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Testing the asymmetric effects of the economic policy uncertainty on the tourism demand in India

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  • Chandan Sharma

    (195634Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, India)

Abstract

This study examines the effects of economic uncertainty on tourism demand in India for the period 2006:01 to 2018:04. This study has two major contributions. First, using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag technique, the asymmetric effects are tested and second, it provides evidence for both long- and short-run effects. The estimated results have confirmed that economic uncertainty has asymmetric effects on tourism demand. Specifically, it is shown that increasing uncertainty has more penetrating negative effects than the positive effects caused by decreasing uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Chandan Sharma, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of the economic policy uncertainty on the tourism demand in India," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 867-873, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:27:y:2021:i:4:p:867-873
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816619894080
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Umer Shahzad & Muhammad Ramzan & Muhammad Ibrahim Shah & Buhari DoÄŸan & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2022. "Analyzing the Nexus Between Geopolitical Risk, Policy Uncertainty, and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence From the United States," Evaluation Review, , vol. 46(3), pages 266-295, June.
    3. Chi, Junwook, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty and exchange rates on international air travel demand: The case from Hong Kong," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    4. Rui Tang, 2021. "The impact of integration policies on tourism industry convergence in the Yangtze River Delta: theoretical mechanism and empirical test," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 141-167, August.
    5. Chew Ging Lee & Shi-Min How, 2023. "The impacts of domestic and global economic policy uncertainties on the hotel room demand: Evidence from Singapore," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 1121-1129, June.
    6. Haoke Ding & Yinghua Ren & Wanhai You, 2022. "Does uncertainty granger-causes visitor arrivals? evidence from the MF-VAR model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4193-4215, December.
    7. James E Payne & Saban Nazlioglu & Andrea Mervar, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and international tourist arrivals: A disaggregated analysis of the Croatian Adriatic coast," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 986-1004, June.

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