IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/sagope/v14y2024i2p21582440241256444.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Perception-Perceived Investor Performance Nexus: Evaluating the Mediating Effects of Heuristics and Prospects With Gender as a Moderator

Author

Listed:
  • Parul Kumar
  • Md. Aminul Islam
  • Rekha Pillai
  • Mosab I. Tabash

Abstract

As the financial condition of most individuals has taken the toll during the COVID-19 pandemic, this study aims to analyze varied risk perceptions owing to dynamic behavioral aspects ingrained in individuals. The study primarily incorporates the impact of COVID-19 induced risk perceptions on psychological bias and its aftermath on perceived investment performance, with gender differences being moderators in the aforesaid relationship. A mix of probability and non-probability sampling has been used to collect data from 1,133 respondents through a structured questionnaire. The partial least square structured equation modeling (PLS-SEM) has been employed as an estimation technique. The findings highlight that risk perception has been significant in affecting the heuristics and prospects. However, it is insignificant in directly impacting the perceived investment performance. However, psychological biases, proxied by heuristics and prospects, were found to mediate the relationship between risk perception and perceived investment performance. Practical implications suggest a judicious combination of risk, return, and behavioral portfolio to stimulate, and upscale investments thereby enhancing the investment momentum to reach pre-covid levels. At the same time, the relevance for society lies in the fact that they need to re-consider their investment portfolio to adjust for uncertainties like COVID-19. Future studies can embark on cross country research to investigate varied risk perception-investment performance relationships prevalent in respective economic settings. Also, studies can explore the variation in findings with respect to different classes of investors that is, experiences, first timers, institutional, influencers and others.

Suggested Citation

  • Parul Kumar & Md. Aminul Islam & Rekha Pillai & Mosab I. Tabash, 2024. "Risk Perception-Perceived Investor Performance Nexus: Evaluating the Mediating Effects of Heuristics and Prospects With Gender as a Moderator," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:14:y:2024:i:2:p:21582440241256444
    DOI: 10.1177/21582440241256444
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/21582440241256444
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/21582440241256444?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ning Du & David V. Budescu, 2018. "How (Over) Confident Are Financial Analysts?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 308-318, July.
    2. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-11, September.
    3. Saleh M. Shehata & Alaa M. Abdeljawad & Loqman A. Mazouz & Lamia Yousif Khalaf Aldossary & Maryam Y. Alsaeed & Mohamed Noureldin Sayed, 2021. "The Moderating Role of Perceived Risks in the Relationship between Financial Knowledge and the Intention to Invest in the Saudi Arabian Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Elke U. Weber & Niklas Siebenmorgen & Martin Weber, 2005. "Communicating Asset Risk: How Name Recognition and the Format of Historic Volatility Information Affect Risk Perception and Investment Decisions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(3), pages 597-609, June.
    5. Shlomo Benartzi & Richard H. Thaler, 1995. "Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(1), pages 73-92.
    6. Forlani, David & Mullins, John W., 2000. "Perceived risks and choices in entrepreneurs' new venture decisions," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 305-322, July.
    7. Ranjit Singh & Jayashree Bhattacharjee, 2019. "Measuring Equity Share Related Risk Perception of Investors in Economically Backward Regions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Loomes, Graham & Sugden, Robert, 1982. "Regret Theory: An Alternative Theory of Rational Choice under Uncertainty," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 805-824, December.
    9. Lim, Thien Sang & Mail, Rasid & Abd Karim, Mohd Rahimie & Ahmad Baharul Ulum, Zatul Karamah & Jaidi, Junainah & Noordin, Raman, 2018. "A serial mediation model of financial knowledge on the intention to invest: The central role of risk perception and attitude," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 74-79.
    10. Imran Umer Chhapra & Muhammad Kashif & Raja Rehan & Ashow Bai, 2018. "An empirical investigation of investors behavioral biases on financial decision making," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(3), pages 99-109, March.
    11. Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Arias, Jose, 2021. "COVID-19 effect on herding behaviour in European capital markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Hvide, Hans K., 2002. "Pragmatic beliefs and overconfidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 15-28, May.
    13. Ortmann, Regina & Pelster, Matthias & Wengerek, Sascha Tobias, 2020. "COVID-19 and investor behavior," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    14. Richard H. Thaler, 2008. "Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(1), pages 15-25, 01-02.
    15. Richard H. Thaler & Eric J. Johnson, 1990. "Gambling with the House Money and Trying to Break Even: The Effects of Prior Outcomes on Risky Choice," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 643-660, June.
    16. Eckel, Catherine C. & El-Gamal, Mahmoud A. & Wilson, Rick K., 2009. "Risk loving after the storm: A Bayesian-Network study of Hurricane Katrina evacuees," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 110-124, February.
    17. Shashank Kathpal & Asif Akhtar & Asma Zaheer & Mohd Naved Khan, 2021. "Covid-19 and heuristic biases: evidence from India," Journal of Financial Services Marketing, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(4), pages 305-316, December.
    18. Arvid O. I. Hoffmann & Thomas Post & Joost M. E. Pennings, 2015. "How Investor Perceptions Drive Actual Trading and Risk-Taking Behavior," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 94-103, January.
    19. Mahfuzur Rahman & Mohamed Albaity & Che Ruhana Isa, 2019. "Behavioural propensities and financial risk tolerance: the moderating effect of ethnicity," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 728-745, December.
    20. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2001. "Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 116(1), pages 261-292.
    21. Wang, Albert Y. & Young, Michael, 2020. "Terrorist attacks and investor risk preference: Evidence from mutual fund flows," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 491-514.
    22. Kaleem Ullah Malik & Muhammad Shaukat Malik & Muhammad Irfan & Hussain Mehdi, 2022. "The Role of Heuristic Factors in Investment Performance: Exploring the Market Anomalies in a Volatile Environment," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 41(73), pages 63-84, February.
    23. Phung Thai Minh Trang & Nguyen Huu Tho, 2017. "Perceived Risk, Investment Performance and Intentions in Emerging Stock Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 269-278.
    24. Nelson Maina Waweru & Evelyne Munyoki & Enrico Uliana, 2008. "The effects of behavioural factors in investment decision-making: a survey of institutional investors operating at the Nairobi Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Emerging Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 24-41.
    25. Fisman, Raymond & Jakiela, Pamela & Kariv, Shachar, 2015. "How did distributional preferences change during the Great Recession?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 84-95.
    26. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    27. Md Qamar Azam & Nazia Iqbal Hashmi & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & Md Shabbir Alam & Mirza Allim Baig, 2022. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Overconfidence Bias: The Case of Cyclical and Defensive Sectors," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, March.
    28. A. Seetharaman & Indu Niranjan & Nitin Patwa & Amit Kejriwal, 2017. "A Study of the Factors Affecting the Choice of Investment Portfolio by Individual Investors in Singapore," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(3), pages 153-153, August.
    29. Simon Gervais & J. B. Heaton & Terrance Odean, 2011. "Overconfidence, Compensation Contracts, and Capital Budgeting," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1735-1777, October.
    30. David E. Bell, 1982. "Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 30(5), pages 961-981, October.
    31. Fanyi Wang & Ruobing Zhang & Faraz Ahmed & Syed Mir Muhammed Shah, 2022. "Impact of investment behaviour on financial markets during COVID-19: a case of UK," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 2273-2291, December.
    32. Syed Ghulam Meran Shah & Mingfeng Tang & Muddassar Sarfraz & Zeeshan Fareed, 2019. "The aftermath of CEO succession via hierarchical jumps on firm performance and agency cost: Evidence from Chinese firms," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(21), pages 1744-1748, December.
    33. Rasoolimanesh, S. Mostafa & Ringle, Christian M. & Jaafar, Mastura & Ramayah, T., 2017. "Urban vs. rural destinations: Residents’ perceptions, community participation and support for tourism development," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 147-158.
    34. Hariharan, Govind & Chapman, Kenneth S. & Domian, Dale L., 2000. "Risk tolerance and asset allocation for investors nearing retirement," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 159-170, 00.
    35. Keller, Carmen & Siegrist, Michael, 2006. "Investing in stocks: The influence of financial risk attitude and values-related money and stock market attitudes," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 285-303, April.
    36. Bailey, Warren & Kumar, Alok & Ng, David, 2011. "Behavioral biases of mutual fund investors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 1-27, October.
    37. Zeeshan Ahmed & Shahid Rasool & Qasim Saleem & Mubashir Ali Khan & Shamsa Kanwal, 2022. "Mediating Role of Risk Perception Between Behavioral Biases and Investor’s Investment Decisions," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    38. Isidore, Renu & Christie, P., 2019. "The relationship between the income and behavioural biases," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 24(47), pages 127-144.
    39. Syed Aliya Zahera & Rohit Bansal, 2019. "A study of prominence for disposition effect: a systematic review," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(1), pages 2-21, May.
    40. Imran Umer Chhapra & Muhammad Kashif & Raja Rehan & Ashow Bai, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation of Investor’s Behavioral Biases on Financial Decision Making," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(3), pages 99-109.
    41. Renu Isidore R. & Christie P., 2019. "The relationship between the income and behavioural biases," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(47), pages 127-144, March.
    42. Marcel Piotrowski & Christian Bünnings, 2024. "How heuristics in judgement influence the securities investment decision process," Journal of Financial Services Marketing, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 29(1), pages 97-105, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Syed Aliya Zahera & Rohit Bansal, 2018. "Do investors exhibit behavioral biases in investment decision making? A systematic review," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(2), pages 210-251, May.
    2. Shashank Kathpal & Asif Akhtar & Asma Zaheer & Mohd Naved Khan, 2021. "Covid-19 and heuristic biases: evidence from India," Journal of Financial Services Marketing, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(4), pages 305-316, December.
    3. Francisco Gomes & Michael Haliassos & Tarun Ramadorai, 2021. "Household Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(3), pages 919-1000, September.
    4. Li An & Huijun Wang & Jian Wang & Jianfeng Yu, 2020. "Lottery-Related Anomalies: The Role of Reference-Dependent Preferences," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 473-501, January.
    5. Glaser, Markus & Nöth, Markus & Weber, Martin, 2003. "Behavioral finance," Papers 03-14, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    6. Luc Meunier & Sima Ohadi, 2023. "When are two portfolios better than one? A prospect theory approach," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 94(3), pages 503-538, April.
    7. Weber, Elke U. & Johnson, Eric J., 2012. "Psychology and behavioral economics lessons for the design of a green growth strategy," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6240, The World Bank.
    8. Niculaescu, Corina E. & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Bell, Adrian R., 2023. "Does personal experience with COVID-19 impact investment decisions? Evidence from a survey of US retail investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Rick Harbaugh, 2005. "Prospect Theory or Skill Signaling?," Working Papers 2005-06, Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, Department of Business Economics and Public Policy.
    10. Cédric Argenton & Xiaoyu Wang, 2023. "Litigation and settlement under loss aversion," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 369-402, October.
    11. Li An & Huijun Wang & Jian Wang & Jianfeng Yu, 2015. "Lottery-related anomalies: the role of reference-dependent preferences," Globalization Institute Working Papers 259, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    12. Itzhak Venezia, 2018. "Lecture Notes in Behavioral Finance," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 10751, August.
    13. Enrico G. De Giorgi & Thierry Post, 2011. "Loss Aversion with a State-Dependent Reference Point," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(6), pages 1094-1110, June.
    14. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, 2013. "Salience and Consumer Choice," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(5), pages 803-843.
    15. Ulrich Schmidt & Stefan Traub, 2009. "An Experimental Investigation of the Disparity Between WTA and WTP for Lotteries," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 229-262, March.
    16. Bowman, David & Minehart, Deborah & Rabin, Matthew, 1999. "Loss aversion in a consumption-savings model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 155-178, February.
    17. Servaas van Bilsen & Roger J. A. Laeven & Theo E. Nijman, 2020. "Consumption and Portfolio Choice Under Loss Aversion and Endogenous Updating of the Reference Level," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(9), pages 3927-3955, September.
    18. Jacobs Martin, 2016. "Accounting for Changing Tastes: Approaches to Explaining Unstable Individual Preferences," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 67(2), pages 121-183, August.
    19. Gerlinde Fellner & Matthias Sutter, 2009. "Causes, Consequences, and Cures of Myopic Loss Aversion - An Experimental Investigation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(537), pages 900-916, April.
    20. Wang, Huijun & Yan, Jinghua & Yu, Jianfeng, 2017. "Reference-dependent preferences and the risk–return trade-off," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 395-414.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:14:y:2024:i:2:p:21582440241256444. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.