IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/scn/voprob/2019i2p98-128.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Выпускники Инженерно-Технических И Экономических Специальностей: Между Спросом И Предложением

Author

Abstract

Варшавская Елена Яковлевна - доктор экономических наук, профессор кафедры управления человеческими ресурсами, факультет бизнеса и менеджмента, Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики". E-mail: evarshavskaya@hse.ruКотырло Елена Станиславовна - доктор экономических наук, доцент департамента прикладной экономики, факультет экономических наук, Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики". E-mail: ekotyrlo@hse.ruАдрес: 101000, Москва, ул. Мясницкая, 20.На основании микроданных Федерального наблюдения трудоустройства выпускников, получивших среднее профессиональное и высшее образование в 2010-2015 гг., проведенного Росстатом в апреле-сентябре 2016 г., анализируется переход "учеба - работа" у выпускников инженерно-технических и экономических специальностей. Успешность этого перехода рассматривается как показатель соотношения предложения и спроса на их труд. Методы исследования - дескриптивный и регрессионный анализ.Анализ статистических данных на макроуровне показал, что численность специалистов инженерно-технического профиля, получивших высшее образование в 1990-2000-х годах, превышала число специалистов, покидающих рынок труда по возрасту. Рост агрегированного предложения труда работников с инженерной подготовкой в пореформенный период происходил на фоне сжатия спроса на их труд, связанного главным образом с существенным сокращением числа занятых в промышленности.Установлено, что шансы найти работу, продолжительность ее поиска, показатели соответствия первой работы уровню и профилю образования фактически одинаковы для молодых дипломированных инженеров и экономистов. Размеры их стартовой зарплаты также статистически не различаются. Тем самым не получило подтверждения предположение о высоком неудовлетворенном спросе на специалистов в области техники и технологии и об избыточном предложении специалистов в области экономики и управления. Показано, что декларируемый дефицит специалистов инженерного профиля не связан с недостатком их предложения на макроуровне. Выводы исследования могут быть использованы при формировании программ развития высшего образования на федеральном и региональном уровне.

Suggested Citation

  • Варшавская Е. Я. & Котырло Е. С., 2019. "Выпускники Инженерно-Технических И Экономических Специальностей: Между Спросом И Предложением," Вопросы образования // Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 98-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:voprob:2019:i:2:p:98-128
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://vo.hse.ru/data/2019/07/02/1491555406/04%20Varshavskaya.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Robert, 2014. "Job mismatch in early career of graduates under post-communism," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(4), pages 500-513, July.
    2. Francis Green & Stephen Machin & David Wilkinson, 1998. "The Meaning and Determinants of Skills Shortages," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 60(2), pages 165-187, May.
    3. Myra Wieling & Lex Borghans, 2001. "Descrepancies between Supply and Demand and Adjustment Processes in the Labour Market," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 15(1), pages 33-56, March.
    4. Shah, C & Burke, G, 2005. "Skills Shortages: Concepts, Measurement and Policy Responses," Australian Bulletin of Labour, National Institute of Labour Studies.
    5. McGuinness, Seamus & Pouliakas, Konstantinos, 2016. "Deconstructing Theories of Overeducation in Europe: A Wage Decomposition Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 9698, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Seamus McGuinness & Konstantinos Pouliakas & Paul Redmond, 2018. "Skills Mismatch: Concepts, Measurement And Policy Approaches," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 985-1015, September.
    7. Гимпельсон В. Е. & Капелюшников Р. И. & Карабчук Т. С. & Рыжикова З. А. & Биляк Т. А., 2009. "Выбор Профессии: Чему Учились И Где Пригодились?," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 13(2), pages 172-216.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Elena Varshavskaya & Elena Kotyrlo, 2019. "Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 98-128.
    2. Werner Eichhorst & Corrado Giulietti & Martin Guzi & Michael J. Kendzia & Paola Monti & Tommaso Frattini & Peter Huber & Klaus Nowotny & Barbara Vandeweghe, 2011. "The Integration of Migrants and its Effects on the Labour Market," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 42955.
    3. Healy, Joshua & Mavromaras, Kostas & Sloane, Peter J., 2011. "Adjusting to Skill Shortages: Complexity and Consequences," IZA Discussion Papers 6097, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Brenzel, Hanna & Müller, Anne, 2015. "Higher wages or lower expectations? : adjustments of German firms in the hiring process," IAB-Discussion Paper 201506, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    5. Schwalje, Wes, 2012. "Rethinking How Establishment Skills Surveys Can More Effectively Identify Workforce Skills Gaps," MPRA Paper 37192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. S.D. Kapelyuk & E.N. Lishchuk, 2020. "The Scale of Overeducation in the Rural Labor Market," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 19(3), pages 370-397.
    7. Kroczek, Martin & Koch, Andreas, 2024. "The reaction of wages to skill shortage in nursing," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302406, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Seamus McGuinness & Konstantinos Pouliakas & Paul Redmond, 2018. "Skills Mismatch: Concepts, Measurement And Policy Approaches," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 985-1015, September.
    9. Pouliakas, Konstantinos & Wruuck, Patricia, 2022. "Corporate Training and Skill Gaps: Did COVID-19 Stem EU Convergence in Training Investments?," IZA Discussion Papers 15343, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Grinis, Inna, 2017. "The STEM requirements of "non-STEM" jobs: evidence from UK online vacancy postings and implications for skills & knowledge shortages," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85123, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Horbach, Jens & Rammer, Christian, 2020. "Labor shortage and innovation," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-009, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    12. Silvia Vannutelli & Sergio Scicchitano & Marco Biagetti, 2022. "Routine-biased technological change and wage inequality: do workers’ perceptions matter?," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 409-450, September.
    13. Guillermo Montt, 2017. "Field-of-study mismatch and overqualification: labour market correlates and their wage penalty," IZA Journal of Labor Economics, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, December.
    14. Alain Cohn & Michel André Maréchal & Frédéric Schneider & Roberto A Weber, 2021. "Frequent Job Changes can Signal Poor Work Attitude and Reduce Employability," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 475-508.
    15. Mangan, John & Trendle, Bernard, 2017. "Hard-to-fill vacancies: An analysis of demand side responses in the Australian state of Queensland," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 49-56.
    16. Horbach, Jens, 2014. "Determinants of labor shortage - with particular focus on the German environmental sector," IAB-Discussion Paper 201422, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    17. Stephan Bischof, 2024. "Test-based measurement of skill mismatch: a validation of five different measurement approaches using the NEPS," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 58(1), pages 1-17, December.
    18. Sandra Pérez Rodríguez & Rolf van der Velden & Tim Huijts & Babs Jacobs, 2024. "Identifying literacy and numeracy skill mismatch in OECD countries using the job analysis method," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(3), pages 859-876.
    19. Richard Fabling & David C. Maré, 2016. "Firm-Level Hiring Difficulties: Persistence, Business Cycle And Local Labour Market Influences," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 179-210, June.
    20. Lobsiger, Michael & Rutzer, Christian, 2021. "Green potential of Europe's labour force: Relative share and possible skills imbalances," Working papers 2021/04, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:scn:voprob:2019:i:2:p:98-128. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marta Morozova (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://vo.hse.ru/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.