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Multiplier–Accelerator Interaction in the Presence of an Underground Economy and Taxation

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  • Gerasimos T. Soldatos

    (Gerasimos T. Soldatos is at the American University of Athens, 15232 Athens, Greece, e-mail: soldgera@yahoo.com)

Abstract

This article introduces the underground economy into a standard multiplier-accelerator model with linear progressive income taxation. The main results are that this introduction increases the instability of the overall economy towards chaos, that tax policy plays a critical role in preserving stability even if in the sense of a uniform cycle and that the operation of the accelerator may be countering the negative effect of tax evasion on tax revenue. JEL Classification: O17, E32, H24

Suggested Citation

  • Gerasimos T. Soldatos, 2018. "Multiplier–Accelerator Interaction in the Presence of an Underground Economy and Taxation," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 244-256, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:mareco:v:12:y:2018:i:2:p:244-256
    DOI: 10.1177/0973801018757235
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luciano Fanti & Piero Manfredi, 2003. "Progressive Income Taxation and Economic Cycles: a Multiplier-Accelerator Model," Discussion Papers 2003/11, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Gerasimos T. Soldatos, 2016. "An Anti-Austerity Policy Recipe Against Debt Accumulation in the Presence of Hidden Economy," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(2), pages 90-99, February.
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    4. Ross Guest & Anthony J. Makin, 2011. "In the Long Run, the Multiplier is Dead: Lessons from a Simulation," Agenda - A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 13-22.
    5. Renzo Orsi & Davide Raggi & Francesco Turino, 2014. "Size, Trend, and Policy Implications of the Underground Economy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(3), pages 417-436, July.
    6. Catalina Granda-Carvajal, 2010. "The Unofficial Economy and the Business Cycle: A Test for Theories," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 573-586.
    7. Frank Westerhoff, 2006. "Samuelson's multiplier-accelerator model revisited," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 89-92.
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    9. Gerasimos T Soldatos, 2016. "An Anti-Austerity Policy Recipe Against Debt Accumulation in the Presence of Hidden Economy," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(2), pages 90-99.
    10. Turnovsky,Stephen J., 1977. "Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policy," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521291873, January.
    11. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1981. "What Is Left of the Multiplier Accelerator?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 150-154, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multiplier-accelerator; Underground economy; Taxation; Stabilisation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies

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