IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/sagope/v8y2018i2p2158244018769369.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monetary Policy Transmission and Industrial Sector Growth: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Hillary Chijindu Ezeaku
  • Imo Godwin Ibe
  • Uche Boniface Ugwuanyi
  • N. J. Modebe
  • Emmanuel Kalu Agbaeze

Abstract

The goal of this study is to assess the industry effects of monetary policy transmission channels in Nigeria within the period 1981-2014. Techniques of analysis employed in the study are the Johansen cointegration and the error correction model (ECM). Our regression estimates reveal that the private sector credit, interest rate, and exchange rate channels have negative effects on real output growth, both in the long run and in the short run. The results further show that, relatively, the degrees of the established effects are higher in the long run than in the short run. We employed the Johansen cointegration approach to determine the nature of relationship that exists between our dependent variable and the independent variables. The results show that, in the Nigerian case, monetary policy transmission channels jointly have a long-run relationship with real output growth of the industrial sector, and disequilibrium in the system is corrected at the speed of 72.2% annually.

Suggested Citation

  • Hillary Chijindu Ezeaku & Imo Godwin Ibe & Uche Boniface Ugwuanyi & N. J. Modebe & Emmanuel Kalu Agbaeze, 2018. "Monetary Policy Transmission and Industrial Sector Growth: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria," SAGE Open, , vol. 8(2), pages 21582440187, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:8:y:2018:i:2:p:2158244018769369
    DOI: 10.1177/2158244018769369
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2158244018769369
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/2158244018769369?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kristina Jacobson & George A. Kahn, 1989. "Lessons from West German monetary policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 74(Apr), pages 18-35.
    2. Milton Friedman & Anna J. Schwartz, 1963. "A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie63-1.
    3. Owolabi A. Usman & Adegbite Tajudeen Adejare, 2014. "Impact of Monetary Policy on Industrial Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 18-31, January.
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. Saibal Ghosh, 2009. "Industry Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 44(1), pages 89-105, July.
    6. Sonali Jain-Chandra & D. Filiz Unsal, 2014. "The effectiveness of monetary policy transmission under capital inflows: Evidence from Asia," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 14(2), pages 96-103, June.
    7. Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 2005. "The Industry Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(503), pages 319-342, April.
    8. Leith, Campbell & Moldovan, Ioana & Rossi, Raffaele, 2015. "Monetary and fiscal policy under deep habits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 55-74.
    9. B.T. Matemilola & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Fatima Etudaiye Muhtar, 2015. "The impact of monetary policy on bank lending rate in South Africa," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 15(1), pages 53-59, March.
    10. Raabe, K. & Arnold, I.J.M. & Kool, C.J.M., 2006. "Industries and the bank lending effects of bank credit demand and monetary policy in Germany," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    11. Grigoli, Francesco & Herman, Alexander & Swiston, Andrew & Di Bella, Gabriel, 2015. "Output gap uncertainty and real-time monetary policy," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 329-358.
    12. Ricardo Ramalhete Moreira & Chukiat Chaiboonsri & Prasert Chaitip, 2014. "Analysing monetary policy's transmission mechanisms through effective and expected interest rates: an application of MS-models, Bayesian VAR and cointegration approaches for Brazil," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12.
    13. Magda Kandil, 2014. "On the effects of monetary policy shocks in developing countries," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 14(2), pages 104-118, June.
    14. Afonso, José Roberto & Araújo, Eliane Cristina & Fajardo, Bernardo Guelber, 2016. "The role of fiscal and monetary policies in the Brazilian economy: Understanding recent institutional reforms and economic changes," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 41-55.
    15. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 1998. "Interest rates, saving and investment: Evidence from India," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 153-169.
    16. Ryan-Collins, Josh & Werner, Richard A. & Castle, Jennifer, 2016. "A half-century diversion of monetary policy? An empirical horse-race to identify the UK variable most likely to deliver the desired nominal GDP growth rate," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 158-176.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A. Ajisafe, Rufus & D. Odejide, Adekunle & M. Ajide, Folorunsho, 2021. "Monetary Policy And Financial Stability In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 8(2), pages 17-35, June.
    2. Ebenezer Olamide & Andrew Maredza & Kanayo Ogujiuba, 2022. "Monetary Policy, External Shocks and Economic Growth Dynamics in East Africa: An S-VAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Kunle Bankole Osinusi & Nurudeen Abiodun Lawal & Sodiq Olaide Bisiriyu, 2022. "Trade Balance, Exchange Rate and Money Supply in Nigeria: Growth Implications and Lesson for African Countries," Management & Economics Research Journal, Faculty of Economics, Commercial and Management Sciences, Ziane Achour University of Djelfa, vol. 4(2), pages 25-44, September.
    4. Moses K. Tule & Oloruntoba S. Ogundele & Martins O. Apinran, 2018. "Efficacy of Monetary Policy Instruments on Economic Growth: Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(10), pages 1239-1256, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hjertstrand, Per & Swofford, James L. & Whitney, Gerald A., 2020. "Testing for Weak Separability and Utility Maximization with Incomplete Adjustment," Working Paper Series 1327, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 30 May 2023.
    2. Demetriades, Panicos O. & Hussein, Khaled A., 1996. "Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 387-411, December.
    3. Edoardo GAFFEO & Ivan PETRELLA & Damjan PFAJFAR & Emiliano SANTORO, 2010. "Reference-dependent preferences and the transmission of monetary policy," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces10.28, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    4. Tom Roberts, 2017. "A Counterfactual Valuation of the Stock Index as a Predictor of Crashes," Staff Working Papers 17-38, Bank of Canada.
    5. Vides, José Carlos & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús, 2021. "The impact of the term spread in US monetary policy from 1870 to 2013," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 230-251.
    6. Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2015. "The Evolution of Central Banking and Monetary Policy in the Asia-Pacific," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14611.
    7. Arash Ketabforoush Badri, 2022. "The Monetary Policy Shocks and the Price of Selected Oil Commodity Groups in Iran," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 7(3), pages 51-59, September.
    8. Akhand Hossain, 2012. "Modelling of narrow money demand in Australia: an ARDL cointegration approach, 1970–2009," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 767-790, June.
    9. Király, Júlia, 1998. "A makroökonómia vége, avagy egy megkésett Nobel-díj (Robert E. Lucas) [The end of macroeconomy, or a belated Nobel prize (Robert E. Lucas)]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1082-1095.
    10. Bank for International Settlements, 2008. "Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 35.
    11. Pan, Lei & Mishra, Vinod, 2018. "Stock market development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 661-673.
    12. Santoro, Emiliano & Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014. "Loss aversion and the asymmetric transmission of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 19-36.
    13. Donald W. Hayes & Cara S. Lown, 1990. "Another look at the credit-output link," Working Papers 9001, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    14. Athanasios Vazakidis & Antonios Adamopoulos, 2011. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis for the UK," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 135-148.
    15. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2010. "Modelling money demand for a panel of eight transitional economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(25), pages 3293-3305.
    16. Pradyumna Dash, 2016. "The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment: Evidence from India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 41(4), pages 288-307, December.
    17. Ran Tao & Richard C. K. Burdekin & David Berri, 2022. "Effects of Deflation and Macroeconomic Shocks on Leisure Spending in the Pre-War Era: Evidence from Major League Baseball, 1890–1940," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 50(3), pages 119-132, December.
    18. Omar A Mendoza Lugo, 2008. "The differential impact of real interest rates and credit availability on private investment: evidence from Venezuela," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 501-537, Bank for International Settlements.
    19. Kutu Adebayo Augustine & Ngalawa Harold, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Industrial Output in the BRICS Countries: A Markov-Switching Model," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 35-55, December.
    20. Policy Analyst - UNICEF Zimbabwe, 2002. "Evidence on the demand for money function in Uganda," Development and Comp Systems 0210005, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:8:y:2018:i:2:p:2158244018769369. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.