IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v18y2012i1p139-157.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Prospective Impact of Climate Change on Tourism and Regional Economic Development: A Simulation Study for Bavaria

Author

Listed:
  • Anja Soboll
  • Tobias Klier
  • Stefan Heumann

Abstract

In recent years, climate change and its economic effects increasingly have become the focus of public attention. Previous investigations, however, have dealt with large spatial units and thus have blurred small-scale distinctions. This paper analyses the future economic impacts of climate change at the regional level in order to ascertain local positive and negative development trends. To this end, scenarios based on different climate, societal and economic trends are used to estimate on an unprecedented small scale prospective tourism demand and the derived economic development for the districts studied.

Suggested Citation

  • Anja Soboll & Tobias Klier & Stefan Heumann, 2012. "The Prospective Impact of Climate Change on Tourism and Regional Economic Development: A Simulation Study for Bavaria," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 139-157, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:1:p:139-157
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0103
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5367/te.2012.0103
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5367/te.2012.0103?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sara Proença & Elias Soukiazis, 2008. "Tourism as an Economic Growth Factor: A Case Study for Southern European Countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 791-806, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anja Berghammer & Jürgen Schmude, 2014. "The Christmas—Easter Shift: Simulating Alpine Ski Resorts' Future Development under Climate Change Conditions Using the Parameter ‘Optimal Ski Day’," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(2), pages 323-336, April.
    2. Çalişkan, Uğur & Gursoy, Dogan & Özer, Özgür & Chi, Oscar Hengxuan, 2022. "Effects of Tourism on Local Residents’ Quality of Life, Happiness and Life Satisfaction: Moderating Role of the COVID-19 Risk Perceptions," Journal of Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, Cinturs - Research Centre for Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, University of Algarve, vol. 10(4), pages 274-291.
    3. Mayer, Marius & Steiger, Robert, 2013. "Skitourismus in den Bayerischen Alpen: Entwicklung und Zukunftsperspektiven," Arbeitsberichte der ARL: Aufsätze, in: Job, Hubert & Mayer, Marius (ed.), Tourismus und Regionalentwicklung in Bayern, volume 9, pages 164-212, ARL – Akademie für Raumentwicklung in der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft.
    4. Andrea Martínez Salgueiro & Maria-Antonia Tarrazon-Rodon, 2021. "Weather derivatives to mitigate meteorological risks in tourism management: An empirical application to celebrations of Comunidad Valenciana (Spain)," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 591-613, June.
    5. Martin Falk & Robert Steiger, 2020. "Size facilitates profitable ski lift operations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1197-1211, November.
    6. Amitrajeet A. Batabyal & Seung Jick Yoo, 2020. "A theoretical analysis of preference matching by tourists and destination choice," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 809-820, October.
    7. Job, Hubert & Mayer, Marius & Haßlacher, Peter & Nischik, Gero & Knauf, Christoph & Pütz, Marco & Essl, Josef & Marlin, Andreas & Kopf, Manfred & Obkircher, Stefan, 2021. "Analysing, assessing and safeguarding Alpine open spaces through spatial planning," Forschungsberichte der ARL, ARL – Akademie für Raumentwicklung in der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft, volume 18, number 18, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Salah Eddine Sari Hassoun & Khayereddine Salim Adda & Asma Hadjira Sebbane, 2021. "Examining the connection among national tourism expenditure and economic growth in Algeria," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Uktam Umurzakov & Shakhnoza Tosheva & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2023. "Tourism and Sustainable Economic Development: Evidence from Belt and Road Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(1), pages 503-516, March.
    3. Hasan Murat Ertugrul & Fatih Mangir, 2015. "The tourism-led growth hypothesis: empirical evidence from Turkey," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 633-646, July.
    4. Tanja Planinc & Štefan Bojnec & Saša Planinc, 2013. "Analysis of the Financial Performance in the Slovenian Tourism Economy," Management, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 8(2), pages 109-123.
    5. Oliviero A. Carboni & Claudio Detotto, 2016. "The economic consequences of crime in Italy," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(1), pages 122-140, January.
    6. Belucio Matheus & Fuinhas José Alberto & Vieira Carlos, 2023. "How does the economy affect a religious phenomenon? A panel approach to international pilgrimages to the Shrine of Fátima," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 110-124, December.
    7. Chen, Ming-Hsiang, 2010. "The economy, tourism growth and corporate performance in the Taiwanese hotel industry," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 665-675.
    8. Li, Hengyun & Chen, Jason Li & Li, Gang & Goh, Carey, 2016. "Tourism and regional income inequality: Evidence from China," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 81-99.
    9. Abdulkarim K. Alhowaish, 2016. "Is Tourism Development a Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy in the Long Run? Evidence from GCC Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-10, June.
    10. Isabel Cortés-Jiménez & Jean-Jacques Nowak & Mondher Sahli, 2011. "Mass Beach Tourism and Economic Growth: Lessons from Tunisia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(3), pages 531-547, June.
    11. Reena Marwah & Sanika Sulochani Ramanayake, 2021. "Pandemic-Led Disruptions in Asia: Tracing the Early Economic Impacts on Sri Lanka and Thailand," South Asian Survey, , vol. 28(1), pages 172-198, March.
    12. Jihye Min & Jerome Agrusa & Joseph Lema & Harold Lee, 2020. "The Tourism Sector and U.S. Regional Macroeconomic Stability: A Network Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-12, September.
    13. Carey Goh & Hengyun Li & Qiu Zhang, 2015. "Achieving Balanced Regional Development in China: Is Domestic or International Tourism More Efficacious?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(2), pages 369-386, April.
    14. Andraz, Jorge M. & Norte, Nélia M. & Gonçalves, Hugo S., 2015. "Effects of tourism on regional asymmetries: Empirical evidence for Portugal," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 257-267.
    15. Salahodjaev, Raufhon & Safarova, Nilufar, 2015. "Do foreign visitors reward post-communist countries? A panel evidence for tourism-growth nexus," MPRA Paper 66215, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Jitendra Sharma & Subrata Kumar Mitra, 2021. "Asymmetric relationship between tourist arrivals and employment," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 952-970, August.
    17. Al-Najjar, Basil, 2014. "Corporate governance, tourism growth and firm performance: Evidence from publicly listed tourism firms in five Middle Eastern countries," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 342-351.
    18. Ioana Meșter & Ramona Simuț & Liana Meșter & Dorin Bâc, 2023. "An Investigation of Tourism, Economic Growth, CO 2 Emissions, Trade Openness and Energy Intensity Index Nexus: Evidence for the European Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-26, May.
    19. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    20. Oliviero A. Carboni & Paolo Russu, 2018. "Measuring and forecasting regional environmental and economic efficiency in Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 335-353, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:1:p:139-157. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.