IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sek/jijoes/v4y2015i4p14-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomics Determinants Of External Debt In Malaysia

Author

Listed:
  • Evan Lau

    (Universiti Malaysia Sarawak)

  • ALVINA SYN-YEE Lee

    (Universiti Malaysia Sarawak)

  • MOHAMMAD AFFENDY Arip

    (Universiti Malaysia Sarawak)

Abstract

The management of debt has always been one of the central concerns in the small open economy like Malaysia. This study seeks to re-examine whether the macroeconomic indicators contributed to the external debt in Malaysia. Utilizing Malaysia data from 1970 to 2013, the results indicate the existence of short run causality linkages between the external debt and the macroeconomic indicators. Further dynamic analysis indicates that real interest rate (RIR) to be the most exogenous variable beyond the sample for the next 50 years. This implies that policymakers could focus on the monetary variables in assisting and managing external debt level in the long run. Malaysia should develop a debt governance program for pursuit of debt-targeting policies or rules to enhance sound public finance systems which is crucial for Malaysia to achieve solvency in external debt positions in the near future.

Suggested Citation

  • Evan Lau & ALVINA SYN-YEE Lee & MOHAMMAD AFFENDY Arip, 2015. "Macroeconomics Determinants Of External Debt In Malaysia," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 14-26, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:jijoes:v:4:y:2015:i:4:p:14-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://iises.net/international-journal-of-economic-sciences/publication-detail-298
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://iises.net/international-journal-of-economic-sciences/publication-detail-298?download=2
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 215-268, November.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. "This Time It’s Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly-Preface," MPRA Paper 17451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    5. Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. "This Time It’s Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly-Chapter 1," MPRA Paper 17452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Zhang, Zhiwei & Zhang, Wenlang, 2011. "The road to recovery: Fiscal stimulus, financial sector rehabilitation, and potential risks ahead," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 311-321, August.
    7. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    8. Ms. Andrea Schaechter & Mr. Carlo Cottarelli, 2010. "Long-Term Trends in Public Finances in the G-7 Economies," IMF Staff Position Notes 2010/013, International Monetary Fund.
    9. repec:aer:wpaper:8 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    11. Abul M. M. Masih & Rumi Masih, 2001. "Dynamic Modeling of Stock Market Interdependencies: An Empirical Investigation of Australia and the Asian NICs," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 235-264.
    12. Zafar, Sabahat & Butt, Muhammad Sabihuddin, 2008. "Impact of Trade Liberalization on External Debt Burden: Econometric Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 9548, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Andrea Schaechter & Carlo Cottarelli, 2010. "Long-Term Trends in Public Finances in the G-7 Economies," IMF Staff Position Notes 2010/13, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Claudio M. LOSER, 2004. "External Debt Sustainability: Guidelines For Low- And Middle-Income Countries," G-24 Discussion Papers 26, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Joseph Kwadwo Tuffour & Thelma Mensah, 2018. "The Effects of Governance Type and Economic Crises on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Ghana," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 53(2), pages 63-80, May.
    2. Eftychia Nikolaidou & Sofoklis Vogiazas, 2014. "Credit Risk Determinants for the Bulgarian Banking System," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(1), pages 87-102, February.
    3. Tanweer Akram & Anupam Das, 2020. "Australian Government Bonds’ Nominal Yields: A Keynesian Perspective," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Molina-Muñoz, Jesús & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2020. "Market-crash forecasting based on the dynamics of the alpha-stable distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    5. Nektarios A. Michail, 2021. "The impact of conflict on the exchange rate of developing economies," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 916-930, May.
    6. Lei Wu & Qingbin Meng & Kuan Xu, 2015. "'Slow-burn' spillover and 'fast and furious' contagion: a study of international stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 933-958, June.
    7. Eric M. Leeper & James M. Nason, 2014. "Bringing Financial Stability into Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2014-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    8. Sara Ferreira Filipe, 2018. "Housing prices and mortgage credit in Luxembourg," BCL working papers 117, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    9. Manuel Funke & Moritz Schularick & Christoph Trebesch, 2023. "Populist Leaders and the Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(12), pages 3249-3288, December.
    10. Christoph Trebesch, 2019. "Resolving sovereign debt crises: the role of political risk," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(2), pages 421-444.
    11. Röhrs, Sigrid & Winter, Christoph, 2017. "Reducing government debt in the presence of inequality," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-20.
    12. Thanh C. Nguyen & Vítor Castro & Justine Wood, 2022. "Political environment and financial crises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 417-438, January.
    13. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications," CAMA Working Papers 2013-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    14. Jonathon Adams‐Kane & Julián A. Caballero & Jamus Jerome Lim, 2017. "Foreign Bank Behavior during Financial Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 351-392, March.
    15. Antonio Afonso & Jose Alves, 2015. "The Role of Government Debt in Economic Growth," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 215(4), pages 9-26, December.
    16. Dmitry Kulikov, 2012. "Testing for Rational Speculative Bubbles on the Estonian Stock Market," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 4(1).
    17. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_003 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Chung‐Hua Shen & Hsing‐Hua Hsu, 2022. "The determinants of Asian banking crises—Application of the panel threshold logit model," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 248-277, March.
    19. Agustín Goenaga & Oriol Sabaté & Jan Teorell, 2023. "The state does not live by warfare alone: War and revenue in the long nineteenth century," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 393-418, April.
    20. Ivan Nikoliæ, 2015. "Price determinants of newly built dwelling in Serbia," Working papers 29, National Bank of Serbia.
    21. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2018. "International Reserves Management in a Model of Partial Sovereign Default," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_14, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    External Debt; Macroeconomic Indicators; Malaysia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sek:jijoes:v:4:y:2015:i:4:p:14-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klara Cermakova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ijoes.iises.net/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.