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The Up-Coming Crisis and the Banking Sector in the Baltic States

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  • Mejra Festić
  • Sebastijan Repina
  • Alenka Kavkler

Abstract

We tested for the significance of macroeconomic variables that condition nonperforming loan (NPL) ratios. The hypothesis of procyclicality between economic activity and improving NPL ratio in the Baltic States was proved. The increased economic activity improved the NPL ratio. Due to a high share of loans denominated in a foreign currency and the fact of productivity gains in the tradable sector, the appreciation of the real exchange rate contributed to an improvement in NPL ratio. The procyclicality of banking sector performance and high economic activities growth could be a signal of an economy overheating in the Baltics.

Suggested Citation

  • Mejra Festić & Sebastijan Repina & Alenka Kavkler, 2009. "The Up-Coming Crisis and the Banking Sector in the Baltic States," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 145(III), pages 269-291, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ses:arsjes:2009-iii-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Shuffield Seyram Asafo, 2018. "The Macro-economy and Non-Performing Loans in Ghana: A BVAR approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 11(3), pages 65-72, December.
    2. Dobromił Serwa, 2013. "Measuring Non-Performing Loans During (and After) Credit Booms," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 5(3), pages 163-183, September.
    3. Grace Ofori-Abebrese & Robert Becker Pickson & Eric Opare, 2016. "The Effect of Bank Specific Factors on Loan Performance of HFC Bank in Ghana," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(7), pages 185-185, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cyclicality; non-performing loans; systemic risk; asset quality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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