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Research Note: Recreational Trip Timing and Duration Prediction

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  • Atakelty Hailu
  • Lei Gao

Abstract

This paper presents models that predict two recreational fishing trip parameters: the length of a trip and the timing of a trip within a year. A discrete choice (logit) model – linking the choice of trip timing to calendar events, the demographic characteristics of anglers and the nature of the trip – is estimated econometrically. A Tobit model is used to evaluate the effects on fishing trip length of personal and trip characteristics. The results indicate that timing choice and trip length can be explained well in terms of observable personal and trip variables. Knowledge of these relationships is a useful input to tourism/recreational fishing management, as well as to the development of tourism/fishing activity simulation models.

Suggested Citation

  • Atakelty Hailu & Lei Gao, 2012. "Research Note: Recreational Trip Timing and Duration Prediction," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 243-251, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:1:p:243-251
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0107
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Little, L. Richard & Punt, André E. & Mapstone, Bruce D. & Begg, Gavin A. & Goldman, Barry & Williams, Ashley J., 2009. "An agent-based model for simulating trading of multi-species fisheries quota," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3404-3412.
    2. Gao, Lei & Hailu, Atakelty, 2011. "Evaluating the effects of area closure for recreational fishing in a coral reef ecosystem: The benefits of an integrated economic and biophysical modeling," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(10), pages 1735-1745, August.
    3. McDonald, A.D. & Little, L.R. & Gray, R. & Fulton, E. & Sainsbury, K.J. & Lyne, V.D., 2008. "An agent-based modelling approach to evaluation of multiple-use management strategies for coastal marine ecosystems," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 401-411.
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Fredman & Daniel Wikström, 2018. "Income elasticity of demand for tourism at Fulufjället National Park," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 51-63, February.

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