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The influence of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk on US citizens overseas air passenger travel by regional destination

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  • James E Payne

    (The University of Texas at El Paso, USA)

  • Nicholas Apergis

    (University of Derby, UK)

Abstract

This research note extends the literature on the role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk on US citizens overseas air travel through the examination of the forecast error variance decomposition of total overseas air travel and by regional destination. Our empirical findings indicate that across regional destinations, US economic policy uncertainty explains more of the forecast error variance of US overseas air travel, followed by geopolitical risk with global economic policy uncertainty explaining a much smaller percentage of the forecast error variance.

Suggested Citation

  • James E Payne & Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "The influence of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk on US citizens overseas air passenger travel by regional destination," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1333-1341, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:28:y:2022:i:5:p:1333-1341
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816620981199
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Chi, Junwook, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty and exchange rates on international air travel demand: The case from Hong Kong," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Sudeshna Ghosh & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2024. "The effect of world policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors on export-led growth for Japan: novel insights by wavelet local multiple correlation methods," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 3605-3633, August.
    4. Yuting Gong & Chia-Hsun Chang & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Jingbo Yin & Wenming Shi, 2024. "Unveiling the mystery of the responsiveness of inbound tourism to economic policy uncertainty: New evidence from Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 2159-2180, December.

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