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Technical Change and the Urban Development Cycle

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  • Richard Barras

    (CES, 5, Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SS)

Abstract

The paper describes the pronounced 'long swings' or 'urban development cycles' of 20-30 years duration which have created successive waves of urbanisation in the British economy since the Industrial Revolution, and which can be related to successive long waves of technological development within the economy as a whole. A more detailed examination of the post-war period shows that in each sector of building two types of shorter cycles, causing pronounced building booms and slumps, are superimposed on the dominant long swing of post war urban development. The discussion concludes by examining the prospects for the next urban development cycle in Britain related to the new wave of micro-electronic and information technologies, and then draws out the main policy implications of the analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Barras, 1987. "Technical Change and the Urban Development Cycle," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 5-30, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:24:y:1987:i:1:p:5-30
    DOI: 10.1080/00420988720080021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard A. Easterlin, 1968. "Population, Labor Force, and Long Swings in Economic Growth: The American Experience," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number east68-1.
    2. Manuel Gottlieb, 1976. "Long Swings in Urban Development," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number gott76-1.
    3. Vipond, M J, 1969. "Fluctuations in Private Housebuilding in Great Britain, 1950-1966," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 16(2), pages 196-211, June.
    4. R Barras & D Ferguson, 1985. "A Spectral Analysis of Building Cycles in Britain," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 17(10), pages 1369-1391, October.
    5. R Barras, 1983. "A Simple Theoretical Model of the Office-Development Cycle," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 15(10), pages 1381-1394, October.
    6. Leo Grebler & Leland S. Burns, 1982. "Construction Cycles in the United States Since World War II," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 10(2), pages 123-151, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. William A. V. Clark & Marianne Kuijpers-Linde, 1994. "Commuting in Restructuring Urban Regions," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 31(3), pages 465-483, April.
    2. Michael Ball, 1996. "London and Property Markets: A Long-term View," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 33(6), pages 859-876, June.
    3. Simon Guy & John Henneberry, 2000. "Understanding Urban Development Processes: Integrating the Economic and the Social in Property Research," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(13), pages 2399-2416, December.
    4. Michael Ball & Tanya Morrison & Andrew Wood, 1996. "Structures Investment and Economic Growth: A Long-term International Comparison," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 33(9), pages 1687-1706, November.
    5. Steven Devaney, 2007. "Long Run Relationships Between City Office Rents and The Economy In The UK - Creating a Database for Research," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2007-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    6. Patsy Healey & Susan M. Barrett, 1990. "Structure and Agency in Land and Property Development Processes: Some Ideas for Research," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 27(1), pages 89-103, February.
    7. John Henneberry, 1995. "Developers, property cycles and local economic development: The case of Sheffield," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 10(2), pages 163-185, August.
    8. John Henneberry, 1999. "Convergence and Difference in Regional Office Development Cycles," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(9), pages 1439-1465, August.
    9. Colin A. Jones, 2009. "Remaking the Monopoly Board: Urban Economic Change and Property Investment," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 46(11), pages 2363-2380, October.
    10. Si-ming Li, 2010. "Evolving Residential and Employment Locations and Patterns of Commuting under Hyper Growth: The Case of Guangzhou, China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 47(8), pages 1643-1661, July.

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