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Titans that Clash and a State that Buffers

Author

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  • Serhat DoÄŸan
  • Emin KaragözoÄŸlu
  • Kerim Keskin
  • Hüseyin ÇaÄŸrı SaÄŸlam

Abstract

We present a game-theoretic approach to the analysis of the emergence or survival of buffer states. We analyze a two-stage game with three players orderly located on a linear territory, where the player in the middle is passive, and the players on the two ends are aggressive with options to declare war against the others. We conduct an equilibrium analysis and characterize the conditions under which the passive player acts as a buffer state between the aggressive players. We find various equilibrium outcomes, which can be grouped into the following categories: ( i ) peace with buffer, ( ii ) peace without buffer, and ( iii ) the last man standing. Our comparative static analyses reveal valuable insights regarding the factors affecting the existence of buffer states.

Suggested Citation

  • Serhat DoÄŸan & Emin KaragözoÄŸlu & Kerim Keskin & Hüseyin ÇaÄŸrı SaÄŸlam, 2023. "Titans that Clash and a State that Buffers," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 67(2-3), pages 210-234, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:67:y:2023:i:2-3:p:210-234
    DOI: 10.1177/00220027221114868
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Konrad, Kai Andreas & Kovenock, Daniel J., 2005. "Equilibrium and efficiency in the tug-of-war [Gleichgewicht und Effizienz im "Tug of War"]," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2005-14, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    2. Anbarci, Nejat & Skaperdas, Stergios & Syropoulos, Constantinos, 2002. "Comparing Bargaining Solutions in the Shadow of Conflict: How Norms against Threats Can Have Real Effects," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 1-16, September.
    3. Konrad, Kai A., 2009. "Strategy and Dynamics in Contests," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199549603.
    4. Altman, Dan, 2020. "The Evolution of Territorial Conquest After 1945 and the Limits of the Territorial Integrity Norm," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 490-522, July.
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    1. Serhat Doğan & Kerim Keskin & Çağrı Sağlam, 2023. "Analyzing strategic behavior in a dynamic model of bargaining and war," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 233-257, December.

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