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The output employment elasticity and the increased use of temporary contracts: Evidence from Poland

Author

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  • Kristof Bartosik

    (Institute of Economics of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Nowy Swiat 72, 00-001, Warsaw, Poland)

  • Jan Mycielski

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

The paper investigates how the increased use of temporary contracts in Poland affected employment elasticity with respect to output. The analysis is based on Okun’s law, and covers the period of 1996–2016, with particular focus on the years of 2001–2016 when temporary jobs became prevalent. We look at the relationships between output growth and the growths of aggregate, permanent and temporary employment separately. Our study finds that the responsiveness of aggregate employment to output is positive and changes through time. Interestingly, after 2007, when the use of temporary contracts stabilised at a high level, the employment intensity of growth started decreasing. We relate this to the opposite trends in output responsiveness of temporary and permanent jobs. Elasticity of temporary job was growing, while elasticity of permanent job was decreasing. Our study also shows that initially employers adapt to output changes replacing permanent job with temporary job, next temporary contracts become the main adjustment device.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristof Bartosik & Jan Mycielski, 2020. "The output employment elasticity and the increased use of temporary contracts: Evidence from Poland," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 70(1), pages 83-104, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:aoecon:v:70:y:2020:i:1:p:83-104
    DOI: 10.1556/032.2020.00005
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    2. Selda Gorkey & Asli Tasbasi, 2023. "Employment Intensity of Economic Growth in Southern Europe: Evidence from Multidimensional Panel Data," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 25(1), pages 5-32, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Okun’s law; labour demand; temporary contracts; economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts

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