle J. Putnam & Humnath Panta, 2020. "Robust Optimization-Based Commodity Portfolio Performance," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-16, September.
    21. Siyu Lv & Zhen Wu & Qing Zhang, 2022. "The Dynkin game with regime switching and applications to pricing game options," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1159-1182, June.

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