IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v9y2003i3p229-254.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Seasonality of Tourism in Wales: A Comparative Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Nicole Koenig
  • Eberhard E. Bischoff

Abstract

This paper examines the seasonal pattern for different types of domestic tourism demand in the UK during 1994–2000. The focus is on Wales, a region with a particularly pronounced tourism seasonality. The characteristics of the Welsh seasonal pattern are identified and compared with other UK regions, notably Scotland. An overview of various different methods for quantifying these seasonal variations is presented. Various scalar measures are used to evaluate the inequality of the distribution of tourism trips within a year. The stability of seasonal patterns between the years is also examined and more complex methodologies, such as Seasonal Decomposition, are applied in order to assess in detail the differences in the seasonal behaviour of demand among the UK home nations. On the basis of the analysis, policy implications for tackling the seasonality problem are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicole Koenig & Eberhard E. Bischoff, 2003. "Seasonality of Tourism in Wales: A Comparative Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(3), pages 229-254, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:229-254
    DOI: 10.1177/135481660300900301
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/135481660300900301
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/135481660300900301?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simon Kuznets, 1933. "Seasonal Variations in Industry and Trade," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number kuzn33-1.
    2. Grainger, J. & Judge, G., 1996. "Changing Patterns of Seasonality in Hotel and Tourism Demand: An Analysis of Portsmouth Monthly Arrivals Data," Papers 73, Portsmouth University - Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Amitrajeet A Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2010. "A stochastic model of the provision of guided tours to tourists," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 577-586.
    2. Batabyal, Amitrajeet A. & Beladi, Hamid, 2011. "An alternate approach to modeling the slack season provision of guided tours to tourists," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1047-1049.
    3. José María Martín Martín & Jose Antonio Salinas Fernández & José Antonio Rodríguez Martín & Juan De Dios Jiménez Aguilera, 2017. "Assessment of the Tourism’s Potential as a Sustainable Development Instrument in Terms of Annual Stability: Application to Spanish Rural Destinations in Process of Consolidation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-20, September.
    4. Turrión Prats, Judith & Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio, 2017. "The Seasonality of Demand in Spanish Tourist Municipalities: Analysis and Determinants," Working Papers 2072/306518, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    5. Francisco Javier Sáez-Fernández & Ignacio Jiménez-Hernández & María del Sol Ostos-Rey, 2020. "Seasonality and Efficiency of the Hotel Industry in the Balearic Islands: Implications for Economic and Environmental Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Fernández-Morales, Antonio & Cisneros-Martínez, José David & McCabe, Scott, 2016. "Seasonal concentration of tourism demand: Decomposition analysis and marketing implications," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-190.
    7. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:577-586 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Marianna Succurro & Federico Boffa, 2010. "Search Cost Reduction Increases Variation In Hotels Occupancy Rate: A Theoretical And Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 201020, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    9. José María Martín Martín & José Antonio Rodriguez Martín & Karla Aída Zermeño Mejía & José Antonio Salinas Fernández, 2018. "Effects of Vacation Rental Websites on the Concentration of Tourists—Potential Environmental Impacts. An Application to the Balearic Islands in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-14, February.
    10. Batabyal, Amitrajeet A. & Yoo, Seung Jick, 2010. "A probabilistic analysis of guided tours for tourists during the slack season," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 482-485.
    11. Anna Serena Vergori, 2017. "Patterns of seasonality and tourism demand forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 1011-1027, August.
    12. Rosselló, Jaume & Sansó, Andreu, 2017. "Yearly, monthly and weekly seasonality of tourism demand: A decomposition analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 379-389.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stefano De Cantis & Mauro Ferrante & Franco Vaccina, 2011. "Seasonal Pattern and Amplitude – a Logical Framework to Analyse Seasonality in Tourism: An Application to Bed Occupancy in Sicilian Hotels," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(3), pages 655-675, June.
    2. José María Martín Martín & José Antonio Rodriguez Martín & Karla Aída Zermeño Mejía & José Antonio Salinas Fernández, 2018. "Effects of Vacation Rental Websites on the Concentration of Tourists—Potential Environmental Impacts. An Application to the Balearic Islands in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-14, February.
    3. Mark Perlman & Morgan Marietta, 2005. "The politics of social accounting: public goals and the evolution of the national accounts in Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 211-230.
    4. Mankiw, N. Gregory & Miron, Jeffrey A., 1991. "Should the fed smooth interest rates? the case of seasonal monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 41-69, January.
    5. Diana Pérez Dacal & Melchor Fernández Fernández & Yolanda Pena Boquete, 2013. "Measuring Tourism Specialization: a composite indicator for the Spanish regions," Documentos de trabajo - Analise Economica 0056, IDEGA - Instituto Universitario de Estudios e Desenvolvemento de Galicia.
    6. José María Martín Martín & Jose Antonio Salinas Fernández & José Antonio Rodríguez Martín & Juan De Dios Jiménez Aguilera, 2017. "Assessment of the Tourism’s Potential as a Sustainable Development Instrument in Terms of Annual Stability: Application to Spanish Rural Destinations in Process of Consolidation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-20, September.
    7. A. S. Chuchkalov & N. K. Grelya & N. A. Koldobskaya, 2023. "Seasonality of the Rural Livelihood in the Chuvash Republic," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 545-556, September.
    8. J. Joseph Beaulieu & Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason & Jeffrey A. Miron, 1991. "Why Do Countries and Industries with Large Seasonal Cycles Also Have Large Business Cycles?," NBER Working Papers 3635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Roy, Tirthankar, 2019. "Climate and the economy in India, 1850-2000," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102589, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Vadim Kufenko & Niels Geiger, 2017. "Stylized Facts of the Business Cycle: Universal Phenomenon, or Institutionally Determined?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 165-187, November.
    11. Santos, Joseph, 2003. "Commodity futures contracts: Furnishing an elastic currency in the nineteenth century," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 561-578, December.
    12. José María Martín Martín & Juan De Dios Jiménez Aguilera & Valentín Molina Moreno, 2014. "Impacts of Seasonality on Environmental Sustainability in the Tourism Sector Based on Destination Type: An Application to Spain'S Andalusia Region," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 123-142, February.
    13. Tingzhen Chen & Philip L. Pearce, 2012. "Research Note: Seasonality Patterns in Asian Tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(5), pages 1105-1115, October.
    14. Claudia Goldin, 1994. "Labor Markets in the Twentieth Century," NBER Historical Working Papers 0058, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Mauro Boianovsky & Hans-Michael Trautwein, 2007. "Johan Åkerman vs. Ragnar Frisch on Quantitative Business Cycle Analysis," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 487-517.
    16. Roy, Tirthankar, 2024. "Will climate change disrupt tropical development? Lessons from economic history," Economic History Working Papers 125641, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    17. Chulhee Lee, 2009. "Technological Changes and Employment of Older Manufacturing Workers in Early Twentieth Century America," NBER Working Papers 14746, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Roy, Tirthankar, 2019. "Climate and the economy in India, 1850-2000," Economic History Working Papers 102589, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    19. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
    20. Roy, Tirthankar, 2019. "Climate and the Economy in India, 1850-2000," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 445, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:229-254. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.