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Wrażliwość zatrudnienia na zmiany PKB w Polsce a elastyczność instytucji rynku pracy

Author

Listed:
  • Stanisław Cichocki
  • Michał Gradzewicz
  • Joanna Tyrowicz

Abstract

Celem artykułu jest zweryfikowanie czy stopniowe upowszechnianie elastycznych form zatrudnienia w Polsce znajduje odzwierciedlenie w zmianach reakcji zatrudnienia na PKB. Jako metodę badawczą zastosowano analizę wrażliwości zatrudnienia na dynamikę PKB w okresie 1995q1–2012q4, polegającą na estymacji funkcji reakcji na impuls (IRF), opierającej się na wielu modelach wektorowej autoregresji (VAR) dla PKB i miar zatrudnienia. Uzyskane wyniki badania wskazują, że na poziomie zagregowanym oraz w rozbiciu na sektory zachodzą pewne zmiany we wrażliwości zatrudnienia na popyt zagregowany, lecz dane nie potwierdzają zależności pomiędzy uelastycznieniem a tymi zmianami. Silnie widoczna jest natomiast cykliczność zmian we wrażliwości oraz rozbieżność długookresowych trendów pomiędzy głównymi sektorami gospodarki. Na podstawie badania można postawić wniosek, iż trudno jest jednoznacznie wskazać, czy zmiany w zależności zatrudnienia od produkcji w poszczególnych sektorach powiązane są bezpośrednio z rosnącą rolą elastycznych form zatrudnienia.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanisław Cichocki & Michał Gradzewicz & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2015. "Wrażliwość zatrudnienia na zmiany PKB w Polsce a elastyczność instytucji rynku pracy," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 91-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:gosnar:y:2015:i:4:p:91-116
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
    2. Blanchard, Olivier & Wolfers, Justin, 2000. "The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(462), pages 1-33, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kristof Bartosik & Jan Mycielski, 2020. "The output employment elasticity and the increased use of temporary contracts: Evidence from Poland," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 70(1), pages 83-104, March.
    2. Kamila Radlinska, 2020. "Procyclicality of Changes in Labour Productivity - Labour Hoarding in CEE Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 185-200.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    elastyczne formy zatrudnienia; wrażliwość; funkcja reakcji na impuls (IRF); cykliczność;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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